Kudrivka vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Arena L'viv Sun, 26 Apr - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Kudrivka Kudrivka
1 Winner 3
Shakhtar Donetsk SHK
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 3:00 PM
Round 25 Regular Season
Oleksandr Kozak - 54'
Goal
|
Goal
Newerton - 18'
Lucas Ferreira - 37'
Artem Bondarenko - 57'

Kudrivka vs Shakhtar Donetsk preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Shakhtar Donetsk delivered a commanding 3-1 away win over Kudrivka, asserting their status as the stronger side. They surged ahead with a 2-0 halftime lead, dominating possession at 64% while Kudrivka held just 36%. The home side fought back in the second half to score once, but Shakhtar's clinical finishing sealed the victory without any red card interruptions. The match unfolded predictably, with no major tactical adjustments needed. This outcome highlighted Shakhtar's superior quality, resulting in a significant 21.9% structural deviation in their performance. Efficiency metrics remained in line with expectations, and the result aligned with pre-match assessments. Kudrivka showed resilience but lacked the firepower to challenge effectively.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Shakhtar Donetsk recorded a significant 21.9% structural deviation.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency for both teams stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment assessment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Match outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be measured without available data.
  • Event impact: No key events significantly influenced match proceedings.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any scoreline distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Blavatskiy
R. Blavatskiy
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.2
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
M. Firsov
M. Firsov
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.2
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
V. Ostapchuk
V. Ostapchuk
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.2
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
V. Drykin
V. Drykin
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.2
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
Kudrivka V. Baranov
V. Baranov
VS
Shakhtar Donetsk A. Turan
A. Turan
0.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.6
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: L
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: L
Veres Rank: D
Karpaty Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zorya Luhansk Rank: W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: W
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: D
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: W
Oleksandria Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kudrivka
5.88%
Draw
16.01%
Away Shakhtar Donetsk
78.12%

Movement

Changes since opening
Kudrivka
+4.92%
Draw
+14.11%
Shakhtar Donetsk
-19.01%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
13.07
43.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kudrivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Power Score
13.07
43.28
League Position
13
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kudrivka — Opponent-weighted form score
Shakhtar Donetsk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kudrivka Shakhtar Donetsk

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kudrivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Shakhtar Donetsk

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kudrivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Shakhtar Donetsk
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.11
34.69
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.69
26.11
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kudrivka -0.87 Efficiency Index
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk +0.87 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kudrivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kudrivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Shakhtar Donetsk
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kudrivka Shakhtar Donetsk
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kudrivka Shakhtar Donetsk
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kudrivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kudrivka
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kudrivka Shakhtar Donetsk
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kudrivka 0.15
Shakhtar Donetsk 0.13
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kudrivka Shakhtar Donetsk
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kudrivka 0.02
Shakhtar Donetsk 0.02
Kudrivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SHK had peak pressure around 16'.
  • SHK started the game with stronger pressure.
Kudrivka Pressure SHK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SHK reached the top pressure at 16' (50.90).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kudrivka Kudrivka Home
1 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk SHK Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
0
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:05:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Yashkov
Ukraine
37 A. Yashkov
O. Gusev
Ukraine
30 O. Gusev
Y. Potimkov
Ukraine
69 Y. Potimkov
B. Veklyak
Ukraine
22 B. Veklyak
J. Collahuazo Vaca
Ecuador
55 J. Collahuazo Vaca
A. Dumanyuk
Substitution
Ukraine
19 A. Dumanyuk
K. Makosso Faites Prevu
Substitution
Brazil
14 K. Makosso Faites Prevu
A. Machelyuk
Ukraine
39 A. Machelyuk
A. Storchous
Substitution
Ukraine
8 A. Storchous
A. Hlushchenko
Ukraine
21 A. Hlushchenko
A. Taipi
Substitution
Macedonia
9 A. Taipi
D. Tvardovskyi
Ukraine
48 D. Tvardovskyi
I. Azarovi
Substitution
Georgia
16 I. Azarovi
M. Matviyenko
Ukraine
22 M. Matviyenko
M. Santos da Silva Barbosa
Brazil
4 M. Santos da Silva Barbosa
A. Ghram
Tunisia
18 A. Ghram
I. Severino Silva
Substitution
14 I. Severino Silva
O. Ocheretko
Ukraine
27 O. Ocheretko
A. Bondarenko
Substitution
Ukraine
21 A. Bondarenko
N. Martins da Silva
Substitution
Brazil
11 N. Martins da Silva
L. Traore
Substitution
Burkina Faso
2 L. Traore
L. dos Santos Ferreira
37 L. dos Santos Ferreira

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 25 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena L'viv
Capacity
34915
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Roman Blavatskiy
Maksim Firsov
Vasyl Ostapchuk
Vladyslav Drykin

Statistics

Possession
Kudrivka
34%
SHK
66%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
3 Shots 7
48 Dangerous attacks 124
36 Possession 64
4 Corners 5
7 Free kicks 4
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

1 Assists 3
5 Substitutions 5
9 Goal Kicks 7

Attacking

93 Attacks 185

Defensive

6 Saves 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
6 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Roman Blavatskiy

Starting XI ▼

37
Anton Yashkov
Anton Yashkov Goalkeeper
6.2
22
Bogdan Veklyak
Bogdan Veklyak Defender
6.3
30
Oleksiy Gusev
Oleksiy Gusev Defender
6.5
39
Artem Machelyuk
Artem Machelyuk Defender
6.26
55
Jair Collahuazo
Jair Collahuazo Defender
6.62
69
Yuriy Potimkov
Yuriy Potimkov Defender
6.38
8
Andriy Storchous
Andriy Storchous Midfielder
6.59
7
Oleksandr Belyaev
Oleksandr Belyaev
Midfielder77'
6.59
14
Kaya Makosso
Kaya Makosso Midfielder
6.45
20
Denys Svityukha
Denys Svityukha
Midfielder63'
6.52
19
Artur Dumanyuk
Artur Dumanyuk Midfielder
6.45
29
Denys Nagnoynyi
Denys Nagnoynyi
Midfielder62'
6.38
21
Anton Glushchenko
Anton Glushchenko Midfielder
6.63
9
Alban Taipi
Alban Taipi Attacker
6.36
77
Artem Liehostaiev
Artem Liehostaiev
Attacker46'
6.48
Referee : Roman Blavatskiy

Starting XI ▼

48
Denys Tvardovskyi
Denys Tvardovskyi Goalkeeper
6.12
4
Marlon
Marlon Defender
6.57
16
Irakli Azarovi
Irakli Azarovi Defender
6.36
17
Vinícius Tobias
Vinícius Tobias
Defender74'
6.53
18
Alaa Ghram
Alaa Ghram Defender
6.26
22
Mykola Matvienko
Mykola Matvienko Defender
6.56
11
Newerton
Newerton Midfielder
6.63
68
Prosper Obah
Prosper Obah
Attacker69'
6.63
14
Isaque
Isaque Midfielder
6.65
24
Viktor Tsukanov
Viktor Tsukanov
Midfielder74'
6.5
21
Artem Bondarenko
Artem Bondarenko Midfielder
6.57
8
Dmytro Kryskiv
Dmytro Kryskiv
Midfielder68'
6.52
27
Oleg Ocheretko
Oleg Ocheretko Midfielder
6.53
37
Lucas Ferreira
Lucas Ferreira Midfielder
6.55
2
Lassina Traoré
Lassina Traoré Attacker
7.01
49
Luca Meirelles
Luca Meirelles
Attacker89'
6.62

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Luca Meirelles → Lassina Traoré
9th Substitution
Event
Oleksandr Belyaev → Andriy Storchous
8th Substitution
77'
74'
Event
Viktor Tsukanov → Isaque
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Vinícius Tobias → Irakli Azarovi
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Prosper Obah → Newerton
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Dmytro Kryskiv → Artem Bondarenko
4th Substitution
Event
Denys Svityukha → Kaya Makosso
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Oleksandr Kozak
1st Yellowcard
62'
Event
Denys Nagnoynyi → Artur Dumanyuk
2nd Substitution
62'
57'
Event
Artem Bondarenko
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Oleksandr Kozak
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
54'
Event
Artem Liehostaiev → Alban Taipi
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
37'
Event
Lucas Ferreira
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
18'
Event
Newerton
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Shakhtar Donetsk's 3-1 triumph over Kudrivka was a textbook display of superiority, with their 2-0 halftime advantage setting the tone. Holding 64% possession underscored their control, while Kudrivka's single goal proved mere consolation. The absence of red cards ensured a clean contest, and efficiency held steady without surprises. This significant 21.9% deviation for Shakhtar reflects their overperformance against a weaker opponent. Market alignment confirms the expected result, reinforcing Shakhtar's dominance in the fixture.

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