Kolos Kovalivka vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Uman'fermmash Sat, 18 Apr - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka
1 Winner 0
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy
Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 10:00 AM
Round 24 Regular Season
Ibrahim Kane - 7'
Goal
|

Kolos Kovalivka vs LNZ Cherkasy preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Match is finished. Kolos Kovalivka 1–0 LNZ Cherkasy. The result saw Kolos Kovalivka take the points. Kolos Kovalivka showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 43%–57%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kolos Kovalivka delivered a significant structural deviation by winning against stronger opponent LNZ Cherkasy.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome not aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable without performance metrics.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout elements influenced the result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, avoiding any distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Kovalenko
A. Kovalenko
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.27
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.84
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.27
O. Myronov
O. Myronov
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.27
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.84
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.27
I. Salash
I. Salash
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.27
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.84
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.27
Kolos Kovalivka R. Kostyshyn
R. Kostyshyn
VS
LNZ Cherkasy V. Ponomarov
V. Ponomarov
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.47
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: D
Veres Rank: W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: D
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: L
Karpaty Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: D
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: W
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: W
Oleksandria Rank: W
Veres Rank: W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kolos Kovalivka
26.14%
Draw
31.92%
Away LNZ Cherkasy
41.94%

Movement

Changes since opening
Kolos Kovalivka
-68.67%
Draw
+27.36%
LNZ Cherkasy
+41.31%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.72
34.21
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kolos Kovalivka
LNZ Cherkasy
Power Score
24.72
34.21
League Position
6
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kolos Kovalivka — Opponent-weighted form score
LNZ Cherkasy — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kolos Kovalivka LNZ Cherkasy

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kolos Kovalivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

LNZ Cherkasy

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kolos Kovalivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy LNZ Cherkasy
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
8.95
16.67
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.67
8.95
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kolos Kovalivka -0.78 Efficiency Index
vs
LNZ Cherkasy +0.78 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kolos Kovalivka
LNZ Cherkasy
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kolos Kovalivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy LNZ Cherkasy
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kolos Kovalivka LNZ Cherkasy
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kolos Kovalivka LNZ Cherkasy
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kolos Kovalivka
LNZ Cherkasy
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kolos Kovalivka
vs
LNZ Cherkasy
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kolos Kovalivka LNZ Cherkasy
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kolos Kovalivka 0.18
LNZ Cherkasy 0.14
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kolos Kovalivka LNZ Cherkasy
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kolos Kovalivka 0.00
LNZ Cherkasy 0.06
Kolos Kovalivka
LNZ Cherkasy
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LNZ Cherkasy had peak pressure around 22'.
  • Kolos Kovalivka started the game with stronger pressure.
Kolos Kovalivka Pressure LNZ Cherkasy Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LNZ Cherkasy reached the top pressure at 22' (67.56).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka Home
5 matches
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
3
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:01:16+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-2-3
Match Formation 5-2-3
Pitch
I. Pakholyuk
Ukraine
31 I. Pakholyuk
A. Ponedelnik
Ukraine
77 A. Ponedelnik
E. Kozik
Ukraine
3 E. Kozik
M. Burda
Ukraine
6 (C) M. Burda
A. Tsurikov
Ukraine
9 A. Tsurikov
E. Trevizan Telles
Substitution
Brazil
55 E. Trevizan Telles
N. Gagnidze
Georgia
20 N. Gagnidze
O. Demchenko
Substitution
Ukraine
7 O. Demchenko
I. Kane
Mali
14 I. Kane
Y. Klymchuk
Ukraine
70 Y. Klymchuk
A. Salabay
Ukraine
17 A. Salabay
O. Palamarchuk
Ukraine
12 O. Palamarchuk
A. Drambayev
Ukraine
14 A. Drambayev
R. Didyk
Substitution
Ukraine
29 R. Didyk
N. Muravskyi
Ukraine
34 (C) N. Muravskyi
O. Gorin
Ukraine
25 O. Gorin
I. Putria
Ukraine
33 I. Putria
A. Ryabov
Ukraine
16 A. Ryabov
Y. Pastukh
Ukraine
19 Y. Pastukh
D. Kuzyk
Ukraine
17 D. Kuzyk
M. Assinor
Substitution
Ghana
90 M. Assinor
D. Kravchuk
Substitution
Ukraine
23 D. Kravchuk

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 24 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Uman'fermmash
Capacity
5050
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Andriy Kovalenko
Oleksiy Myronov
Ivan Salash

Statistics

Possession
Kolos Kovalivka
40%
LNZ Cherkasy
60%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
3 Shots 7
17 Dangerous attacks 50
43 Possession 57
0 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 9
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Assists 0
10 Goal Kicks 5
3 Substitutions 4

Attacking

85 Attacks 134

Defensive

1 Saves 0

Discipline

9 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Andriy Kovalenko

Starting XI ▼

31
Ivan Pakholyuk
Ivan Pakholyuk Goalkeeper
6.5
3
Eduard Kozik
Eduard Kozik Defender
6.5
6
Mykyta Burda
Mykyta Burda (C) Defender
6.5
9
Andriy Tsurikov
Andriy Tsurikov Defender
6.5
77
Andriy Ponedelnik
Andriy Ponedelnik Defender
6.5
7
Oleksandr Demchenko
Oleksandr Demchenko Midfielder
6.5
99
Arinaldo Rrapaj
Arinaldo Rrapaj
Midfielder84'
6.45
14
Ibrahim Kane
Ibrahim Kane Midfielder
6.69
17
Anton Salabay
Anton Salabay Midfielder
6.5
20
Nika Gagnidze
Nika Gagnidze Midfielder
6.5
55
Elias
Elias Midfielder
6.5
45
Daniil Khrypchuk
Daniil Khrypchuk
Defender89'
70
Yuriy Klymchuk
Yuriy Klymchuk Attacker
6.59
Referee : Andriy Kovalenko

Starting XI ▼

12
Oleksiy Palamarchuk
Oleksiy Palamarchuk Goalkeeper
6.12
14
Oleksandr Drambayev
Oleksandr Drambayev Defender
6.26
17
Denys Kuzyk
Denys Kuzyk Defender
6.26
25
Oleg Gorin
Oleg Gorin Defender
6.26
29
Roman Didyk
Roman Didyk Defender
6.25
7
Artur Mykytyshyn
Artur Mykytyshyn
Midfielder59'
6.5
33
Ilya Putrya
Ilya Putrya Defender
6.26
34
Nazariy Muravskyi
Nazariy Muravskyi (C) Defender
6.26
16
Artur Ryabov
Artur Ryabov Midfielder
6.37
19
Yevgeniy Pastukh
Yevgeniy Pastukh Midfielder
6.37
23
Danylo Kravchuk
Danylo Kravchuk Attacker
6.46
11
Gennadiy Pasich
Gennadiy Pasich
Defender74'
6.5
90
Mark Assinor
Mark Assinor Attacker
6.46
22
Yegor Tverdokhlib
Yegor Tverdokhlib
Midfielder59'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Daniil Khrypchuk → Elias
7th Substitution
89'
Event
Arinaldo Rrapaj → Oleksandr Demchenko
6th Substitution
84'
Event
Arinaldo Rrapaj
7th Yellowcard
83'
Event
9th Yellowcard
83'
Event
Ivan Pakholyuk
6th Yellowcard
80'
79'
Event
5th Yellowcard
74'
Event
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Gennadiy Pasich → Danylo Kravchuk
4th Substitution
Event
3rd Substitution
73'
59'
Event
Artur Mykytyshyn → Roman Didyk
1st Substitution
59'
Event
Yegor Tverdokhlib → Mark Assinor
2nd Substitution
Event
4th Yellowcard
46'
Event
8th Yellowcard
46'
1ST-HALF
43'
Event
Oleksandr Drambayev
Var
40'
Event
3rd Yellowcard
Event
1st Yellowcard
10'
10'
Event
Roman Didyk
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Ibrahim Kane
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
7'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Kolos Kovalivka exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

How We Build This Analysis

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