Viborg FF vs Nordsjælland Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Energi Viborg Arena Sun, 26 Apr - 4:00 PM
Superliga
Viborg FF Viborg FF
1 Winner 0
Nordsjælland FCN
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 4:00 PM
Round 7 Championship Round
Srdjan Kuzmic - 10'
Goal
|

Viborg FF vs Nordsjælland preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Match is finished. Viborg FF 1–0 Nordsjælland. The result saw Viborg FF take the points. Viborg FF showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 36%–64%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match featured minimal structural deviation of 5.8% in favor of Viborg FF.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiencies for both teams remained in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable xG data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable without recorded xG statistics.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Tykgaard
M. Tykgaard
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.47
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
D. Yurdakul
D. Yurdakul
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.47
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
F. Svendsen
F. Svendsen
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.47
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
J. Mastrup
J. Mastrup
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.47
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Viborg FF Nickolai Lund
Nickolai Lund
VS
Nordsjælland J. Olsen
J. Olsen
1.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brøndby IF Rank: L
Nordsjælland Rank: L
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: W
AGF Rank: L
FC Midtjylland Rank: D
Brøndby IF Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
AGF Rank: D
Viborg FF Rank: W
AGF Rank: D
Brøndby IF Rank: W
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: W
FC Midtjylland Rank: W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 6 - 19
19

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Viborg FF
94.16%
Draw
5.65%
Away Nordsjælland
0.19%

Movement

Changes since opening
Viborg FF
+1.86%
Draw
-1.73%
Nordsjælland
-0.13%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.09
41.81
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Viborg FF
Nordsjælland
Power Score
26.09
41.81
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Viborg FF — Opponent-weighted form score
Nordsjælland — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Viborg FF Nordsjælland

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Viborg FF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Nordsjælland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Viborg FF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nordsjælland
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
58.33
25.86
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.86
58.33
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Viborg FF +3.04 Efficiency Index
vs
Nordsjælland -3.04 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Viborg FF
Nordsjælland
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Viborg FF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nordsjælland
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Viborg FF Nordsjælland
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Viborg FF Nordsjælland
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Viborg FF
Nordsjælland
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Viborg FF
vs
Nordsjælland
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Viborg FF Nordsjælland
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Viborg FF 0.30
Nordsjælland 0.27
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Viborg FF Nordsjælland
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Viborg FF 0.00
Nordsjælland 0.02
Viborg FF
Nordsjælland
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Viborg FF had peak pressure around 12'.
  • Viborg FF started the game with stronger pressure.
Viborg FF Pressure FCN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Viborg FF reached the top pressure at 12' (90.95).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 32 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Viborg FF Viborg FF Home
32 matches
Nordsjælland FCN Away
Match Record
7
Wins
19
6
Draws
6
19
Losses
7
Goals
38
Goals Scored
62
62
Goals Conceded
38
-24
Goal Difference
+24
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:07:22+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-2-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
L. Pedersen
Denmark
1 L. Pedersen
H. Bidstrup
Denmark
26 H. Bidstrup
L. Kirkegaard
Denmark
32 L. Kirkegaard
D. Anyembe
Kenya
24 D. Anyembe
S. Kuzmic
Substitution
Slovenia
30 S. Kuzmic
T. Jørgensen
Substitution
Denmark
10 T. Jørgensen
J. Grønning
Denmark
13 J. Grønning
S. Jalal Karchoud
Denmark
29 S. Jalal Karchoud
M. Clausen
Substitution
Denmark
6 M. Clausen
C. Ngos Nouck Horneman
Substitution
Denmark
11 C. Ngos Nouck Horneman
D. Hanza Meha
Equatorial Guinea
19 D. Hanza Meha
A. Hansen
Denmark
13 A. Hansen
C. Yirenkyi
36 C. Yirenkyi
T. Salquist
Denmark
3 T. Salquist
P. Ankersen
Denmark
2 P. Ankersen
R. Norheim
Substitution
Norway
23 R. Norheim
M. Brink Christensen
Substitution
Denmark
6 M. Brink Christensen
J. Meltofte Janssen
18 J. Meltofte Janssen
J. Lähteenmäki
Substitution
Finland
25 J. Lähteenmäki
P. Amoako Junior
Substitution
10 P. Amoako Junior
M. Lamine Sadio
Substitution
Senegal
37 M. Lamine Sadio
A. Rasmussen
Denmark
11 A. Rasmussen

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 7 · Championship Round
Stadium
Energi Viborg Arena
Capacity
9566
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michael Tykgaard
Deniz Yurdakul
Frederik Svendsen
Jakob Mastrup

Statistics

Possession
Viborg FF
43%
FCN
57%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 1
9 Shots 9
60 Dangerous attacks 51
36 Possession 64
6 Corners 5
16 Free kicks 6
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 5
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Injuries 0
15 Goal Attempts 7
86 Ball Safe 122
10 Goal Kicks 8
46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
28 Dribble Attempts 16
13 Successful Dribbles 6
9 Throwins 19

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 1
1 Counter Attacks 0
105 Attacks 118

Possession

13 Key Passes 9
73 Long Passes 66
31 Successful Long Passes 21
206 Successful Passes 427
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32
69 Successful Passes Percentage 82
298 Passes 521

Defensive

13 Interceptions 14
66 Duels Won 43
5 Saves 7
20 Tackles 22

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 2
14 Total Crosses 14

Discipline

6 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Michael Tykgaard

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Lund
Lucas Lund Goalkeeper
6.86
24
Daniel Anyembe
Daniel Anyembe Defender
6.74
26
Hjalte Bidstrup
Hjalte Bidstrup Defender
6.76
30
Srdjan Kuzmic
Srdjan Kuzmic Defender
6.93
23
Oliver Bundgaard
Oliver Bundgaard
Defender82'
6.6
32
Lukas Kirkegaard
Lukas Kirkegaard Defender
7.07
6
Mads Søndergaard
Mads Søndergaard Midfielder
6.86
8
Asker Beck
Asker Beck
Midfielder39'
6.61
10
Thomas Jørgensen
Thomas Jørgensen Midfielder
7.31
4
Mees Hoedemakers
Mees Hoedemakers
Midfielder82'
6.69
13
Jeppe Grønning
Jeppe Grønning Midfielder
6.87
29
Sami Jalal
Sami Jalal Midfielder
6.99
11
Charly Nouck
Charly Nouck Attacker
6.94
5
Zan Zaletel
Zan Zaletel
Defender82'
7.11
19
Dorian Hanza
Dorian Hanza Attacker
6.66
Referee : Michael Tykgaard

Starting XI ▼

13
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Goalkeeper
7.06
2
Peter Ankersen
Peter Ankersen Defender
7.04
3
Tobias Salquist
Tobias Salquist Defender
6.75
36
Caleb Yirenkyi
Caleb Yirenkyi Defender
7.11
6
Mark Brink
Mark Brink Midfielder
6.72
40
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
Attacker71'
6.57
18
Justin Janssen
Justin Janssen Midfielder
6.97
23
Runar Norheim
Runar Norheim Midfielder
6.7
47
Malte Heyde
Malte Heyde
Midfielder61'
6.62
25
Juho Lähteenmäki
Juho Lähteenmäki Midfielder
6.79
15
Stephen Acquah
Stephen Acquah
Defender84'
6.54
10
Prince Amoako Junior
Prince Amoako Junior Attacker
6.88
14
Ibrahim Adel
Ibrahim Adel
Midfielder61'
6.77
11
Alexander Lind
Alexander Lind Attacker
6.96
37
Mamadou Sadio
Mamadou Sadio Attacker
6.94
17
Levy Nene
Levy Nene
Attacker61'
6.85

Events

2ND-HALF
84'
Event
Stephen Acquah → Juho Lähteenmäki
9th Substitution
Event
Oliver Bundgaard → Srdjan Kuzmic
6th Substitution
82'
Event
Zan Zaletel → Charly Nouck
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Mees Hoedemakers → Thomas Jørgensen
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Srdjan Kuzmic
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
75'
71'
Event
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen → Mark Brink
5th Substitution
66'
Event
Ibrahim Adel
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
61'
Event
Levy Nene → Mamadou Sadio
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Malte Heyde → Runar Norheim
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Ibrahim Adel → Prince Amoako Junior
2nd Substitution
Event
Asker Beck
Goal disallowed
52'
1ST-HALF
Event
Asker Beck → Mads Søndergaard
1st Substitution
39'
Event
Jeppe Grønning
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
39'
37'
Event
Peter Ankersen
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Srdjan Kuzmic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
10'

CONCLUSION

Viborg FF's gritty 1-0 victory over possession-heavy Nordsjælland exemplifies defensive mastery and timely scoring. Leading 1-0 at halftime, they absorbed pressure with 36% possession yet emerged unscathed, proving underdogs can thrive through organization. This minimally deviant result, efficiently managed without disruptions, bolsters Viborg's home record and exposes Nordsjælland's finishing frailties. Momentum shifts toward the winners, who now carry confidence into future battles, while the losers must sharpen their edge.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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