Inter vs Parma Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza Sun, 3 May - 6:45 PM
Serie A
Inter INT
Versus
Parma PRM
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 6:45 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

Inter vs Parma preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Inter host Parma in Serie A (Regular Season) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Domestically, Inter sit 1th in the table while Parma are 12th. Power ranking favours Inter by 18.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Inter leads Serie A in 1st place while Parma sits 12th, with Inter holding a 18.3-point power advantage.
  • Form: Inter's form score of 32.94 surpasses Parma's 16.5.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates or lineups provided for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Inter's superior power score indicates stronger transition play potential.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics unavailable with low confidence and proxy data used.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables not accessible due to data limitations.
  • Market: Inter 77.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 15.6% (Δ+0%) | Parma 7.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Inter C. Chivu
C. Chivu
VS
Parma C. Antón Cuesta
C. Antón Cuesta
2.42
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.46
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Torino Rank: 74 D
Cagliari Rank: 69 W
Como Rank: 84 W
Roma Rank: 84 W
Fiorentina Rank: 78 D
Atalanta Rank: 84 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pisa Rank: 64 W
Udinese Rank: 75 W
Napoli Rank: 86 D
Lazio Rank: 81 D
Cremonese Rank: 67 L
Torino Rank: 75 L
17
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
17 - 7 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Inter
77.05%
Draw
15.6%
Away Parma
7.34%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
90.67
72.41
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Inter
Parma
Power Score
90.67
72.41
League Position
1
12
Global Rank
9
147

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Inter — Opponent-weighted form score
Parma — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Inter Parma

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 30 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Inter INT Home
30 matches
Parma PRM Away
Match Record
17
Wins
6
7
Draws
7
6
Losses
17
Goals
51
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
51
+21
Goal Difference
-21
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:58:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
Y. Sommer
Switzerland
1 Y. Sommer
Y. Bisseck
Germany
31 Y. Bisseck
M. Akanji
Switzerland
25 M. Akanji
C. Zopalato Neves
Brazil
30 C. Zopalato Neves
M. Darmian
Italy
36 M. Darmian
N. Barella
Italy
23 N. Barella
P. Zieliński
Poland
7 P. Zieliński
P. Sučić
Croatia
8 P. Sučić
F. Dimarco
Italy
32 F. Dimarco
M. Thuram
France
9 M. Thuram
A. Bonny
France
14 A. Bonny
Z. Suzuki
Japan
31 Z. Suzuki
N. Ndiaye
Senegal
3 N. Ndiaye
M. Troilo
Argentina
37 M. Troilo
A. Circati
Australia
39 A. Circati
E. Valeri
Italy
14 E. Valeri
M. Keita
Belgium
16 M. Keita
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
Italy
41 H. Nicolussi Caviglia
A. Bernabe Garcia
Spain
10 A. Bernabe Garcia
E. Del Prato
Italy
15 E. Del Prato
G. Strefezza Rebelato
Brazil
7 G. Strefezza Rebelato
M. Pellegrino Casalanguila
Argentina
9 M. Pellegrino Casalanguila

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Capacity
75817
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Kevin Bonacina
Fabiano Preti
Domenico Palermo
Luca Massimi

Lineup

Referee : Kevin Bonacina

Starting XI ▼

1
Yann Sommer
Yann Sommer Goalkeeper
6.77
25
Manuel Akanji
Manuel Akanji Defender
7.04
30
Carlos Augusto
Carlos Augusto Defender
6.8
31
Yann Bisseck
Yann Bisseck Defender
7.1
7
Piotr Zieliński
Piotr Zieliński Midfielder
7.03
8
Petar Sučić
Petar Sučić Midfielder
6.74
23
Nicolò Barella
Nicolò Barella Midfielder
7.2
32
Federico Dimarco
Federico Dimarco Midfielder
7.59
36
Matteo Darmian
Matteo Darmian Midfielder
6.45
9
Marcus Thuram
Marcus Thuram Attacker
7.21
14
Ange-Yoan Bonny
Ange-Yoan Bonny Attacker
6.76
Referee : Kevin Bonacina

Starting XI ▼

31
Zion Suzuki
Zion Suzuki Goalkeeper
6.95
3
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Abdoulaye Ndiaye Defender
6.59
37
Mariano Troilo
Mariano Troilo Defender
6.82
39
Alessandro Circati
Alessandro Circati Defender
6.9
10
Adrián Bernabé
Adrián Bernabé Midfielder
7.08
14
Emanuele Valeri
Emanuele Valeri Midfielder
6.83
15
Enrico Delprato
Enrico Delprato Midfielder
6.7
16
Mandela Keita
Mandela Keita Midfielder
6.83
41
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Midfielder
6.65
7
Gabriel Strefezza
Gabriel Strefezza Attacker
7.07
9
Mateo Pellegrino
Mateo Pellegrino Attacker
6.85

CONCLUSION

Inter enters this fixture as overwhelming favorites, leveraging their top-table position and superior power metrics to dictate terms against a mid-pack Parma. The 18.3-point edge and better form score position Inter for a controlled performance at home, where they can exploit Parma's vulnerabilities in structure and consistency. Without granular efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus shifts to Inter's ability to convert dominance into goals through sustained pressure. Parma's path lies in resilient defending and opportunistic breaks, but historical trends favor the hosts decisively. Expect Inter to secure a comfortable victory, reinforcing their title credentials in Serie A.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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