Gorica vs Slaven Koprivnica Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
ŠRC Velika Gorica Sat, 7 Mar - 2:00 PM
1. HNL
Gorica Gorica
2 – 2
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica
Full Time Sat, 7 Mar 2:00 PM
Domagoj Pavicic - 13', 76'
Goal
|
Goal
Tomislav Bozic - 55'
Josip Mitrovic - 74'

Gorica vs Slaven Koprivnica preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Match is finished. Gorica 2–2 Slaven Koprivnica. The match ended in a draw. Slaven Koprivnica showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 42%–58%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Slaven Koprivnica showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Vukančić
I. Vukančić
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.63
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Šarić
K. Šarić
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.63
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Maloča
M. Maloča
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.63
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Čulina
A. Čulina
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.63
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Gorica M. Carević
M. Carević
VS
Slaven Koprivnica M. Gregurina
M. Gregurina
1.11
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.47
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Istra 1961 Rank: W
Vukovar Rank: D
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: L
Hajduk Split Rank: W
Varaždin Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Istra 1961 Rank: W
Vukovar Rank: D
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: W
Hajduk Split Rank: L
Varaždin Rank: L
Rijeka Rank: D
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 8 - 12
12

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gorica
42.43%
Draw
30.22%
Away Slaven Koprivnica
27.35%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
36
46.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gorica
Slaven Koprivnica
Power Score
36
46.67
League Position
8
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gorica — Opponent-weighted form score
Slaven Koprivnica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gorica Slaven Koprivnica

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Gorica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Slaven Koprivnica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Gorica ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Slaven Koprivnica
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.38
25.52
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.52
22.38
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Gorica -0.32 Efficiency Index
vs
Slaven Koprivnica +0.32 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Gorica
Slaven Koprivnica
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Gorica ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Slaven Koprivnica
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Gorica Slaven Koprivnica
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Gorica Slaven Koprivnica
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Gorica
Slaven Koprivnica
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gorica Gorica Home
22 matches
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica Away
Match Record
7
Wins
10
5
Draws
5
10
Losses
7
Goals
20
Goals Scored
32
32
Goals Conceded
20
-12
Goal Difference
+12
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:04:15+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 07, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadium
ŠRC Velika Gorica
Capacity
8000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ivan Vukančić
Kruno Šarić
Marko Maloča
Ante Čulina

Statistics

Possession
Gorica
43%
Slaven Koprivnica
57%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
5 Big Chances Created 2
3 Shots 2
48 Dangerous attacks 56
42 Possession 58
3 Corners 5
15 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

6 Successful Dribbles 6
46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
19 Throwins 35
13 Dribble Attempts 15
2 Assists 2
6 Goal Kicks 7
1 Hit Woodwork 1
2 Substitutions 4

Attacking

71 Attacks 85
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

239 Successful Passes 341
301 Passes 427
79 Successful Passes Percentage 80
5 Key Passes 10
67 Long Passes 77
29 Successful Long Passes 50
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 65

Defensive

14 Tackles 17
12 Interceptions 1
0 Saves 1

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 23
3 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

14 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 3

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Igor Lepinjica → Marko Dabro
6th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Osman Hadzikic
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Leon Bošnjak → Filip Mažar
4th Substitution
84'
Event
Antonio Jakir → Ilija Nestorovski
5th Substitution
84'
Event
Ivan Cubelic
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
80'
Event
Igor Lepinjica
8th Yellowcard
Event
Domagoj Pavicic
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
77'
Event
Domagoj Pavicic
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
76'
74'
Event
Josip Mitrovic
Header / 3rd Goal
70'
Event
Karlo Isasegi
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Théo Epailly → Luka Vrzic
2nd Substitution
68'
Event
Ante Erceg → Sule Wisdom Aondowase
3rd Substitution
68'
Event
Luka Vrzic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
64'
60'
Event
Ivan Cubelic → Alen Grgic
1st Substitution
55'
Event
Tomislav Bozic
Header / 2nd Goal
1ST-HALF
15'
Event
Filip Mažar
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
15'
Event
Mateusz Stolarski
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Domagoj Pavicic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
13'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Slaven Koprivnica exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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