Pogoń Szczecin vs Wisła Płock Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera Sun, 3 May - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Pogoń Szczecin Pogoń Szczecin
Versus
Wisła Płock Wisła Płock
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 3:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

Pogoń Szczecin vs Wisła Płock preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Pogoń Szczecin host Wisła Płock in Ekstraklasa (Regular Season) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera. Domestically, Pogoń Szczecin sit 14th in the table while Wisła Płock are 5th. Power ranking favours Pogoń Szczecin by 10.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Pogoń Szczecin possesses a 61.44 power score against Wisła Płock's 51.31, yielding a 10.1-point home advantage.
  • Form: Wisła Płock arrives with a higher form score of 27.78 over Pogoń Szczecin's 16.61.
  • Squad: Pogoń Szczecin ranks 14th in the Ekstraklasa while Wisła Płock holds 5th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play specifics unavailable due to limited underlying metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats exhibit low confidence with proxy data and no xG availability for either side.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent, preventing advanced performance insights.
  • Market: Projection split: Pogoń Szczecin 49.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.2% (Δ+0%) | Wisła Płock 24.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Pogoń Szczecin T. Thomasberg
T. Thomasberg
VS
Wisła Płock M. Misiura
M. Misiura
1.24
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.28
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 59 D
Lech Poznań Rank: 69 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 60 W
Legia Warszawa Rank: 64 L
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 61 L
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Radomiak Radom Rank: 59 L
Nieciecza Rank: 52 W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 62 W
Katowice Rank: 65 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 64 W
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 59 W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 4 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Pogoń Szczecin
49.12%
Draw
26.15%
Away Wisła Płock
24.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.44
51.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Pogoń Szczecin
Wisła Płock
Power Score
61.44
51.31
League Position
14
5
Global Rank
431
562

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Pogoń Szczecin — Opponent-weighted form score
Wisła Płock — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pogoń Szczecin Wisła Płock

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pogoń Szczecin Pogoń Szczecin Home
19 matches
Wisła Płock Wisła Płock Away
Match Record
7
Wins
8
4
Draws
4
8
Losses
7
Goals
24
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
24
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:57:48+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
V. Cojocaru
77 V. Cojocaru
D. Lončar
22 D. Lončar
D. Keramitsis
13 D. Keramitsis
A. Szalai
41 A. Szalai
L. Borges da Silva
4 L. Borges da Silva
M. Agger
25 M. Agger
K. Acosta
3 K. Acosta
F. Ulvestad
8 F. Ulvestad
Natan Lawa
47 Natan Lawa
F. Čuić
10 F. Čuić
P. Mukairu
18 P. Mukairu
R. Leszczynski
12 R. Leszczynski
N. Mijušković
25 N. Mijušković
M. Kamiński
35 M. Kamiński
M. Haglind-Sangré
4 M. Haglind-Sangré
D. Gallapeni
19 D. Gallapeni
D. Pacheco Lobato
8 D. Pacheco Lobato
K. Savvidis
88 K. Savvidis
D. Kun
14 D. Kun
Ł. Sekulski
20 Ł. Sekulski
W. Nowak
30 W. Nowak
I. Niarchos
9 I. Niarchos

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Capacity
18027
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bartosz Heinig
Filip Sierant
Błażej Syropiatko
Paweł Raczkowski

Expected Lineup

Referee : Paweł Raczkowski

Starting XI ▼

77
Valentin Cojocaru
Valentin Cojocaru Goalkeeper
7.15
47
N. Lawa
N. Lawa Midfielder
6.55
25
M. Agger
M. Agger Midfielder
6.59
10
Filip Cuic
Filip Cuic Attacker
6.52
18
Paul Mukairu
Paul Mukairu Attacker
6.79
3
Kellyn Acosta
Kellyn Acosta Central Midfield
6.87
4
Léo Borges
Léo Borges Left Back
6.93
8
Fredrik Ulvestad
Fredrik Ulvestad Central Midfield
6.99
41
Attila Szalai
Attila Szalai Left Back
6.72
22
Danijel Loncar
Danijel Loncar Right Back
6.6
13
Dimitrios Keramitsis
Dimitrios Keramitsis Right Back
6.87
Referee : Paweł Raczkowski

Starting XI ▼

12
Rafal Leszczynski
Rafal Leszczynski Goalkeeper
7.06
19
Dion Gallapeni
Dion Gallapeni Midfielder
6.43
20
Lukasz Sekulski
Lukasz Sekulski Midfielder
7.03
9
Giannis Niarchos
Giannis Niarchos Attacker
6.54
30
Wiktor Nowak
Wiktor Nowak Attacker
6.87
88
Kyriakos Savvidis
Kyriakos Savvidis Central Midfield
7.01
4
Marcus Haglind-Sangré
Marcus Haglind-Sangré Right Back
6.74
14
Dominik Kun
Dominik Kun Central Midfield
6.71
8
Dani Pacheco
Dani Pacheco Central Midfield
7.2
25
Nemanja Mijuskovic
Nemanja Mijuskovic Left Back
6.71
35
Marcin Kaminski
Marcin Kaminski Centre Back
6.81

CONCLUSION

Pogoń Szczecin's superior power rating positions them favorably at home, yet Wisła Płock's loftier league standing and sharper form introduce intrigue. Expect Pogoń to leverage structural depth for control, while Wisła counters with momentum from recent showings. Absent detailed efficiency or set piece edges, the contest hinges on execution in transition phases. Projections tilt toward Pogoń, but Wisła's resilience could force a cagey affair. Home support at Stadion Miejski may prove decisive in securing points for the hosts.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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