St. Gallen vs Basel Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Kybunpark Sun, 8 Mar - 1:00 PM
Super League
St. Gallen St. Gallen
3 Winner 0
Basel BAS
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 1:00 PM
Chima Okoroji - 9', 15'
Carlo Boukhalfa - 29'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. St. Gallen 3–0 Basel. The result saw St. Gallen take the points. St. Gallen showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 42%–58%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: St. Gallen showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
B. Zürcher
B. Zürcher
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.18
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.12
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.35
M. Turkes
M. Turkes
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.18
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.12
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.35
U. Schnyder
U. Schnyder
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.18
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.12
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.35
M. Zürcher
M. Zürcher
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.18
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.12
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.35
St. Gallen E. Maaßen
E. Maaßen
VS
Basel S. Lichtsteiner
S. Lichtsteiner
1.7
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.59
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Thun Rank: D
Winterthur Rank: W
Servette Rank: D
Winterthur Rank: W
Grasshopper Rank: D
Young Boys Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Thun Rank: L
Zürich Rank: W
Sion Rank: D
Servette Rank: D
Luzern Rank: W
Lausanne Sport Rank: D
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 18 - 37
37

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home St. Gallen
48.26%
Draw
24.96%
Away Basel
26.77%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.07
52.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
St. Gallen
Basel
Power Score
62.07
52.87
League Position
2
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
St. Gallen — Opponent-weighted form score
Basel — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) St. Gallen Basel

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

St. Gallen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Basel

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

St. Gallen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Basel
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
69.52
21.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.55
69.52
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
St. Gallen +4.53 Efficiency Index
vs
Basel -4.53 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
St. Gallen
Basel
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

St. Gallen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Basel
Created Set-piece attacking threat
St. Gallen Basel
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
St. Gallen Basel
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
St. Gallen
Basel
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

St. Gallen St. Gallen Home
20 matches
Basel BAS Away
Match Record
5
Wins
7
8
Draws
8
7
Losses
5
Goals
27
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
27
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:05:22+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadium
Kybunpark
Capacity
19456
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Benjamin Zürcher
Mirel Turkes
Urs Schnyder
Marco Zürcher

Statistics

Possession
St. Gallen
45%
BAS
55%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 2
9 Shots 5
64 Dangerous attacks 30
42 Possession 58
5 Corners 4
12 Free kicks 22
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

1 Injuries 1
1 Hit Woodwork 1
5 Substitutions 5
13 Dribble Attempts 17
20 Throwins 21
54 Successful Dribbles Percentage 59
7 Successful Dribbles 10
3 Goal Kicks 13
12 Goal Attempts 3
45 Ball Safe 61

Attacking

81 Attacks 88
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

14 Key Passes 11
78 Long Passes 76
30 Successful Long Passes 34
73 Successful Passes Percentage 82
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45
263 Successful Passes 411
361 Passes 503

Defensive

11 Interceptions 9
5 Saves 6
16 Tackles 16

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 2
14 Total Crosses 15

Discipline

20 Fouls 13

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Corsin Konietzke → Carlo Boukhalfa
10th Substitution
76'
Event
Mihailo Stevanovic → Lukas Görtler
9th Substitution
73'
Event
Colin Kleine-Bekel → Jozo Stanic
7th Substitution
73'
73'
Event
Marin Soticek → Julien Duranville
8th Substitution
Event
Nevio Scherrer → Diego Besio
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Tiemoko Ouattara → Alessandro Vogt
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Jozo Stanic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
61'
58'
Event
Dion Kacuri → Léo Leroy
4th Substitution
58'
Event
Albian Ajeti → Giacomo Koloto
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Dominik Schmid → Moussa Cissé
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Ibrahim Salah → Bénie Traoré
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Carlo Boukhalfa
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
29'
Event
Chima Okoroji
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
15'
Event
Chima Okoroji
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
9'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: St. Gallen exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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