Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Obolon' Arena Sat, 7 Mar - 1:30 PM
Premier League
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar
0 – 0
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Full Time Sat, 7 Mar 1:30 PM
Taras Moroz 68' Red Card
|

Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Match is finished. Obolon'-Brovar 0–0 Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih. The match ended in a draw. Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 40%–60%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Rayda
M. Rayda
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 5.15
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Obolon'-Brovar O. Antonenko
O. Antonenko
VS
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih P. van Leeuwen
P. van Leeuwen
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: W
Oleksandria Rank: D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: D
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zorya Luhansk Rank: W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: D
Oleksandria Rank: W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: D
Veres Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Obolon'-Brovar
29.19%
Draw
29.19%
Away Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
41.61%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
38.89
54.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Obolon'-Brovar
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Power Score
38.89
54.39
League Position
10
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Obolon'-Brovar — Opponent-weighted form score
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Obolon'-Brovar Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Obolon'-Brovar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Obolon'-Brovar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
6.63
14.42
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
14.42
6.63
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Obolon'-Brovar -0.79 Efficiency Index
vs
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih +0.79 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Obolon'-Brovar
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Obolon'-Brovar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Obolon'-Brovar Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Obolon'-Brovar Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Obolon'-Brovar
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar Home
5 matches
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Away
Match Record
0
Wins
4
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
1
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:03:12+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 07, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadium
Obolon' Arena
Capacity
5100
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mykhailo Rayda

Statistics

Possession
Obolon'-Brovar
42%
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
58%

Top Statistics

2 Shots 7
13 Dangerous attacks 33
40 Possession 60
1 Corners 6
18 Free kicks 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

12 Goal Kicks 4
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

49 Attacks 67

Defensive

2 Saves 0

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 18

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Jhoel Maya → Bar Lin
9th Substitution
Event
Oleksandr Feshchenko → O. Zhovtenko
8th Substitution
83'
Event
R. Volokhatyi
4th Yellowcard
80'
Event
5th Yellowcard
80'
78'
Event
Carlos Rojas
3rd Yellowcard
74'
Event
Carlos Rojas → Andrusw Araujo
7th Substitution
Event
Artem Kulakovskyi → Denys Ustymenko
6th Substitution
72'
Event
O. Antonenko
2nd Redcard
69'
Event
Taras Moroz
1st Redcard
68'
Event
R. Volokhatyi → Yegor Prokopenko
5th Substitution
46'
Event
Ivan Nesterenko → Igor Medynskyi
4th Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Matviy Bodnar → Yaroslav Shevchenko
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Giovany Herbert → Assane Seck
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
O. Zhovtenko
2nd Yellowcard
45+2'
45+2'
Event
Carlos Paraco
1st Yellowcard
Event
Nazariy Fedorivskyi → Denys Marchenko
1st Substitution
31'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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