Pisa vs Lecce Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani Today - 6:45 PM
Serie A
Pisa PIS
Versus
Lecce LEC
KICKOFF : Today - 6:45 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

Pisa vs Lecce preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Pisa hosts Lecce at the Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani in a pivotal Serie A regular season fixture of the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side languishes in 20th position, desperate for points to climb out of the relegation zone, while visitors Lecce hold 17th place with slightly more breathing room. Lecce arrives as the stronger team, wielding a power score of 67.95 against Pisa's 54.27, translating to a clear 13.7-point advantage. Contrasting this, Pisa shows better recent momentum with a form score of 5.89 compared to Lecce's 3.06. Absent detailed last outings or advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces, which rely on low-confidence proxies, the matchup hinges on basic strengths. Home advantage could fuel Pisa's resilience, but Lecce's superior rating suggests control. League positions underscore the high stakes for both in this survival scrap.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lecce enjoys a 13.7-point power advantage with 67.95 score over Pisa's 54.27.
  • Form: Pisa outperforms in form at 5.89 versus Lecce's 3.06.
  • Squad: Pisa ranks 20th and Lecce 17th in Serie A domestic standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies as xG unavailable for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting variable performance insights.
  • Market: Pisa 27.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 31.7% (Δ+0%) | Lecce 40.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Pisa O. Hiljemark
O. Hiljemark
VS
Lecce E. Di Francesco
E. Di Francesco
0.52
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.92
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Parma Rank: 72 L
Genoa Rank: 74 L
Roma Rank: 83 L
Torino Rank: 75 L
Como Rank: 83 L
Cagliari Rank: 70 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hellas Verona Rank: 63 D
Fiorentina Rank: 77 D
Bologna Rank: 78 L
Atalanta Rank: 84 L
Roma Rank: 84 L
Napoli Rank: 86 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Pisa
27.51%
Draw
31.71%
Away Lecce
40.78%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.27
67.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Pisa
Lecce
Power Score
54.27
67.95
League Position
20
17
Global Rank
373
247

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Pisa — Opponent-weighted form score
Lecce — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pisa Lecce

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pisa PIS Home
7 matches
Lecce LEC Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
6
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T17:00:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Šemper
Croatia
1 A. Šemper
R. Bozhinov
Bulgaria
2 R. Bozhinov
A. Caracciolo
Italy
4 A. Caracciolo
S. Canestrelli
Italy
5 S. Canestrelli
M. Marcel Léris
Algeria
7 M. Marcel Léris
E. Akinsanmiro
Nigeria
14 E. Akinsanmiro
M. Aebischer
Switzerland
20 M. Aebischer
?. Vural
Sweden
21 ?. Vural
S. Angori
Italy
3 S. Angori
S. Moreo
Italy
32 S. Moreo
F. Stojilkovic
Switzerland
81 F. Stojilkovic
W. Falcone
Italy
30 W. Falcone
A. Gallo
Italy
25 A. Gallo
T. Coelho Oliveira
44 T. Coelho Oliveira
J. Siebert
Germany
5 J. Siebert
D. Melo Veiga
Portugal
17 D. Melo Veiga
L. Coulibaly
Mali
29 L. Coulibaly
Y. Ramadani
Albania
20 Y. Ramadani
L. Banda
Zambia
19 L. Banda
O. Gandelman
Israel
16 O. Gandelman
S. Pierotti
Argentina
50 S. Pierotti
N. Štulić
Serbia
9 N. Štulić

General Information

Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Capacity
10442
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniele Doveri
Paride Tremolada
Alessandro Lo Cicero
Paolo Laudato

Lineup

Referee : Daniele Doveri

Starting XI ▼

1
Adrian Semper
Adrian Semper Goalkeeper
6.94
2
Rosen Bozhinov
Rosen Bozhinov Defender
6.81
4
Antonio Caracciolo
Antonio Caracciolo Defender
6.72
5
Simone Canestrelli
Simone Canestrelli Defender
6.64
3
Samuele Angori
Samuele Angori Midfielder
6.75
7
Mehdi Léris
Mehdi Léris Midfielder
6.75
14
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro Midfielder
6.81
20
Michel Aebischer
Michel Aebischer Midfielder
6.85
21
İsak Vural
İsak Vural Midfielder
6.62
32
Stefano Moreo
Stefano Moreo Attacker
6.94
81
Filip Stojilkovic
Filip Stojilkovic Attacker
6.43
Referee : Daniele Doveri

Starting XI ▼

30
Wladimiro Falcone
Wladimiro Falcone Goalkeeper
6.79
5
Jamil Siebert
Jamil Siebert Defender
6.74
17
Danilo Veiga
Danilo Veiga Defender
6.69
25
Antonino Gallo
Antonino Gallo Defender
6.72
44
Tiago Gabriel
Tiago Gabriel Defender
6.9
16
Omri Gandelman
Omri Gandelman Midfielder
6.54
20
Ylber Ramadani
Ylber Ramadani Midfielder
6.82
29
Lassana Coulibaly
Lassana Coulibaly Midfielder
6.83
9
Nikola Stulic
Nikola Stulic Attacker
6.64
19
Lameck Banda
Lameck Banda Attacker
6.64
50
Santiago Pierotti
Santiago Pierotti Attacker
6.54

CONCLUSION

Lecce's power edge positions them to dominate structurally, yet Pisa's sharper form and familiar surroundings at Arena Garibaldi promise resistance. Without granular efficiency or set-piece details, the contest likely unfolds as a gritty affair emphasizing defensive organization and clinical finishing. Visitors' higher rating hints at earning spoils, but hosts' momentum could force a draw or surprise win. Key battles in midfield will dictate tempo, with both sides prioritizing clean sheets amid relegation pressures. Anticipate intensity from whistle to whistle in this balanced yet tense encounter.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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