Oleksandria vs Kolos Kovalivka Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
KSK Nika Tomorrow - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Oleksandria Oleksandria
Versus
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 10:00 AM
Round 26 Regular Season

Oleksandria vs Kolos Kovalivka preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

CONTEXT

In the Ukrainian Premier League's 2025/2026 regular season, Oleksandria welcomes Kolos Kovalivka to KSK Nika stadium, a matchup pitting a struggling host against a more robust visitor. Kolos Kovalivka arrives with a commanding power score of 30.07, dwarfing Oleksandria's 10.87 and securing a 19.2-point advantage that underscores their superior overall structure and capability. League standings reinforce this: Kolos sits comfortably in 6th place, while Oleksandria languishes at 15th. Form metrics paint a stark picture too, with Kolos boasting a 27.89 rating against Oleksandria's meager 2.67, signaling consistent momentum for the away side. Advanced data like efficiency and set pieces remains unavailable, limiting deeper tactical insights, but the raw disparities suggest Kolos holds the upper hand in transitions and general play. Oleksandria will need a heroic home performance to bridge the gap.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Kolos Kovalivka possesses a 19.2-point power advantage over Oleksandria, reflecting superior team structure.
  • Form: Kolos Kovalivka's form score of 27.89 vastly outpaces Oleksandria's 2.67.
  • Squad: Kolos Kovalivka ranks 6th in the league, while Oleksandria is 15th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No specific transition data provided, but power scores favor Kolos Kovalivka.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG statistics.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not accessible for this fixture.
  • Market: Oleksandria 24.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 30% (Δ+0%) | Kolos Kovalivka 45.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Oleksandria V. Sharan
V. Sharan
VS
Kolos Kovalivka R. Kostyshyn
R. Kostyshyn
0.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.71
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: D
Veres Rank: L
Karpaty Rank: L
SK Poltava Rank: D
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
SK Poltava Rank: W
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: W
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: D
Veres Rank: W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 4 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Oleksandria
24.19%
Draw
29.95%
Away Kolos Kovalivka
45.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
10.87
30.07
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
Power Score
10.87
30.07
League Position
15
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Oleksandria Opponent-weighted form score
Kolos Kovalivka Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Oleksandria Kolos Kovalivka

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Oleksandria Oleksandria Home
14 matches
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka Away
Match Record
6
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
4
Losses
6
Goals
19
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
19
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-30T00:07:42+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 26 · Regular Season
Stadium
KSK Nika
Capacity
7000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Viktor Dolgyi
Viktor Dolgyi Goalkeeper
72
Nazar Makarenko
Nazar Makarenko Goalkeeper
26
Miguel Ferreira Campos
Miguel Ferreira Campos Defender
91
Bohdan Butko
Bohdan Butko Defender
25
Yanis Hamache
Yanis Hamache Defender
22
Danil Skorko
Danil Skorko Defender
86
Anton Bol
Anton Bol Defender
50
Jocelin Behiratche
Jocelin Behiratche Defender
23
Mykola Ogarkov
Mykola Ogarkov Defender
17
Artur Andreichyk
Artur Andreichyk Defender
9
Dmytro Myshnov
Dmytro Myshnov Midfielder
10
Serhiy Buletsa
Serhiy Buletsa Midfielder
11
Artem Shulianskyi
Artem Shulianskyi Midfielder
71
Denys Shostak
Denys Shostak Midfielder
5
Fernando Henrique do Nascimento Pereira
Fernando Henrique do Nascimento Pereira Midfielder
40
Dmytro Chernysh
Dmytro Chernysh Midfielder
20
Daniil Vashchenko
Daniil Vashchenko Midfielder
97
Nazar Prokopenko
Nazar Prokopenko Midfielder
49
Mateus Amaral Ferreira Guimarães
Mateus Amaral Ferreira Guimarães Midfielder
27
Tedi Cara
Tedi Cara Attacker
99
Bryan José Castillo Rosendo
Bryan José Castillo Rosendo Attacker
67
Mauro Daniel Rodrigues Teixeira
Mauro Daniel Rodrigues Teixeira Attacker
37
Papa Ndiaga Yade
Papa Ndiaga Yade Attacker
24
Hussayn Touati
Hussayn Touati Attacker
19
João Paulo dos Santos Pereira
João Paulo dos Santos Pereira Attacker
77
Dmytro Kremchanin
Dmytro Kremchanin Attacker
44
Jhonnatan da Silva
Jhonnatan da Silva Attacker

Squad

1
Dmytro Matsapura
Dmytro Matsapura Goalkeeper
38
Tymur Puzankov
Tymur Puzankov Goalkeeper
31
Ivan Pakholyuk
Ivan Pakholyuk Goalkeeper
5
Valeriy Bondarenko
Valeriy Bondarenko Defender
9
Andriy Tsurikov
Andriy Tsurikov Defender
6
Mykyta Burda
Mykyta Burda Defender
77
Andriy Ponedelnik
Andriy Ponedelnik Defender
3
Eduard Kozik
Eduard Kozik Defender
45
Daniil Khrypchuk
Daniil Khrypchuk Defender
2
Zurab Rukhadze
Zurab Rukhadze Defender
81
Yehor Popravka
Yehor Popravka Defender
27
Taras Stepanenko
Taras Stepanenko Midfielder
8
Artem Chelyadin
Artem Chelyadin Midfielder
14
Ibrahim Kane
Ibrahim Kane Midfielder
99
Arinaldo Rrapaj
Arinaldo Rrapaj Midfielder
20
Nika Gagnidze
Nika Gagnidze Midfielder
10
Luka Stankovski
Luka Stankovski Midfielder
55
Elias Miguel Trevizan Telles
Elias Miguel Trevizan Telles Midfielder
7
Oleksandr Demchenko
Oleksandr Demchenko Midfielder
80
Oleh Kryvoruchko
Oleh Kryvoruchko Midfielder
47
Daniil Denysenko
Daniil Denysenko Midfielder
70
Yury Klymchuk
Yury Klymchuk Attacker
Rostyslav Taranukha
Rostyslav Taranukha Attacker
19
Danylo Alefirenko
Danylo Alefirenko Attacker
11
A. Tahiri
A. Tahiri Attacker
17
Anton Salabay
Anton Salabay Attacker
15
Husol Artem
Husol Artem Attacker

CONCLUSION

Kolos Kovalivka emerges as the clear frontrunner in this Premier League encounter, backed by a substantial power edge, superior form, and higher league standing that position them to control proceedings at KSK Nika. Oleksandria faces an uphill battle from 15th place, relying on home support to counter Kolos' momentum. Absent detailed efficiency, transition, or set-piece insights, the preview hinges on foundational metrics favoring the visitors. Expect Kolos to leverage their strengths for a likely positive result, though Oleksandria's desperation could spark resilience. This imbalance points toward a competitive yet Kolos-dominated affair.

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