Katowice vs Nieciecza Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion ul. Bukowa Sun, 3 May - 10:15 AM
Ekstraklasa
Katowice Katowice
Versus
Nieciecza Nieciecza
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 10:15 AM
Round 31 Regular Season

Katowice vs Nieciecza preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Katowice host Nieciecza in Ekstraklasa (Regular Season) at Stadion ul. Bukowa. Domestically, Katowice sit 7th in the table while Nieciecza are 18th. Power ranking favours Katowice by 16.8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Katowice holds a 16.8-point power advantage over Nieciecza with scores of 64.51 versus 47.68.
  • Form: Katowice's form score stands at 21.11, surpassing Nieciecza's 15.39.
  • Squad: Katowice occupies 7th in the league, while Nieciecza sits in 18th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data is available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in the available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data for both teams shows low confidence with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable as the add-on is not enabled for this fixture.
  • Market: Katowice 56% (Δ+-0%) | Draw 23.2% (Δ+0.3%) | Nieciecza 20.8% (Δ-0.3%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Katowice R. Górak
R. Górak
VS
Nieciecza M. Brosz
M. Brosz
1.69
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 D
Motor Lublin Rank: 60 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 69 D
Wisła Płock Rank: 58 W
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 59 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 64 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 W
Wisła Płock Rank: 57 L
Widzew Lodz Rank: 59 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 61 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 71 L
Motor Lublin Rank: 59 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Katowice
55.99%
Draw
23.24%
Away Nieciecza
20.77%

Movement

Changes since opening
Katowice
-0.01%
Draw
+0.26%
Nieciecza
-0.25%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.51
47.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Katowice
Nieciecza
Power Score
64.51
47.68
League Position
7
18
Global Rank
336
718

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Katowice — Opponent-weighted form score
Nieciecza — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Katowice Nieciecza

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Katowice Katowice Home
1 matches
Nieciecza Nieciecza Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
3
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:55:52+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Kudła
1 D. Kudła
A. Czerwiński
30 A. Czerwiński
A. Jędrych
2 A. Jędrych
M. Berntsen Olsen
14 M. Berntsen Olsen
E. Jirka
97 E. Jirka
S. Milewski
22 S. Milewski
D. Rasak
26 D. Rasak
M. Wasielewski
23 M. Wasielewski
E. Marković
15 E. Marković
I. Shkurin
80 I. Shkurin
B. Nowak
27 B. Nowak
A. Chovan
1 A. Chovan
A. Kasperkiewicz
3 A. Kasperkiewicz
L. Masoero Masi
5 L. Masoero Masi
M. Matysik
32 M. Matysik
R. Boboc
27 R. Boboc
I. Strzałek
86 I. Strzałek
M. Ambrosiewicz
28 M. Ambrosiewicz
D. Hilbrycht
21 D. Hilbrycht
J. Jiménez Núñez
9 J. Jiménez Núñez
M. Faßbender
7 M. Faßbender
K. Zapolnik
25 K. Zapolnik

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 10:15 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion ul. Bukowa
Capacity
7455
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Paweł Malec
Michał Gajda
Michal Obukowicz
Maciej Kuropatwa

Expected Lineup

Referee : Paweł Malec

Starting XI ▼

1
Dawid Kudla
Dawid Kudla Goalkeeper
6.71
23
Marcin Wasielewski
Marcin Wasielewski Midfielder
6.95
97
Erik Jirka
Erik Jirka Midfielder
6.99
15
Eman Markovic
Eman Markovic Attacker
6.82
27
Bartosz Nowak
Bartosz Nowak Attacker
7.45
80
Ilya Shkurin
Ilya Shkurin Centre Forward
6.53
14
M. Olsen
M. Olsen Left Back
6.3
26
Damian Rasak
Damian Rasak Central Midfield
6.76
2
Arkadiusz Jedrych
Arkadiusz Jedrych Centre Back
7.04
22
Sebastian Milewski
Sebastian Milewski Central Midfield
6.77
30
Alan Czerwinski
Alan Czerwinski Right Back
6.63
Referee : Paweł Malec

Starting XI ▼

1
Adrian Chovan
Adrian Chovan Goalkeeper
6.99
9
Jesús Jiménez
Jesús Jiménez Midfielder
6.72
27
Radu Boboc
Radu Boboc Midfielder
6.68
7
Morgan Faßbender
Morgan Faßbender Midfielder
6.59
21
Damian Hilbrycht
Damian Hilbrycht Midfielder
6.85
25
Kamil Zapolnik
Kamil Zapolnik Centre Forward
6.81
32
Milosz Matysik
Milosz Matysik Right Back
6.42
3
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz Left Back
6.81
5
Lucas Masoero
Lucas Masoero Centre Back
6.5
86
Igor Strzalek
Igor Strzalek Central Midfield
6.62
28
Maciej Ambrosiewicz
Maciej Ambrosiewicz Central Midfield
6.82

CONCLUSION

Katowice enters as clear favorites, bolstered by superior power ratings, form, and league position against struggling Nieciecza. The 16.8-point edge and home venue at Stadion ul. Bukowa enhance their prospects for a controlled performance. While data limitations on set pieces, efficiency, and xG temper deeper insights, structural strengths point to Katowice dictating play. Nieciecza must disrupt transitions to compete, but their lower metrics suggest an uphill battle. This fixture likely favors the hosts securing vital points in the Regular Season race.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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