Rostov vs Sochi Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Rostov Arena Tomorrow - 4:30 PM
Premier League
Rostov FCR
Versus
Sochi Sochi
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 4:30 PM
Round 25 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Russian Premier League, Rostov host Sochi at Rostov Arena during the 2025/2026 regular season. The hosts sit in 10th place and hold a clear 4.5-point power advantage over 16th-placed Sochi, underlining their superior overall strength. Rostov have recorded one win, two draws and three losses in their last six matches, most recently drawing at home to Spartak Moskva. Sochi have won just once in six outings but picked up a notable away victory against CSKA Moskva. With higher form scores and home advantage, Rostov will aim to dictate proceedings against a Sochi side battling to escape the bottom reaches of the table in a fixture where structural edges could prove decisive.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rostov 10th hold 4.5pt power edge over 16th-placed Sochi. Home advantage at Rostov Arena key for stronger side.
  • Form: Rostov W1 D2 L3, drew last vs Spartak. Sochi W1 L5 but won away at CSKA.
  • Squad: Limited squad details available ahead of this regular season clash.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable with low confidence in current data.
  • Transition: Transition patterns not detailed for either team in available preview.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data low confidence using proxy metrics. No xG available.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG-style variables not accessible for this matchup.
  • Market: Baseline split: Rostov 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Sochi 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rostov J. Alba Cabello
J. Alba Cabello
VS
Sochi I. Osinkin
I. Osinkin
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.54
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Spartak Moskva Rank: D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: W
Akhmat Grozny Rank: L
Dinamo Moskva Rank: L
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: D
Krasnodar Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
CSKA Moskva Rank: W
Rubin Kazan Rank: L
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: L
Krasnodar Rank: L
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: L
Spartak Moskva Rank: L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 3 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rostov
0%
Draw
0%
Away Sochi
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
18.09
13.56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rostov
Sochi
Power Score
18.09
13.56
League Position
10
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rostov — Opponent-weighted form score
Sochi — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rostov Sochi

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rostov FCR Home
11 matches
Sochi Sochi Away
Match Record
2
Wins
6
3
Draws
3
6
Losses
2
Goals
12
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
12
-15
Goal Difference
+15
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:03:11+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Odoevskiy
71 D. Odoevskiy
V. Melekhin
4 V. Melekhin
D. Chistyakov
78 D. Chistyakov
D. Semenchuk
22 D. Semenchuk
R. Soares dos Santos
7 R. Soares dos Santos
K. Shchetinin
10 K. Shchetinin
A. Mironov
8 A. Mironov
K. Kuchaev
18 K. Kuchaev
I. Vakhaniya
40 I. Vakhaniya
T. Suleymanov
99 T. Suleymanov
M. Mohebi
9 M. Mohebi
A. Degtev
35 A. Degtev
V. Litvinov
4 V. Litvinov
M. Alves Santos
33 M. Alves Santos
A. Soldatenkov
3 A. Soldatenkov
A. Makarchuk
17 A. Makarchuk
A. Kovalenko
19 A. Kovalenko
M. Mukhin
16 M. Mukhin
K. Zaika
27 K. Zaika
M. Ignatov
8 M. Ignatov
Z. Fedorov
9 Z. Fedorov
M. Kramarič
10 M. Kramarič

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 17, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 25 · Regular Season
Stadium
Rostov Arena
Capacity
15840
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

71
Daniil Odoevskiy
Daniil Odoevskiy Goalkeeper
7.06
7
Ronaldo
Ronaldo Midfielder
6.87
40
Ilya Vakhania
Ilya Vakhania Midfielder
6.74
9
Mohammad Mohebi
Mohammad Mohebi Attacker
6.83
99
Timur Suleymanov
Timur Suleymanov Attacker
6.77
4
Viktor Melekhin
Viktor Melekhin Right Back
6.71
8
Aleksey Mironov
Aleksey Mironov Central Midfield
7.1
78
Dmitriy Chistyakov
Dmitriy Chistyakov Centre Back
6.93
22
David Semenchuk
David Semenchuk Left Back
6.73
10
Kirill Shchetinin
Kirill Shchetinin Central Midfield
6.96
18
Konstantin Kuchaev
Konstantin Kuchaev Central Midfield
6.82

Starting XI ▼

35
Aleksandr Degtev
Aleksandr Degtev Goalkeeper
6.73
17
Artem Makarchuk
Artem Makarchuk Midfielder
6.45
27
Kirill Zaika
Kirill Zaika Midfielder
6.46
8
Mikhail Ignatov
Mikhail Ignatov Attacker
6.72
9
Zakhar Fedorov
Zakhar Fedorov Centre Forward
6.52
10
Martin Kramaric
Martin Kramaric Attacker
6.6
3
A. Soldatenkov
A. Soldatenkov Right Back
6.7
4
Vyacheslav Litvinov
Vyacheslav Litvinov Left Back
6.67
16
Maksim Mukhin
Maksim Mukhin Central Midfield
6.61
33
Marcelo Alves
Marcelo Alves Centre Back
6.51
19
A. Kovalenko
A. Kovalenko Central Midfield
6.49

CONCLUSION

Rostov enter as the stronger outfit and are well positioned to claim a positive result at home against Sochi. Their superior power score, league standing and recent form give them the platform to control the game and exploit any defensive lapses from the visitors. Sochi have shown flashes of competitiveness on the road yet their overall record suggests they will find it tough to contain the hosts over 90 minutes. Although detailed efficiency and set piece insights are unavailable, the clear structural gap points to Rostov taking the initiative. Both sides must sharpen their consistency to meet season targets.

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