Kolos Kovalivka vs SK Poltava Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Uman'fermmash Fri, 24 Apr - 12:30 PM
Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka
2 Winner 0
SK Poltava SK Poltava
Full Time Fri, 24 Apr 12:30 PM
Round 25 Regular Season
Ardit Tahiri - 70'
Anton Salabay - 77'
Goal
|

Kolos Kovalivka vs SK Poltava preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Kolos Kovalivka claimed a solid 2-0 win against SK Poltava, asserting their status as the stronger team in a controlled performance. The first half finished 0-0, with both sides probing cautiously amid balanced play. Post-interval, Kolos Kovalivka ramped up pressure, netting twice to secure the points while enjoying 57% possession to Poltava's 43%. The visitors offered resistance but lacked cutting edge, failing to test the hosts decisively. No red cards marred the contest, allowing uninterrupted flow and highlighting Kolos's tactical discipline. This outcome reflected minimal structural deviation at 2.7%, staying true to pre-match evaluations where the home side was heavily favored. Efficiency held steady in line with norms, underscoring a professional execution without surprises.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Result showed minimal structural deviation of 2.7% favoring Kolos Kovalivka.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to lack of data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned fully with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without data.
  • Event impact: No significant events altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Debenko
I. Debenko
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.45
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.98
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
D. Osaulenko
D. Osaulenko
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.45
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.98
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
A. Mykhaylyuk
A. Mykhaylyuk
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.45
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.98
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
D. Hovhannesyan
D. Hovhannesyan
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.45
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.98
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Kolos Kovalivka R. Kostyshyn
R. Kostyshyn
VS
SK Poltava P. Matviychenko
P. Matviychenko
1.53
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.47
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: W
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: D
Veres Rank: W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: D
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: D
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: L
Oleksandria Rank: D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: L
Karpaty Rank: L
Zorya Luhansk Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kolos Kovalivka
97.32%
Draw
1.91%
Away SK Poltava
0.77%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.52
11.82
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kolos Kovalivka
SK Poltava
Power Score
28.52
11.82
League Position
6
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kolos Kovalivka — Opponent-weighted form score
SK Poltava — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kolos Kovalivka SK Poltava

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kolos Kovalivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SK Poltava

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kolos Kovalivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SK Poltava
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.44
11.98
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
11.98
20.44
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kolos Kovalivka +0.86 Efficiency Index
vs
SK Poltava -0.86 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kolos Kovalivka
SK Poltava
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kolos Kovalivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SK Poltava
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kolos Kovalivka SK Poltava
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kolos Kovalivka SK Poltava
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kolos Kovalivka
SK Poltava
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kolos Kovalivka
vs
SK Poltava
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kolos Kovalivka SK Poltava
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kolos Kovalivka 0.17
SK Poltava 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kolos Kovalivka SK Poltava
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kolos Kovalivka 0.00
SK Poltava 0.04
Kolos Kovalivka
SK Poltava
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Kolos Kovalivka had peak pressure around 71'.
  • Kolos Kovalivka started the game with stronger pressure.
Kolos Kovalivka Pressure SK Poltava Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Kolos Kovalivka reached the top pressure at 71' (51.47).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka Home
1 matches
SK Poltava SK Poltava Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:00:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
T. Puzankov
Ukraine
38 T. Puzankov
A. Ponedelnik
Ukraine
77 A. Ponedelnik
D. Khrypchuk
Ukraine
45 D. Khrypchuk
V. Bondarenko
Ukraine
5 V. Bondarenko
A. Tsurikov
Ukraine
9 A. Tsurikov
T. Stepanenko
Substitution
Ukraine
27 T. Stepanenko
D. Alefirenko
Substitution
Ukraine
19 D. Alefirenko
N. Gagnidze
Georgia
20 N. Gagnidze
E. Trevizan Telles
Brazil
55 E. Trevizan Telles
H. Artem
Substitution
Ukraine
15 H. Artem
A. Tahiri
Substitution
Kosovo
11 A. Tahiri
M. Minchev
Ukraine
1 M. Minchev
I. Kotsyumaka
Ukraine
95 I. Kotsyumaka
B. Biloshevskyi
Substitution
Ukraine
6 B. Biloshevskyi
V. Pidlepych
Ukraine
5 V. Pidlepych
I. Ukhan
Ukraine
24 I. Ukhan
D. Plakhtyr
Substitution
Ukraine
44 D. Plakhtyr
A. Doroshenko
Ukraine
21 A. Doroshenko
D. Galenkov
Ukraine
7 D. Galenkov
V. Sad
Substitution
Ukraine
10 V. Sad
V. Odariuk
Substitution
Ukraine
8 V. Odariuk
D. Sukhoruchko
Substitution
Ukraine
38 D. Sukhoruchko

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 24, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 25 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Uman'fermmash
Capacity
5050
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Igor Debenko
Dmytro Osaulenko
Artem Mykhaylyuk
Dmytro Hovhannesyan

Statistics

Possession
Kolos Kovalivka
57%
SK Poltava
43%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
4 Shots 2
53 Dangerous attacks 23
57 Possession 43
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

3 Goal Kicks 10
5 Substitutions 5
1 Assists 0

Attacking

101 Attacks 85

Defensive

2 Saves 2

Discipline

13 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Artem Mykhaylyuk

Starting XI ▼

38
Tymur Puzankov
Tymur Puzankov Goalkeeper
7.84
5
Valeriy Bondarenko
Valeriy Bondarenko Defender
6.28
9
Andriy Tsurikov
Andriy Tsurikov Defender
6.45
45
Daniil Khrypchuk
Daniil Khrypchuk Defender
6.5
77
Andriy Ponedelnik
Andriy Ponedelnik Defender
6.46
15
Artem Gusol
Artem Gusol Midfielder
6.58
17
Anton Salabay
Anton Salabay
Midfielder54'
6.61
19
Danyil Alefirenko
Danyil Alefirenko Midfielder
6.49
14
Ibrahim Kane
Ibrahim Kane
Midfielder54'
6.57
20
Nika Gagnidze
Nika Gagnidze Midfielder
6.52
27
Taras Stepanenko
Taras Stepanenko Midfielder
6.53
10
Luka Stankovski
Luka Stankovski
Midfielder54'
6.4
55
Elias
Elias Midfielder
6.61
11
Ardit Tahiri
Ardit Tahiri Attacker
6.42
29
Zakhariy Zakharkiv
Zakhariy Zakharkiv
Attacker88'
Referee : Artem Mykhaylyuk

Starting XI ▼

1
Mykyta Minchev
Mykyta Minchev Goalkeeper
6.51
5
Vadim Pidlepych
Vadim Pidlepych Defender
6
24
Ilya Ukhan
Ilya Ukhan Defender
5.88
95
Igor Kotsyumaka
Igor Kotsyumaka Defender
6.2
6
Bogdan Biloshevskyi
Bogdan Biloshevskyi Midfielder
6.37
14
Maksym Marusych
Maksym Marusych
Attacker76'
6.47
7
Denys Galenkov
Denys Galenkov Midfielder
6.3
8
Volodymyr Odaryuk
Volodymyr Odaryuk Midfielder
6.32
88
Oleksandr Vivdych
Oleksandr Vivdych
Attacker76'
6.44
21
A. Doroshenko
A. Doroshenko Midfielder
6.46
44
Dmytro Plakhtyr
Dmytro Plakhtyr Midfielder
6.34
11
O. Piatov
O. Piatov
Midfielder62'
6.28
10
V. Sad
V. Sad Attacker
6.61
20
Yevgen Misyura
Yevgen Misyura
Defender62'
6.12
38
Danyil Sukhoruchko
Danyil Sukhoruchko Attacker
6.56
93
Bogdan Kobzar
Bogdan Kobzar
Attacker76'
6.44

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Zakhariy Zakharkiv → Ardit Tahiri
10th Substitution
88'
83'
Event
A. Doroshenko
5th Yellowcard
Event
Daniil Denysenko → Luka Stankovski
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Anton Salabay
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
77'
76'
Event
Bogdan Kobzar → Danyil Sukhoruchko
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Oleksandr Vivdych → Volodymyr Odaryuk
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Maksym Marusych → Bogdan Biloshevskyi
7th Substitution
Event
Ardit Tahiri
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
70'
62'
Event
Yevgen Misyura → V. Sad
4th Substitution
62'
Event
O. Piatov → Dmytro Plakhtyr
5th Substitution
Event
Ibrahim Kane → Danyil Alefirenko
1st Substitution
54'
Event
Luka Stankovski → Taras Stepanenko
3rd Substitution
54'
Event
Anton Salabay → Artem Gusol
2nd Substitution
54'
1ST-HALF
37'
Event
Denys Galenkov
4th Yellowcard
33'
Event
Ilya Ukhan
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Andriy Ponedelnik
2nd Yellowcard
31'
19'
Event
Dmytro Plakhtyr
1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Kolos Kovalivka's 2-0 triumph over SK Poltava exemplified efficient dominance, converting superior possession into a clean-sheet victory. The goalless halftime gave way to second-half clinical finishing, aligning seamlessly with their stronger billing. Minimal deviation and market consistency point to a foreseeable result, unmarred by disruptions or reds. Without xG metrics, the scoreline stands as the clearest indicator of control. This performance bolsters Kolos's momentum, setting a firm foundation for future challenges while exposing Poltava's limitations in conversion.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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