Karpaty vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Ukrajina Tomorrow - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Karpaty Karpaty
Versus
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 3:00 PM
Round 26 Regular Season

Karpaty vs LNZ Cherkasy preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Karpaty host LNZ Cherkasy in Premier League (Regular Season) at Stadion Ukrajina. Domestically, Karpaty sit 8th in the table while LNZ Cherkasy are 2th. Power ranking favours LNZ Cherkasy by 0.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: LNZ Cherkasy lead structurally with 2nd place in the league versus Karpaty's 8th and a 0.9-point power advantage.
  • Form: Karpaty hold the edge in form scores, registering 27.83 against LNZ Cherkasy's 24.
  • Squad: Squad quality tilts toward LNZ Cherkasy, designated as the stronger team overall.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both Karpaty and LNZ Cherkasy.
  • Transition: No transition play metrics provided in the current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance lacks xG data, relying on low-confidence proxies for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG statistics unavailable, limiting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Karpaty 30.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 30.7% (Δ+0%) | LNZ Cherkasy 39.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Karpaty F. Fernández Díaz
F. Fernández Díaz
VS
LNZ Cherkasy V. Ponomarov
V. Ponomarov
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.13
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: W
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: D
Oleksandria Rank: W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: W
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: W
SK Poltava Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: L
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: D
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: W
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: W
Oleksandria Rank: W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Karpaty
30.24%
Draw
30.66%
Away LNZ Cherkasy
39.11%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
29.4
30.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
Power Score
29.4
30.29
League Position
8
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Karpaty — Opponent-weighted form score
LNZ Cherkasy — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Karpaty LNZ Cherkasy

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Karpaty Karpaty Home
3 matches
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
2
Goals
3
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
3
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-29T00:38:45+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 26 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Ukrajina
Capacity
28051
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

80
Roman Mysak
Roman Mysak Goalkeeper
30
Andriy Klishchuk
Andriy Klishchuk Goalkeeper
1
Nazar Domchak
Nazar Domchak Goalkeeper
11
Denys Miroshnichenko
Denys Miroshnichenko Defender
3
Volodymyr Adamyuk
Volodymyr Adamyuk Defender
55
Timur Stetskov
Timur Stetskov Defender
4
Vladyslav Baboglo
Vladyslav Baboglo Defender
73
Rostyslav Lyakh
Rostyslav Lyakh Defender
5
Andrii Buleza
Andrii Buleza Defender
77
Oleksii Sych
Oleksii Sych Defender
44
Vitalii Kholod
Vitalii Kholod Defender
47
Jean Henrique Carneiro Pedroso
Jean Henrique Carneiro Pedroso Defender
8
Ambrosiy Chachua
Ambrosiy Chachua Midfielder
35
Edson Fernando da Silva Gomes
Edson Fernando da Silva Gomes Midfielder
37
Bruno Roberto Pereira da Silva
Bruno Roberto Pereira da Silva Midfielder
15
Valentin Rubchynskyi
Valentin Rubchynskyi Midfielder
26
Yan Kostenko
Yan Kostenko Midfielder
20
Marko Sapuga
Marko Sapuga Midfielder
33
Artur Shakh
Artur Shakh Midfielder
16
Chaban Ivan Ivanovych
Chaban Ivan Ivanovych Midfielder
18
Eriki Daniel Rodrigues Bento
Eriki Daniel Rodrigues Bento Midfielder
7
Paulo Vitor Fernandes Pereira
Paulo Vitor Fernandes Pereira Attacker
70
Xeber Alkain Mitxelena
Xeber Alkain Mitxelena Attacker
19
Yaroslav Karabin
Yaroslav Karabin Attacker
10
Stênio Zanetti Toledo
Stênio Zanetti Toledo Attacker
14
Ilya Kvasnytsya
Ilya Kvasnytsya Attacker
99
Baboucarr Faal
Baboucarr Faal Attacker

Squad ▼

12
Oleksiy Palamarchuk
Oleksiy Palamarchuk Goalkeeper
72
Kyrylo Samoylenko
Kyrylo Samoylenko Goalkeeper
1
Dmytro Ledvii
Dmytro Ledvii Goalkeeper
33
Illia Putria
Illia Putria Defender
25
Oleg Gorin
Oleg Gorin Defender
34
Nazarii Muravskyi
Nazarii Muravskyi Defender
29
Roman Didyk
Roman Didyk Defender
14
Alexander Drambayev
Alexander Drambayev Defender
4
Ajdi Dajko
Ajdi Dajko Defender
6
Vyacheslav Tankovskiy
Vyacheslav Tankovskiy Midfielder
11
Gennady Pasich
Gennady Pasich Midfielder
10
Muharrem Jashari
Muharrem Jashari Midfielder
5
Shota Nonikashvili
Shota Nonikashvili Midfielder
16
Artur Ryabov
Artur Ryabov Midfielder
17
Denys Kuzyk
Denys Kuzyk Midfielder
22
Ehor Tverdokhlib
Ehor Tverdokhlib Midfielder
24
Marko Podolyak
Marko Podolyak Midfielder
19
Yevhenii Pastukh
Yevhenii Pastukh Midfielder
8
Adam Yakubu Hassan
Adam Yakubu Hassan Midfielder
18
Abdul Awudu
Abdul Awudu Attacker
7
Artur Mykytyshyn
Artur Mykytyshyn Attacker
23
Danylo Kravchuk
Danylo Kravchuk Attacker
27
Jewison Bennette
Jewison Bennette Attacker
90
Mark Assinor
Mark Assinor Attacker
21
Orest Lepskiy
Orest Lepskiy Attacker

CONCLUSION

LNZ Cherkasy's higher league position and power score position them favorably, yet Karpaty's stronger form introduces upset potential at Stadion Ukrajina. Home advantage could energize the 8th-placed side in this regular-season encounter. Without efficiency, transition, or reliable set-piece insights, victory hinges on execution and momentum. LNZ's consistency suggests control, but Karpaty's recent edge demands respect. Anticipate a tight contest where fine margins decide the outcome.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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