Oleksandria vs Veres Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
KSK Nika Mon, 20 Apr - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Oleksandria Oleksandria
0 Winner 3
Veres Veres
Full Time Mon, 20 Apr 10:00 AM
Round 24 Regular Season
|
Goal
Fabrício Yan - 7'
Igor Kharatin - 39'
Guilherme Bahia - 90+1'

Oleksandria vs Veres preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Oleksandria welcomed Veres to their home ground expecting to leverage their status as favorites, but the visitors delivered a shocking 0-3 triumph. Veres raced into a 0-2 halftime lead, exploiting Oleksandria's defensive lapses with clinical precision despite holding only 40% possession. The hosts dominated the ball at 60% but failed to muster meaningful threats, their attacks repeatedly breaking down in the final third. Veres added a third goal post-interval, rounding off a performance that highlighted ruthless efficiency over territorial control. No red cards disrupted proceedings, and the lack of tactical adjustments underscored Veres' dominance. This outcome marked a significant structural deviation of 69.5%, with Veres affirming their stronger standing and flipping pre-match expectations decisively.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Veres posted a significant 69.5% structural deviation in their favor.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, so alignment with outcome undetermined.
  • Market alignment: Outcome diverged from pre-market expectations, with alignment absent.
  • xG expectations: Missing xG data prevented evaluation of expectations.
  • Event impact: No key events or second-half adjustments altered the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion to the final scoreline.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Telbukh
L. Telbukh
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.91
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
S. Prychyna
S. Prychyna
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.91
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
M. Striletska
M. Striletska
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.91
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
H. Svitlana
H. Svitlana
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.91
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
Oleksandria V. Sharan
V. Sharan
VS
Veres O. Shandruk
O. Shandruk
0.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.21
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Karpaty Rank: L
SK Poltava Rank: D
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: L
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: L
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: L
Kudrivka Rank: D
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 7 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Oleksandria
40.29%
Draw
29.25%
Away Veres
30.46%

Movement

Changes since opening
Oleksandria
+39.33%
Draw
+26.89%
Veres
-66.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
10.65
17.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Oleksandria
Veres
Power Score
10.65
17.14
League Position
15
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Oleksandria — Opponent-weighted form score
Veres — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Oleksandria Veres

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Oleksandria

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Veres

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Oleksandria ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Veres
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
11.42
16.63
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.63
11.42
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Oleksandria -0.53 Efficiency Index
vs
Veres +0.53 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Oleksandria
Veres
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Oleksandria ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Veres
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Oleksandria Veres
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Oleksandria Veres
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Oleksandria
Veres
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Oleksandria
vs
Veres
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Oleksandria Veres
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Oleksandria 0.07
Veres 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Oleksandria Veres
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Oleksandria 0.09
Veres 0.00
Oleksandria
Veres
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Veres had peak pressure around 34'.
  • Veres started the game with stronger pressure.
Oleksandria Pressure Veres Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Veres reached the top pressure at 34' (52.15).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Oleksandria Oleksandria Home
10 matches
Veres Veres Away
Match Record
3
Wins
0
7
Draws
7
0
Losses
3
Goals
14
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
14
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T05:32:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
N. Makarenko
72 N. Makarenko
D. Skorko
Ukraine
22 D. Skorko
M. Ferreira Campos
Portugal
26 M. Ferreira Campos
J. Behiratche
Ivory Coast
50 J. Behiratche
B. Butko
Ukraine
91 B. Butko
M. Ferreira Guimarães
Substitution
49 M. Ferreira Guimarães
D. Myshnov
Ukraine
9 (C) D. Myshnov
S. Buletsa
Substitution
Ukraine
10 S. Buletsa
M. Rodrigues Teixeira
Substitution
Portugal
67 M. Rodrigues Teixeira
B. Castillo Rosendo
Venezuela
99 B. Castillo Rosendo
P. Yade
Senegal
37 P. Yade
V. Gorokh
Ukraine
91 V. Gorokh
M. Smiyan
Ukraine
2 M. Smiyan
S. Vovchenko
Ukraine
3 S. Vovchenko
K. Cipot
Slovenia
4 K. Cipot
K. Stamoulis
Greece
22 (C) K. Stamoulis
F. Yan Peixoto Barros Limeira
Brazil
7 F. Yan Peixoto Barros Limeira
I. Kharatin
Substitution
Ukraine
14 I. Kharatin
D. Klots
Substitution
Ukraine
10 D. Klots
A. Gonçalves
Substitution
Portugal
19 A. Gonçalves
S. Sten
Substitution
Ukraine
26 S. Sten
V. Sharay
Ukraine
77 V. Sharay

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 20, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 24 · Regular Season
Stadium
KSK Nika
Capacity
7000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Lyudmila Telbukh
Sofia Prychyna
Maryna Striletska
Hrushko Svitlana

Statistics

Possession
Oleksandria
55%
Veres
45%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
3 Shots 0
57 Dangerous attacks 33
60 Possession 40
10 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 6

Match Overview

0 Assists 2
4 Substitutions 5
9 Goal Kicks 11

Attacking

87 Attacks 75

Defensive

2 Saves 1

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
7 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Sofia Prychyna

Starting XI ▼

72
Nazar Makarenko
Nazar Makarenko Goalkeeper
5.68
22
Danil Skorko
Danil Skorko Defender
5.88
26
Miguel Campos
Miguel Campos Defender
5.88
50
Jocelin Behiratche
Jocelin Behiratche Defender
5.88
91
Bogdan Butko
Bogdan Butko Defender
5.88
9
Dmytro Myshnyov
Dmytro Myshnyov (C) Midfielder
6.18
10
Sergiy Buletsa
Sergiy Buletsa Midfielder
6.27
77
Dmytrii Kremchanin
Dmytrii Kremchanin
Attacker46'
6.46
37
Papa Ndiaga Yade
Papa Ndiaga Yade Midfielder
6.18
49
Mateus Amaral
Mateus Amaral Midfielder
6.27
—
Mateus Amaral
46'
67
Mauro Rodrigues
Mauro Rodrigues Midfielder
6.27
44
Jhonnatan Silva
Jhonnatan Silva
Midfielder46'
6.37
99
Bryan Castillo
Bryan Castillo Attacker
6.34
Referee : Sofia Prychyna

Starting XI ▼

91
Valentyn Gorokh
Valentyn Gorokh Goalkeeper
6.5
2
Maksym Smiyan
Maksym Smiyan Defender
6.49
3
Semen Vovchenko
Semen Vovchenko Defender
6.5
4
K. Cipot
K. Cipot Defender
6.49
22
Konstantinos Stamoulis
Konstantinos Stamoulis (C) Defender
6.5
10
Dmytro Klyots
Dmytro Klyots Midfielder
6.5
18
Vitaliy Boyko
Vitaliy Boyko
Midfielder46'
6.5
14
Igor Kharatin
Igor Kharatin Midfielder
6.65
44
Danyil Checher
Danyil Checher
Defender90+2'
6.35
19
André Gonçalves
André Gonçalves Midfielder
6.61
80
Guilherme Bahia
Guilherme Bahia
Attacker56'
6.83
77
Vladyslav Sharay
Vladyslav Sharay Midfielder
6.5
7
Fabrício Yan
Fabrício Yan Attacker
6.86
26
Sergey Sten
Sergey Sten Attacker
6.46
30
Denys Ndukve
Denys Ndukve
Attacker69'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Danyil Checher → Igor Kharatin
9th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Guilherme Bahia
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+1'
Event
Guilherme Bahia
8th Yellowcard
89'
Event
K. Cipot
7th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Maksym Smiyan
6th Yellowcard
82'
Event
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Valentyn Gorokh
5th Yellowcard
81'
Event
10th Yellowcard
Event
7th Substitution
70'
Event
Sergiy Sten
9th Yellowcard
70'
Event
Denys Khmeliovskyi
4th Yellowcard
70'
69'
Event
Denys Ndukve → Sergey Sten
6th Substitution
56'
Event
Guilherme Bahia → André Gonçalves
5th Substitution
Event
Dmytrii Kremchanin → Sergiy Buletsa
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Denys Khmeliovskyi → Mateus Amaral
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Jhonnatan Silva → Mauro Rodrigues
4th Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Vitaliy Boyko → Dmytro Klyots
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Igor Kharatin
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Bryan Castillo
2nd Yellowcard
35'
35'
Event
Igor Kharatin
3rd Yellowcard
21'
Event
Sergey Sten
1st Yellowcard
7'
Event
Fabrício Yan
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Veres' emphatic 0-3 road win over Oleksandria exemplifies how superior finishing trumps possession stats, propelling them forward while exposing the hosts' wastefulness. Labeled the stronger team, Veres capitalized fully on limited opportunities, extending their halftime advantage seamlessly. Oleksandria's inability to convert dominance into goals raises questions about their attacking potency ahead. This significant deviation reinforces Veres' credentials as a rising force, potentially reshaping league dynamics and mid-table battles in the weeks to come.

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