LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Cherkasy Arena Sun, 26 Apr - 12:30 PM
Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy
1 – 1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 12:30 PM
Round 25 Regular Season
Artur Ryabov - 55'
Goal
|
Goal
Peter Mandela Itodo - 70'

LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

LNZ Cherkasy and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv played out a 1-1 draw in a competitive encounter. The first half ended goalless at 0-0, with Metalist 1925 holding 64% possession to LNZ Cherkasy's 36%. Despite the visitors' dominance in ball control, LNZ Cherkasy, identified as the stronger team beforehand, remained disciplined defensively. Both goals arrived in the second half, leveling the scoreline and ensuring a share of the points. No red cards were issued, maintaining structural integrity throughout. The result reflects a significant 65.5% deviation, attributed to LNZ Cherkasy's performance exceeding pre-match structural assessments. Efficiency stayed in line with expectations, showcasing LNZ's ability to counter pressure effectively without major adjustments.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match resulted in a 65.5% significant structural deviation for LNZ Cherkasy.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was not achieved.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
  • Event impact: No notable events altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Maksim Koziryatskiy
Maksim Koziryatskiy
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.2
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
A. Semenov
A. Semenov
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.2
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
T. Chopilko
T. Chopilko
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.2
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
O. Omelchenko
O. Omelchenko
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.2
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
LNZ Cherkasy V. Ponomarov
V. Ponomarov
VS
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv M. Bartulović
M. Bartulović
2.21
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: L
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: D
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: W
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: W
Oleksandria Rank: W
Veres Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kudrivka Rank: W
Veres Rank: W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: W
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: D
SK Poltava Rank: W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home LNZ Cherkasy
36.84%
Draw
34.46%
Away Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
28.7%

Movement

Changes since opening
LNZ Cherkasy
+29.89%
Draw
-51.63%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
+21.75%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.75
29.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Power Score
31.75
29.59
League Position
2
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
LNZ Cherkasy — Opponent-weighted form score
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) LNZ Cherkasy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

LNZ Cherkasy

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

LNZ Cherkasy ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
19.44
10.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
10.55
19.44
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
LNZ Cherkasy +0.90 Efficiency Index
vs
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv -0.90 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

LNZ Cherkasy ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Created Set-piece attacking threat
LNZ Cherkasy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
LNZ Cherkasy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
LNZ Cherkasy
vs
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
LNZ Cherkasy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
LNZ Cherkasy 0.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0.07
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
LNZ Cherkasy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
LNZ Cherkasy 0.02
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0.02
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LNZ Cherkasy had peak pressure around 8'.
  • LNZ Cherkasy started the game with stronger pressure.
LNZ Cherkasy Pressure Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LNZ Cherkasy reached the top pressure at 8' (60.04).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy Home
3 matches
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:03:17+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
O. Palamarchuk
Ukraine
12 O. Palamarchuk
G. Pasich
Ukraine
11 G. Pasich
O. Gorin
Ukraine
25 O. Gorin
N. Muravskyi
Ukraine
34 N. Muravskyi
A. Drambayev
Ukraine
14 A. Drambayev
R. Didyk
Substitution
Ukraine
29 R. Didyk
E. Tverdokhlib
Substitution
Ukraine
22 E. Tverdokhlib
A. Ryabov
Ukraine
16 A. Ryabov
Y. Pastukh
Ukraine
19 Y. Pastukh
D. Kuzyk
Ukraine
17 D. Kuzyk
M. Assinor
Substitution
Ghana
90 M. Assinor
D. Varakuta
Ukraine
30 D. Varakuta
O. Martynyuk
Ukraine
24 O. Martynyuk
A. Shabanov
Ukraine
31 A. Shabanov
V. Salyuk
Ukraine
13 V. Salyuk
I. Krupskyi
Ukraine
27 I. Krupskyi
B. Zabergja
Substitution
Kosovo
26 B. Zabergja
Y. Pavliuk
Ukraine
18 Y. Pavliuk
I. Kaliuzhnyi
Ukraine
5 I. Kaliuzhnyi
E. Rashica
Substitution
Albania
19 E. Rashica
C. Mba
Substitution
Nigeria
99 C. Mba
D. Antyukh
Ukraine
15 D. Antyukh

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 25 · Regular Season
Stadium
Cherkasy Arena
Capacity
10321
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Maksim Koziryatskiy
Andrii Semenov
Taras Chopilko
Oleksandr Omelchenko

Statistics

Possession
LNZ Cherkasy
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
55%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Shots 2
60 Dangerous attacks 55
36 Possession 64
3 Corners 7
11 Free kicks 6

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 12
1 Assists 1
3 Substitutions 3

Attacking

66 Attacks 88

Defensive

1 Saves 0

Discipline

6 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Maksim Koziryatskiy

Starting XI ▼

12
Oleksiy Palamarchuk
Oleksiy Palamarchuk Goalkeeper
6.59
11
Gennadiy Pasich
Gennadiy Pasich Defender
6.47
14
Oleksandr Drambayev
Oleksandr Drambayev Defender
6.65
17
Denys Kuzyk
Denys Kuzyk Defender
6.66
25
Oleg Gorin
Oleg Gorin Defender
6.73
29
Roman Didyk
Roman Didyk Defender
6.51
10
Muharrem Jashari
Muharrem Jashari
Midfielder90+4'
6.59
34
Nazariy Muravskyi
Nazariy Muravskyi Defender
6.54
16
Artur Ryabov
Artur Ryabov Midfielder
6.59
19
Yevgeniy Pastukh
Yevgeniy Pastukh Midfielder
6.3
22
Yegor Tverdokhlib
Yegor Tverdokhlib Midfielder
6.46
23
Danylo Kravchuk
Danylo Kravchuk
Attacker68'
6.72
90
Mark Assinor
Mark Assinor Attacker
6.78
18
Abdul Awudu
Abdul Awudu
Midfielder75'
6.76
Referee : Maksim Koziryatskiy

Starting XI ▼

30
Danylo Varakuta
Danylo Varakuta Goalkeeper
6.44
13
Volodymyr Salyuk
Volodymyr Salyuk Defender
6.59
18
Yevgen Pavlyuk
Yevgen Pavlyuk Defender
6.6
24
Oleksandr Martynyuk
Oleksandr Martynyuk Defender
6.41
27
Ilya Krupskyi
Ilya Krupskyi Defender
6.56
31
Artem Shabanov
Artem Shabanov Defender
6.51
5
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi Midfielder
6.63
15
Denys Antyukh
Denys Antyukh Midfielder
6.65
19
Ermir Rashica
Ermir Rashica Midfielder
6.46
8
Sebastian Castillo
Sebastian Castillo
Attacker81'
6.62
26
Baton Zabergja
Baton Zabergja Midfielder
6.62
25
Ivan Lytvynenko
Ivan Lytvynenko
Midfielder65'
6.52
99
Christian Mba
Christian Mba Attacker
6.52
98
Peter Mandela Itodo
Peter Mandela Itodo
Attacker65'
6.76

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Muharrem Jashari → Roman Didyk
6th Substitution
90+4'
81'
Event
Sebastian Castillo → Ermir Rashica
5th Substitution
Event
Abdul Awudu → Mark Assinor
4th Substitution
75'
70'
Event
Peter Mandela Itodo
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Danylo Kravchuk → Yegor Tverdokhlib
3rd Substitution
68'
65'
Event
Ivan Lytvynenko → Baton Zabergja
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Peter Mandela Itodo → Christian Mba
1st Substitution
Event
Artur Ryabov
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
55'

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw encapsulates LNZ Cherkasy's grit against Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's possession edge. As the pre-designated stronger side, LNZ delivered a significant deviation through resilient defending and timely scoring, securing a point despite 36% possession. With efficiency aligned and no disruptions like red cards, the outcome underscores balanced play. This result bolsters LNZ's standing, proving their capacity to neutralize superior ball retention. Metalist 1925 will rue missed chances, while both sides gain momentum from a fair contest.

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