Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Kranjčevićeva Sun, 3 May - 2:00 PM
1. HNL
Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb
Versus
Rijeka Rijeka
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 2:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Lokomotiva Zagreb host Rijeka in 1. HNL (Regular Season) at Stadion Kranjčevićeva. Domestically, Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 5th in the table while Rijeka are 4th. Power ranking favours Rijeka by 6.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rijeka possesses a 6.3-point power advantage with a score of 69.79 over Lokomotiva Zagreb's 63.47.
  • Form: Lokomotiva Zagreb leads in form with a score of 22.78 compared to Rijeka's 14.56.
  • Squad: Rijeka sits 4th and Lokomotiva Zagreb 5th in the 1. HNL standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition statistics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics are unavailable due to lack of xG data.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are not available for either team.
  • Market: Lokomotiva Zagreb 30% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.6% (Δ+0%) | Rijeka 41.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lokomotiva Zagreb N. Jelavić
N. Jelavić
VS
Rijeka V. Sánchez del Amo
V. Sánchez del Amo
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.45
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osijek Rank: 63 D
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 63 W
Gorica Rank: 61 W
Istra 1961 Rank: 64 W
Vukovar Rank: 55 D
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 81 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hajduk Split Rank: 71 D
Varaždin Rank: 65 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 80 D
Osijek Rank: 62 L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 W
Gorica Rank: 62 L
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 11 - 34
34
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lokomotiva Zagreb
30.01%
Draw
28.58%
Away Rijeka
41.41%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.47
69.79
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Rijeka
Power Score
63.47
69.79
League Position
5
4
Global Rank
372
201

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lokomotiva Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Rijeka — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lokomotiva Zagreb Rijeka

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 60 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb Home
60 matches
Rijeka Rijeka Away
Match Record
15
Wins
34
11
Draws
11
34
Losses
15
Goals
56
Goals Scored
110
110
Goals Conceded
56
-54
Goal Difference
+54
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:56:50+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Posavec
12 J. Posavec
M. Boune
13 M. Boune
D. Kolinger
20 D. Kolinger
L. Dajčer
16 L. Dajčer
M. Pajač
17 M. Pajač
M. Subotic
10 M. Subotic
B. Bošković
6 B. Bošković
J. Vasilj
29 J. Vasilj
L. Belcar
28 L. Belcar
M. Šušak
11 M. Šušak
A. Stojaković
15 A. Stojaković
M. Zlomislić
13 M. Zlomislić
S. Radeljić
6 S. Radeljić
M. Devetak
34 M. Devetak
A. Majstorović
45 A. Majstorović
A. Oreč
22 A. Oreč
B. Pavić
66 B. Pavić
A. Barco Del Solar
55 A. Barco Del Solar
T. Dantas
26 T. Dantas
A. Gojak
14 A. Gojak
D. Čop
9 D. Čop
D. Adu-Adjei
18 D. Adu-Adjei

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Kranjčevićeva
Capacity
8850
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

12
Josip Posavec
Josip Posavec Goalkeeper
6.74
15
Aleks Stojakovic
Aleks Stojakovic Centre Forward
6.8
16
Luka Dajcer
Luka Dajcer Left Back
6.61
6
Blaz Boskovic
Blaz Boskovic Defensive Midfield
6.92
10
Matija Subotic
Matija Subotic Defensive Midfield
6.67
20
Denis Kolinger
Denis Kolinger Right Back
6.78
29
Jakov-Anton Vasilj
Jakov-Anton Vasilj Right Wing
6.71
11
Mirko Susak
Mirko Susak Left Wing
6.67
13
Mody Boune
Mody Boune Right Back
6.75
17
Marko Pajac
Marko Pajac Left Back
7.13
28
Leon Belcar
Leon Belcar Attacking Midfield
6.73

Starting XI ▼

13
Martin Zlomislic
Martin Zlomislic Goalkeeper
6.67
14
Amer Gojak
Amer Gojak Midfielder
6.6
66
Branko Pavic
Branko Pavic Midfielder
6.75
9
Duje Cop
Duje Cop Attacker
6.59
18
Daniel Adu-Adjei
Daniel Adu-Adjei Attacker
6.72
6
Stjepan Radeljic
Stjepan Radeljic Left Back
6.95
22
Ante Orec
Ante Orec Right Back
7
34
Mladen Devetak
Mladen Devetak Left Back
6.65
45
Ante Majstorovic
Ante Majstorovic Right Back
6.89
55
Alfonso Daniel Barco del Solar
Alfonso Daniel Barco del Solar Central Midfield
6.48
26
Tiago Dantas
Tiago Dantas Central Midfield
7.33

CONCLUSION

Rijeka's superior power rating gives them a structural edge, but Lokomotiva's stronger form could fuel a resilient home display. Absent detailed efficiency, transition, or set piece insights, the contest hinges on squad execution and adaptability. Rijeka's higher league position underscores their consistency, yet Lokomotiva's momentum invites caution. This tight matchup likely unfolds as a tactical chess game, with Rijeka's quality poised to edge a result, though home advantage keeps parity alive for points shared or a surprise upset.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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