Pisa vs Genoa Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Serie A
Genoa
GEN
Pisa vs Genoa preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Genoa claimed a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Pisa in a match that leveled at 1-1 during halftime, showcasing the visitors' second-half resolve. As the stronger team, Genoa controlled 56% possession against Pisa's 44%, methodically breaking down the home defense without red card interruptions. The outcome delivered a significant 63.7% deviation in Genoa's favor, reflecting their ability to convert limited chances decisively. Pre-match probabilities positioned Genoa slightly ahead at 36.3%, with the result aligning overall despite the shift. Efficiency metrics for both sides remained in line with expectations, underscoring a tactical battle where Genoa's composure prevailed. No major second-half adjustments or events altered the flow, allowing Genoa's quality to shine through in grinding out the road win.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Halftime 1-1 tie shifted to Genoa's 1-0 full-time win via second-half control.
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Efficiency shift: Both teams' efficiencies aligned with pre-match expectations.
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xG alignment: Lack of xG data prevents outcome alignment evaluation.
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Market alignment: Final result matched pre-match market expectations.
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xG expectations: xG absence blocks comparison to performance expectations.
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Event impact: Empty second-half adjustments list shows no key events swayed result.
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Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured undistorted match progression.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Pisa
Genoa
Movement
Changes since opening
Pisa
Genoa
Team Power Ranking
i
12.03
22.93
Pisa
Genoa
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Pisa
Genoa
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Pisa
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Pisa
⚠ Proxy
Pisa
Genoa
Pisa
Genoa
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Pisa
Pisa
Genoa
Pisa
Genoa
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- PIS had peak pressure around 75'.
- GEN started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:05:23+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Pisa
vs
Parma
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini
Genoa
vs
Como
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 1:00 PM
Venue: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
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Substitutes ▼








Manager ▼
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Events
CONCLUSION
How We Build This Analysis
BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Match Commentary