Silkeborg IF vs Randers FC Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
JYSK park Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 PM
Superliga
Silkeborg IF SIL
2 Winner 0
Randers FC RDF
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 12:00 PM
Round 7 Relegation Round
Alexander Simmelhack - 8'
Julius Lorents - 89'
Goal
|

Silkeborg IF vs Randers FC preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Silkeborg IF claimed a convincing 2-0 home win against Randers FC, extending their lead with a second-half goal after a 1-0 halftime advantage. Despite Randers controlling 54% possession, Silkeborg's defensive solidity and clinical finishing proved decisive, frustrating the visitors' attacks. The hosts, identified as the stronger team, capitalized on limited chances while Randers struggled to create meaningful threats. This result marked a significant structural deviation from pre-match expectations, where Randers held a slight edge in projections. Silkeborg's efficiency stayed in line with norms, showcasing disciplined play without relying on extraordinary moments. No red cards or major disruptions influenced the outcome, allowing the game to unfold naturally. The victory bolsters Silkeborg's position, highlighting their ability to outperform possession stats through smart positioning and timely strikes.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Silkeborg IF's 2-0 win showed a significant 70.5% deviation favoring the home side from pre-match structure.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with expectations across both halves.
  • xG alignment: xG data absence prevented alignment verification with the 2-0 scoreline.
  • Market alignment: The result diverged from pre-match market probabilities expecting a closer contest.
  • xG expectations: Missing xG metrics left expectations for chance quality unassessed.
  • Event impact: No key events like second-half adjustments impacted the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from player dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Hansen
J. Hansen
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.47
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
L. Hummelgaard
L. Hummelgaard
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.47
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
D. Cortzen
D. Cortzen
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.47
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
F. Iriskic
F. Iriskic
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.47
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Silkeborg IF K. Nielsen
K. Nielsen
VS
Randers FC R. Bertelsen
R. Bertelsen
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.94
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vejle Boldklub Rank: W
Fredericia Rank: D
Odense BK Rank: W
FC København Rank: L
Randers FC Rank: W
Vejle Boldklub Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fredericia Rank: D
Odense BK Rank: L
FC København Rank: L
Vejle Boldklub Rank: D
Silkeborg IF Rank: L
Fredericia Rank: W
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 9 - 13
13

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Silkeborg IF
29.54%
Draw
27.37%
Away Randers FC
43.1%

Movement

Changes since opening
Silkeborg IF
-68.35%
Draw
+25.45%
Randers FC
+42.9%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.24
16.37
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Silkeborg IF
Randers FC
Power Score
20.24
16.37
League Position
11
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Silkeborg IF — Opponent-weighted form score
Randers FC — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Silkeborg IF Randers FC

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Silkeborg IF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Randers FC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Silkeborg IF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Randers FC
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.59
36.20
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.20
28.59
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Silkeborg IF -0.71 Efficiency Index
vs
Randers FC +0.71 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Silkeborg IF
Randers FC
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Silkeborg IF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Randers FC
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Silkeborg IF Randers FC
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Silkeborg IF Randers FC
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Silkeborg IF
Randers FC
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Silkeborg IF
vs
Randers FC
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Silkeborg IF Randers FC
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Silkeborg IF 0.52
Randers FC 0.58
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Silkeborg IF Randers FC
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Silkeborg IF 0.00
Randers FC 0.09
Silkeborg IF
Randers FC
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SIL had peak pressure around 84'.
  • SIL started the game with stronger pressure.
SIL Pressure RDF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SIL reached the top pressure at 84' (70.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Silkeborg IF SIL Home
35 matches
Randers FC RDF Away
Match Record
13
Wins
13
9
Draws
9
13
Losses
13
Goals
41
Goals Scored
41
41
Goals Conceded
41
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
1.13
xG
1.09
1.09
xGA
1.13

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:03:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
N. Larsen
Denmark
1 N. Larsen
J. Gammelby
Denmark
19 J. Gammelby
R. Østrøm
Norway
3 R. Østrøm
P. Machado Ganchas
Portugal
4 P. Machado Ganchas
A. Poulsen
Substitution
Denmark
2 A. Poulsen
W. Kirk
Substitution
Denmark
27 W. Kirk
A. Vikman
Substitution
Sweden
6 A. Vikman
C. McCowatt
New Zealand
17 C. McCowatt
A. Illum Simmelhack
Substitution
Denmark
9 A. Illum Simmelhack
O. Ross
Substitution
Denmark
11 O. Ross
T. Adamsen
Denmark
23 T. Adamsen
P. Izzo
Australia
1 P. Izzo
N. Dyhr
Substitution
Denmark
44 N. Dyhr
W. Dammers
Netherlands
4 W. Dammers
D. Høegh
Denmark
3 D. Høegh
L. Lissens
Substitution
Belgium
2 L. Lissens
J. Björkengren
Sweden
6 J. Björkengren
L. Raun Pedersen
Substitution
Denmark
8 L. Raun Pedersen
C. Edudzi
Substitution
33 C. Edudzi
M. Greve
Denmark
17 M. Greve
E. Mahmoud
Substitution
France
11 E. Mahmoud
W. Caddy
Madagascar
10 W. Caddy

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 7 · Relegation Round
Stadium
JYSK park
Capacity
10000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jonas Hansen
Lars Hummelgaard
Daniel Cortzen
F. Iriskic

Statistics

Possession
SIL
45%
RDF
55%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 3
5 Shots 6
23 Dangerous attacks 31
46 Possession 54
3 Corners 5
15 Free kicks 7
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

6 Goal Kicks 5
10 Dribble Attempts 13
5 Substitutions 5
19 Throwins 23
5 Successful Dribbles 5
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
88 Ball Safe 103
9 Goal Attempts 11
0 Hit Woodwork 1
2 Assists 0

Attacking

36 Attacks 62
2 Big Chances Missed 3
5 Counter Attacks 3

Possession

409 Successful Passes 498
16 Successful Long Passes 41
42 Long Passes 67
491 Passes 571
12 Key Passes 15
83 Successful Passes Percentage 87
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 61

Defensive

8 Saves 5
16 Tackles 14
52 Duels Won 36
11 Interceptions 5

Build-up

6 Total Crosses 30
2 Accurate Crosses 10

Discipline

7 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Jonas Hansen

Starting XI ▼

1
Nicolai Larsen
Nicolai Larsen Goalkeeper
7.16
2
Andreas Poulsen
Andreas Poulsen Defender
6.74
28
Simon Stücker
Simon Stücker
Defender7'
6.31
3
Robin Østrøm
Robin Østrøm Defender
6.51
4
Pedro Ganchas
Pedro Ganchas Defender
6.85
19
Jens Martin Gammelby
Jens Martin Gammelby Defender
6.62
6
Adam Wikman
Adam Wikman Midfielder
6.63
33
Mads Freundlich
Mads Freundlich
Midfielder63'
6.75
9
Alexander Simmelhack
Alexander Simmelhack Midfielder
6.55
20
Mads Larsen
Mads Larsen
Midfielder62'
6.68
11
Oliver Ross
Oliver Ross Midfielder
6.7
7
Villads Westh
Villads Westh
Midfielder46'
6.78
17
Callum McCowatt
Callum McCowatt Midfielder
7.23
27
William Kirk
William Kirk Midfielder
6.67
36
Julius Lorents
Julius Lorents
Midfielder85'
6.51
23
Tonni Adamsen
Tonni Adamsen Attacker
7.26
Referee : Jonas Hansen

Starting XI ▼

1
Paul Izzo
Paul Izzo Goalkeeper
6.97
2
Lucas Lissens
Lucas Lissens Defender
6.65
23
Benjamin Orn
Benjamin Orn
Defender68'
6.11
3
Daniel Høegh
Daniel Høegh Defender
7.08
4
Wessel Dammers
Wessel Dammers Defender
7.14
44
Nikolas Dyhr
Nikolas Dyhr Defender
6.67
15
M. Sjølstad
M. Sjølstad
Defender77'
6.42
6
John Björkengren
John Björkengren Midfielder
6.96
8
Laurits Pedersen
Laurits Pedersen Midfielder
6.68
30
Thibault Klidjé
Thibault Klidjé
Attacker78'
6.6
11
Elies Mahmoud
Elies Mahmoud Midfielder
7.14
7
Mike Themsen
Mike Themsen
Midfielder81'
6.64
17
Mathias Greve
Mathias Greve Midfielder
7.13
33
Cyril Edudzi
Cyril Edudzi Midfielder
6.87
25
Ousseynou Fall Seck
Ousseynou Fall Seck
Midfielder68'
6.5
10
Warren Caddy
Warren Caddy Attacker
6.72

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Robin Østrøm
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Julius Lorents
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
89'
Event
Julius Lorents → William Kirk
10th Substitution
85'
81'
Event
Mike Themsen → Elies Mahmoud
9th Substitution
81'
Event
John Björkengren
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
78'
Event
Thibault Klidjé → Laurits Pedersen
8th Substitution
77'
Event
M. Sjølstad → Nikolas Dyhr
7th Substitution
68'
Event
Benjamin Orn → Lucas Lissens
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Ousseynou Fall Seck → Cyril Edudzi
6th Substitution
Event
Mads Freundlich → Adam Wikman
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Mads Larsen → Alexander Simmelhack
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Villads Westh → Oliver Ross
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
41'
Event
Wessel Dammers
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Alexander Simmelhack
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
8'
Event
Simon Stücker → Andreas Poulsen
1st Substitution
7'

CONCLUSION

Silkeborg IF's 2-0 triumph over Randers FC underscores their tactical edge as the stronger outfit, converting limited possession into a clean-sheet victory. Randers' ball dominance failed to yield goals, exposing conversion issues against a resolute defense. This significant deviation reinforces Silkeborg's home strength, maintaining efficiency without chaos. The straightforward affair, absent reds or disruptions, sets a positive tone for Silkeborg's campaign while challenging Randers to refine their finishing. Overall, the hosts' composure turned projections upside down, solidifying their status.

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