Viborg FF vs Brøndby IF Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Energi Viborg Arena Wed, 22 Apr - 6:00 PM
Superliga
Viborg FF Viborg FF
0 Winner 1
Brøndby IF BIF
Full Time Wed, 22 Apr 6:00 PM
Round 6 Championship Round
|
Goal
Emmanuel Dennis - 90+1'

Viborg FF vs Brøndby IF preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Viborg FF faced Brøndby IF in a Danish Superliga encounter that concluded 0-1 in favor of the visitors. The halftime score stood at 0-0, reflecting a balanced opening period with possession split at 49% for the home side and 51% for Brøndby. Despite Viborg being rated as the stronger team beforehand, Brøndby capitalized on a second-half opportunity to secure the win. No red cards were issued, maintaining structural integrity throughout. Pre-match market probabilities assigned Viborg a 42.9% chance of victory, a 26.2% draw likelihood, and Brøndby 30.9%, resulting in a significant 69.1% deviation towards Brøndby. Efficiency remained in line with expectations, though xG data was unavailable for deeper analysis. The outcome highlighted Brøndby's resilience in a closely fought contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Brøndby IF's 0-1 win marked a significant 69.1% structural deviation from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing assessment of alignment with outcome.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was false, as Brøndby outperformed pre-match probabilities.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to lack of xG data.
  • Event impact: No major events like second-half adjustments altered the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the final score.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Deronjic
E. Deronjic
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.31
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.93
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.1
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
F. Svendsen
F. Svendsen
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.31
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.93
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.1
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
D. Cortzen
D. Cortzen
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.31
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.93
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.1
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
S. Funder
S. Funder
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.31
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.93
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.1
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Viborg FF Nickolai Lund
Nickolai Lund
VS
Brøndby IF S. Cooper
S. Cooper
1.87
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.07
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nordsjælland Rank: L
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: W
AGF Rank: L
FC Midtjylland Rank: D
Brøndby IF Rank: W
Nordsjælland Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: W
FC Midtjylland Rank: L
Nordsjælland Rank: L
AGF Rank: D
Viborg FF Rank: L
FC Midtjylland Rank: D
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 9 - 12
12

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Viborg FF
42.87%
Draw
26.2%
Away Brøndby IF
30.93%

Movement

Changes since opening
Viborg FF
+42.68%
Draw
+21.62%
Brøndby IF
-64.3%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
30.38
24.09
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Viborg FF
Brøndby IF
Power Score
30.38
24.09
League Position
5
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Viborg FF — Opponent-weighted form score
Brøndby IF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Viborg FF Brøndby IF

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Viborg FF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brøndby IF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Viborg FF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brøndby IF
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.41
39.61
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
39.61
20.41
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Viborg FF -1.80 Efficiency Index
vs
Brøndby IF +1.80 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Viborg FF
Brøndby IF
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Viborg FF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brøndby IF
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Viborg FF Brøndby IF
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Viborg FF Brøndby IF
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Viborg FF
Brøndby IF
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Viborg FF
vs
Brøndby IF
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Viborg FF Brøndby IF
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Viborg FF 0.12
Brøndby IF 0.27
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Viborg FF Brøndby IF
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Viborg FF 0.02
Brøndby IF 0.00
Viborg FF
Brøndby IF
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Viborg FF had peak pressure around 71'.
  • BIF started the game with stronger pressure.
Viborg FF Pressure BIF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Viborg FF reached the top pressure at 71' (70.27).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 30 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Viborg FF Viborg FF Home
30 matches
Brøndby IF BIF Away
Match Record
9
Wins
12
9
Draws
9
12
Losses
9
Goals
32
Goals Scored
38
38
Goals Conceded
32
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-23T00:03:35+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
L. Pedersen
Denmark
1 L. Pedersen
J. Mbom
Substitution
Germany
18 J. Mbom
L. Kirkegaard
Denmark
32 L. Kirkegaard
Ž. Zaletel
Slovenia
5 Ž. Zaletel
S. Kuzmic
Slovenia
30 S. Kuzmic
T. Jørgensen
Denmark
10 T. Jørgensen
J. Grønning
Denmark
13 J. Grønning
M. Clausen
Substitution
Denmark
6 M. Clausen
S. Jalal Karchoud
Substitution
Denmark
29 S. Jalal Karchoud
T. Freriks
Substitution
Netherlands
9 T. Freriks
C. Ngos Nouck Horneman
Substitution
Denmark
11 C. Ngos Nouck Horneman
P. Pentz
Austria
1 P. Pentz
L. Binks
England
4 L. Binks
B. Godfrey
England
14 B. Godfrey
J. Vanlerberghe
Belgium
30 J. Vanlerberghe
M. Köhlert
Substitution
Germany
27 M. Köhlert
D. Wass
Substitution
Denmark
10 D. Wass
B. Slisz
Poland
99 B. Slisz
S. Fukuda
Substitution
Japan
19 S. Fukuda
N. Vallys
Denmark
7 N. Vallys
J. Brøchner Ambæk
38 J. Brøchner Ambæk
M. Frøkjær-Jensen
Substitution
Denmark
29 M. Frøkjær-Jensen

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 22, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 6 · Championship Round
Stadium
Energi Viborg Arena
Capacity
9566
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Esad Deronjic
Frederik Svendsen
Daniel Cortzen
Svend Funder

Statistics

Possession
Viborg FF
49%
BIF
51%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 3
4 Shots 6
60 Dangerous attacks 64
49 Possession 51
4 Corners 3
8 Free kicks 7
1 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

94 Ball Safe 71
0 Injuries 1
6 Goal Attempts 15
13 Goal Kicks 9
22 Throwins 12
5 Substitutions 4
36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43
28 Dribble Attempts 7
10 Successful Dribbles 3
2 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

98 Attacks 114
3 Counter Attacks 3
2 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

79 Successful Passes Percentage 77
412 Passes 430
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
5 Key Passes 10
326 Successful Passes 329
62 Long Passes 62
33 Successful Long Passes 25

Defensive

8 Saves 3
15 Tackles 26
46 Duels Won 51
5 Interceptions 13

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 18
2 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

7 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Svend Funder

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Lund
Lucas Lund Goalkeeper
6.81
5
Zan Zaletel
Zan Zaletel Defender
7.63
18
Jean Manuel Mbom
Jean Manuel Mbom Defender
6.81
26
Hjalte Bidstrup
Hjalte Bidstrup
Defender74'
6.79
30
Srdjan Kuzmic
Srdjan Kuzmic Defender
6.94
32
Lukas Kirkegaard
Lukas Kirkegaard Defender
7.06
6
Mads Søndergaard
Mads Søndergaard Midfielder
6.85
8
Asker Beck
Asker Beck
Midfielder74'
6.62
10
Thomas Jørgensen
Thomas Jørgensen Midfielder
7.33
13
Jeppe Grønning
Jeppe Grønning Midfielder
6.88
9
Tim Freriks
Tim Freriks Attacker
6.66
36
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen
Attacker62'
6.52
11
Charly Nouck
Charly Nouck Attacker
6.93
21
Bilal Brahimi
Bilal Brahimi
Midfielder62'
6.9
29
Sami Jalal
Sami Jalal Attacker
7
17
Osman Addo
Osman Addo
Attacker80'
6.85
Referee : Svend Funder

Starting XI ▼

1
Patrick Pentz
Patrick Pentz Goalkeeper
7.12
4
Luis Binks
Luis Binks Defender
7.03
14
Ben Godfrey
Ben Godfrey Defender
6.98
30
Jordi Vanlerberghe
Jordi Vanlerberghe Defender
6.75
10
Daniel Wass
Daniel Wass Midfielder
6.89
8
Benjamin Tahirović
Benjamin Tahirović
Midfielder74'
6.82
19
Sho Fukuda
Sho Fukuda Midfielder
6.94
24
Marko Divkovic
Marko Divkovic
Defender73'
6.94
27
Mats Köhlert
Mats Köhlert Midfielder
7.04
22
Ousmane Sow
Ousmane Sow
Midfielder87'
6.49
99
Bartosz Slisz
Bartosz Slisz Midfielder
7.05
7
Nicolai Vallys
Nicolai Vallys Attacker
7.17
29
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen Attacker
6.73
17
Emmanuel Dennis
Emmanuel Dennis
Attacker80'
6.68
38
Jacob Ambaek
Jacob Ambaek Attacker
6.87

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Emmanuel Dennis
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
87'
Event
Ousmane Sow → Mats Köhlert
9th Substitution
Event
Osman Addo → Sami Jalal
7th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Emmanuel Dennis → Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen
8th Substitution
Event
Asker Beck → Mads Søndergaard
4th Substitution
74'
Event
Hjalte Bidstrup → Jean Manuel Mbom
5th Substitution
74'
74'
Event
Benjamin Tahirović → Daniel Wass
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Marko Divkovic → Sho Fukuda
3rd Substitution
Event
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
64'
Event
Bilal Brahimi → Charly Nouck
1st Substitution
62'
Event
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen → Tim Freriks
2nd Substitution
62'
55'
Event
Bartosz Slisz
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
55'
Event
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
49'
Event
Mats Köhlert
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
4'
Event
Jordi Vanlerberghe
Argument / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Brøndby IF exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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