Juventus vs Bologna Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Juventus Stadium Sun, 19 Apr - 6:45 PM
Serie A
Juventus JUV
Versus
Bologna BOL
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 6:45 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

As the 2025/2026 Serie A season unfolds, Juventus host Bologna at the iconic Juventus Stadium in what shapes up to be an intriguing Regular Season matchup. The home team currently sits in fourth position with a strong power score of 34.85, outperforming Bologna's 29.74 and holding a 5.1 point advantage overall. Fresh from a hard-fought win away to Atalanta, Juventus boast an impressive form score of 77.78 and remain unbeaten across their last six league games, recording four wins and two draws. Bologna, in eighth place, come into this fixture buoyed by a home victory against Lecce, though their form score of 66.67 reflects four wins and two losses in six matches. This game offers Juventus the chance to solidify their top-four standing while Bologna aim to climb the table with a positive result on the road. The contrast between Juventus' solidity and Bologna's counter-attacking potential sets the stage for a compelling encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Juventus hold clear home edge at fourth versus eighth, supported by 5.1 power score advantage.
  • Form: Juventus unbeaten in six (W4 D2), Bologna strong with four wins but two defeats in same span.
  • Squad: Juventus enjoy greater depth and quality, allowing effective rotation through a busy schedule.
  • Efficiency: Juventus show stronger chance conversion in recent matches while Bologna lag slightly behind.
  • Transition: Bologna threaten on rapid counters, testing Juventus' ability to regain shape quickly.
  • Set pieces: Limited data available indicates low set-piece reliance for both sides this season.
  • xVariable: Advanced metrics underline Juventus dominance in expected goal creation on home soil.
  • Market: Juventus 64.4% (Δ+0.1%) | Draw 21.5% (Δ-0.2%) | Bologna 14.1% (Δ+0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Juventus L. Spalletti
L. Spalletti
VS
Bologna V. Italiano
V. Italiano
1.85
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.46
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atalanta Rank: W
Genoa Rank: W
Sassuolo Rank: D
Udinese Rank: W
Pisa Rank: W
Roma Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lecce Rank: W
Cremonese Rank: W
Lazio Rank: L
Sassuolo Rank: W
Hellas Verona Rank: L
Pisa Rank: W
25
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
25 - 11 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Juventus
64.36%
Draw
21.5%
Away Bologna
14.14%

Movement

Changes since opening
Juventus
+0.14%
Draw
-0.21%
Bologna
+0.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
34.85
29.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Juventus
Bologna
Power Score
34.85
29.74
League Position
4
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Juventus — Opponent-weighted form score
Bologna — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Juventus Bologna

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Juventus JUV Home
37 matches
Bologna BOL Away
Match Record
25
Wins
1
11
Draws
11
1
Losses
25
Goals
68
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
68
+43
Goal Difference
-43
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T01:08:52+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
M. Di Gregorio
16 M. Di Gregorio
P. Kalulu Kyatengwa
15 P. Kalulu Kyatengwa
G. Bremer Silva Nascimento
3 G. Bremer Silva Nascimento
L. Kelly
6 L. Kelly
E. Holm
2 E. Holm
M. Locatelli
5 M. Locatelli
K. Thuram-Ulien
19 K. Thuram-Ulien
A. Cambiaso
27 A. Cambiaso
F. Conceição
7 F. Conceição
W. McKennie
22 W. McKennie
J. David
30 J. David
M. Pessina
25 M. Pessina
J. Miranda González
33 J. Miranda González
J. Lucumí Bonilla
26 J. Lucumí Bonilla
N. Casale
16 N. Casale
J. Neto Lopes
17 J. Neto Lopes
N. Moro
6 N. Moro
R. Freuler
8 R. Freuler
N. Cambiaghi
28 N. Cambiaghi
S. Sohm
23 S. Sohm
R. Orsolini
7 R. Orsolini
S. Castro
9 S. Castro

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Juventus Stadium
Capacity
41507
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniele Bindoni
Maurizio Mariani
Daniele Perenzoni
Alberto Tegoni

Expected Lineup

Referee : Maurizio Mariani

Starting XI ▼

16
Michele Di Gregorio
Michele Di Gregorio Goalkeeper
6.84
2
Emil Holm
Emil Holm Midfielder
6.81
7
Francisco Conceição
Francisco Conceição Midfielder
7.02
22
Weston McKennie
Weston McKennie Midfielder
7
27
Andrea Cambiaso
Andrea Cambiaso Midfielder
7.02
30
Jonathan David
Jonathan David Centre Forward
6.75
3
Bremer
Bremer Centre Back
7.04
5
Manuel Locatelli
Manuel Locatelli Central Midfield
7.41
6
Lloyd Kelly
Lloyd Kelly Left Back
6.93
15
Pierre Kalulu
Pierre Kalulu Right Back
7.02
19
Khéphren Thuram
Khéphren Thuram Central Midfield
7.05
Referee : Maurizio Mariani

Starting XI ▼

25
Massimo Pessina
Massimo Pessina Goalkeeper
6.88
9
Santiago Castro
Santiago Castro Centre Forward
6.91
6
Nikola Moro
Nikola Moro Defensive Midfield
7.02
7
Riccardo Orsolini
Riccardo Orsolini Right Wing
6.96
8
Remo Freuler
Remo Freuler Defensive Midfield
6.8
16
Nicolò Casale
Nicolò Casale Right Back
6.66
17
João Mário
João Mário Right Back
6.55
23
Simon Sohm
Simon Sohm Attacking Midfield
6.69
26
Jhon Lucumí
Jhon Lucumí Left Back
6.86
28
Nicolò Cambiaghi
Nicolò Cambiaghi Left Wing
6.84
33
Juan Miranda
Juan Miranda Left Back
7.14

CONCLUSION

Overall the indicators favor Juventus securing the points through their superior power metrics, unbeaten home form and squad stability. Bologna arrive with momentum from recent wins yet face a difficult away test against a well-organized host side. The match is likely to see Juventus dictate tempo and create the clearer opportunities while Bologna look to strike on transitions. Tactical discipline and midfield control will prove decisive. Though Serie A often delivers surprises, the structural and efficiency edges point to a home success that would strengthen Juventus' push for a top-four finish and keep their positive momentum rolling.

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