Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Rukh Vynnyky Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Hirnyk Sun, 19 Apr - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
3 Winner 0
Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky
Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 10:00 AM
Round 24 Regular Season
Yehor Klymenko - 15' (Own Goal)
Volodymyr Yasinskyi - 45+4'
Jan Jurcec - 67'
Goal
|
|
Second yellow card Beknaz Almazbekov 74'

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Rukh Vynnyky preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih delivered a commanding 3-0 home win against Rukh Vynnyky, asserting dominance from the outset with a 2-0 halftime lead. Holding 64% possession, the hosts controlled proceedings while Rukh struggled to respond. The second half tilted further in Kryvbas's favor after Rukh received a red card, enabling the stronger side to net a third goal and seal a clean-sheet victory. Pre-match assessments identified Kryvbas as the superior team, and their performance featured a significant 43.3% structural deviation in their favor, though it aligned with market expectations. Absent xG data limits deeper chance analysis, but the result highlights efficient execution and defensive solidity amid the numerical advantage. This outcome reinforces Kryvbas's form in competitive fixtures.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih recorded a significant 43.3% structural deviation.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Result aligned with pre-match market views.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable due to null data.
  • Event impact: Away red card influenced second-half dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Red card caused second-half distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
K. Kozorog
K. Kozorog
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.75
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.82
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
E. Tsybulko
E. Tsybulko
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.75
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.82
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
D. Podvalnyi
D. Podvalnyi
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.75
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.82
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
A. Likarenko
A. Likarenko
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.75
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.82
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih P. van Leeuwen
P. van Leeuwen
VS
Rukh Vynnyky I. Fedyk
I. Fedyk
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kudrivka Rank: W
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: L
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: D
Zorya Luhansk Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: D
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: L
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: L
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 3 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
56.71%
Draw
25.32%
Away Rukh Vynnyky
17.97%

Movement

Changes since opening
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
-39.95%
Draw
+23.42%
Rukh Vynnyky
+16.53%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.67
14.06
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Rukh Vynnyky
Power Score
25.67
14.06
League Position
6
14
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih — Opponent-weighted form score
Rukh Vynnyky — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rukh Vynnyky

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rukh Vynnyky

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rukh Vynnyky
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.19
10.69
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
10.69
22.19
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih +1.17 Efficiency Index
vs
Rukh Vynnyky -1.17 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Rukh Vynnyky
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rukh Vynnyky
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rukh Vynnyky
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rukh Vynnyky
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Rukh Vynnyky
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
vs
Rukh Vynnyky
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rukh Vynnyky
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.17
Rukh Vynnyky 0.02
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rukh Vynnyky
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.00
Rukh Vynnyky 0.05
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Rukh Vynnyky
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had peak pressure around 43'.
  • Rukh Vynnyky started the game with stronger pressure.
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Pressure Rukh Vynnyky Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih reached the top pressure at 43' (66.64).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Home
7 matches
Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
7
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:01:01+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
O. Kemkin
Ukraine
12 O. Kemkin
J. Jurčec
Croatia
2 J. Jurčec
V. Volodymyr
Ukraine
4 V. Volodymyr
J. Jones
Panama
15 J. Jones
J. Nyabeye Dibango
Substitution
Cameroon
55 J. Nyabeye Dibango
A. Araujo Araque
Substitution
Venezuela
6 A. Araujo Araque
B. Lin
Substitution
Israel
18 B. Lin
M. Zaderaka
Ukraine
94 M. Zaderaka
O. Kamenskyi
Substitution
21 O. Kamenskyi
G. Mendoza Barrios
Substitution
Venezuela
7 G. Mendoza Barrios
C. Paraco González
Substitution
Venezuela
9 C. Paraco González
Y. Klymenko
28 Y. Klymenko
V. Roman
Ukraine
93 V. Roman
O. Tovarnytskyi
Ukraine
76 O. Tovarnytskyi
D. Sliusar
Substitution
Ukraine
17 D. Sliusar
A. Kitela
Substitution
Ukraine
75 A. Kitela
56
56
V. Yasinskyi
Ukraine
79 V. Yasinskyi
K. dos Santos Chrispim
Substitution
Brazil
7 K. dos Santos Chrispim
O. Prytula
Substitution
Ukraine
10 O. Prytula
S. Diallo
Substitution
Senegal
14 S. Diallo
T. Brener de Paula
Substitution
Brazil
30 T. Brener de Paula

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 24 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Hirnyk
Capacity
2700
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Kristina Kozorog
Evgen Tsybulko
Dmytro Podvalnyi
Andrii Likarenko

Statistics

Possession
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
52%
Rukh Vynnyky
48%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
5 Shots 1
64 Dangerous attacks 57
64 Possession 36
7 Corners 6
9 Free kicks 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Goal Kicks 16
6 Substitutions 6

Attacking

95 Attacks 105

Defensive

0 Saves 4

Discipline

10 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 7

Lineup

Referee : Evgen Tsybulko

Starting XI ▼

12
Oleksandr Kemkin
Oleksandr Kemkin Goalkeeper
6.31
2
Jan Jurcec
Jan Jurcec Defender
6.26
4
Volodymyr Vilivald
Volodymyr Vilivald Defender
6.4
15
Joseph Jones
Joseph Jones Defender
6.72
55
Yvan Dibango
Yvan Dibango Defender
6.51
5
Ante Bekavac
Ante Bekavac
Defender85'
6.26
6
Andrusw Araujo
Andrusw Araujo Midfielder
6.42
8
Yaroslav Shevchenko
Yaroslav Shevchenko
Midfielder16'
6.43
7
Gleiker Mendoza
Gleiker Mendoza Midfielder
6.75
24
Volodymyr Mulyk
Volodymyr Mulyk
Attacker85'
6.51
18
Bar Lin
Bar Lin Midfielder
6.61
—
Bar Lin
80'
21
Oleksandr Kamenskyi
Oleksandr Kamenskyi Midfielder
6.56
10
Giovany Herbert
Giovany Herbert
Attacker46'
6.43
94
Maksym Zaderaka
Maksym Zaderaka Midfielder
6.47
9
Carlos Paraco
Carlos Paraco Attacker
6.68
14
Assane Seck
Assane Seck
Midfielder59'
6.67
Referee : Evgen Tsybulko

Starting XI ▼

28
Yehor Klymenko
Yehor Klymenko Goalkeeper
5.51
76
Oleksiy Tovarnytskyi
Oleksiy Tovarnytskyi Defender
6.48
79
Volodymyr Yasinskyi
Volodymyr Yasinskyi Defender
6.09
93
Vitaliy Roman
Vitaliy Roman Defender
6.4
7
Klayver
Klayver Midfielder
6.33
77
Beknaz Almazbekov
Beknaz Almazbekov
Midfielder46'
6.39
10
Ostap Prytula
Ostap Prytula Midfielder
6.36
47
Kostyantyn Kvas
Kostyantyn Kvas
Midfielder76'
6.26
14
Samba Diallo
Samba Diallo Midfielder
6.53
9
Igor Neves
Igor Neves
Attacker46'
6.5
17
Denys Slyusar
Denys Slyusar Midfielder
6.42
—
Denys Slyusar
46'
30
Talles
Talles Midfielder
6.37
—
Talles
80'
56
Maksym Boiko Midfielder
75
Andriy Kitela
Andriy Kitela Midfielder
6.3
65
Dmytro Sebro
Dmytro Sebro
Midfielder87'

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Dmytro Sebro → Andriy Kitela
12th Substitution
Event
Ante Bekavac → Yvan Dibango
10th Substitution
85'
Event
Volodymyr Mulyk → Gleiker Mendoza
11th Substitution
85'
84'
Event
Kostyantyn Kvas
7th Yellowcard
Event
Jhoel Maya → Bar Lin
8th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Luiz Jorge Alexandrino de Lima → Talles
9th Substitution
Event
Gleiker Mendoza
6th Yellowcard
79'
76'
Event
Kostyantyn Kvas → Ostap Prytula
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Beknaz Almazbekov
Second Yellow Card / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Jan Jurcec
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
67'
Event
Assane Seck
5th Yellowcard
62'
Event
Assane Seck → Carlos Paraco
6th Substitution
59'
58'
Event
Beknaz Almazbekov
4th Yellowcard
Event
Carlos Paraco
3rd Yellowcard
54'
Event
Giovany Herbert → Oleksandr Kamenskyi
3rd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Beknaz Almazbekov → Klayver
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Igor Neves → Samba Diallo 
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Klayver → Denys Slyusar
5th Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Volodymyr Yasinskyi
Own Goal / 1st Goal
45+4'
45+1'
Event
Volodymyr Yasinskyi
2nd Yellowcard
25'
Event
Andriy Kitela
1st Yellowcard
25'
Event
8th Yellowcard
Event
Yaroslav Shevchenko → Andrusw Araujo
1st Substitution
16'
Event
Yehor Klymenko
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
15'

CONCLUSION

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih's 3-0 triumph over Rukh Vynnyky exemplified home strength, with early goals and sustained possession paving the way. The red card to Rukh exacerbated their challenges, distorting the second half and allowing Kryvbas to capitalize efficiently. This significant deviation underscores the hosts' execution beyond norms, aligning with their favored status. Without xG metrics, focus shifts to tangible control and resilience, marking a statement win that bolsters momentum ahead.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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