Karpaty vs Kudrivka Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Ukrajina Sun, 8 Mar - 1:30 PM
Premier League
Karpaty Karpaty
1 – 1
Kudrivka Kudrivka
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 1:30 PM
Yan Kostenko - 6'
Goal
|
Goal
Oleksandr Kozak - 66'

Karpaty vs Kudrivka preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Match is finished. Karpaty 1–1 Kudrivka. The match ended in a draw. Kudrivka showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 42%–58%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kudrivka showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Tsybulko
E. Tsybulko
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Zaytsev
A. Zaytsev
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Karpaty F. Fernández Díaz
F. Fernández Díaz
VS
Kudrivka V. Baranov
V. Baranov
1.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.86
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: L
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: L
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: L
Zorya Luhansk Rank: L
Veres Rank: D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
SK Poltava Rank: W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: D
Oleksandria Rank: D
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Karpaty
61.2%
Draw
23.68%
Away Kudrivka
15.12%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
35.09
36.99
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Karpaty
Kudrivka
Power Score
35.09
36.99
League Position
11
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Karpaty — Opponent-weighted form score
Kudrivka — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Karpaty Kudrivka

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Karpaty

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kudrivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Karpaty ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kudrivka
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.43
14.74
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
14.74
26.43
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Karpaty +1.18 Efficiency Index
vs
Kudrivka -1.18 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Karpaty
Kudrivka
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Karpaty ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kudrivka
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Karpaty Kudrivka
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Karpaty Kudrivka
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Karpaty
Kudrivka
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Karpaty Karpaty Home
1 matches
Kudrivka Kudrivka Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:06:11+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadium
Stadion Ukrajina
Capacity
28051
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Evgen Tsybulko
Andrii Zaytsev

Statistics

Possession
Karpaty
48%
Kudrivka
52%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Shots 1
62 Dangerous attacks 71
42 Possession 58
2 Corners 8
9 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Assists 1
6 Goal Kicks 7
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

109 Attacks 108

Defensive

0 Saves 1

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 11

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
3rd Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Stênio
4th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
6th Yellowcard
90+4'
90+3'
Event
Oleg Pushkaryov → Oleksandr Kozak
10th Substitution
Event
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Paulo Vitor → Baboucarr Faal
9th Substitution
87'
87'
Event
8th Substitution
83'
Event
5th Yellowcard
75'
Event
Artur Dumanyuk → Denys Nagnoynyi
6th Substitution
Event
Ambrosiy Chachua → Edson Fernando
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Artur Shakh → Bruninho
5th Substitution
70'
66'
Event
Oleksandr Kozak
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Stênio → Xeber Alkain
3rd Substitution
62'
54'
Event
Maryan Faryna
2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Raymond Owusu → Alban Taipi
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Anton Glushchenko → Oleksandr Belyaev
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Denys Nagnoynyi
1st Yellowcard
Event
Yan Kostenko
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
6'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Kudrivka exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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