Gençlerbirliği vs Kasımpaşa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Eryaman Stadyumu Sat, 9 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Gençlerbirliği GSK
Versus
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 5:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Gençlerbirliği host Kasımpaşa in Super Lig (Regular Season) at Eryaman Stadyumu. Domestically, Gençlerbirliği sit 16th in the table while Kasımpaşa are 13th. Power ranking favours Kasımpaşa by 8.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Kasımpaşa possesses an 8.2-point power advantage over Gençlerbirliği, rated at 65.6 versus 57.44.
  • Form: Kasımpaşa boasts a superior form score of 15.72 compared to Gençlerbirliği's 6.44.
  • Squad: Gençlerbirliği holds 16th in the Super Lig, while Kasımpaşa ranks 13th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided in available statistics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance lacks xG data, relying on low-confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to add-on not being enabled.
  • Market: Baseline split: Gençlerbirliği 39% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.1% (Δ+0%) | Kasımpaşa 31.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gençlerbirliği V. Demirel
V. Demirel
VS
Kasımpaşa E. Belözoğlu
E. Belözoğlu
0.85
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.1
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 62 L
Kocaelispor Rank: 65 W
Galatasaray Rank: 88 L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 75 L
Göztepe Rank: 74 L
Konyaspor Rank: 71 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kocaelispor Rank: 65 D
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 75 L
Alanyaspor Rank: 70 W
Göztepe Rank: 73 D
Kayserispor Rank: 63 W
Beşiktaş Rank: 77 L
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 8 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gençlerbirliği
39.03%
Draw
29.09%
Away Kasımpaşa
31.88%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.44
65.6
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gençlerbirliği
Kasımpaşa
Power Score
57.44
65.6
League Position
16
13
Global Rank
311
307

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gençlerbirliği — Opponent-weighted form score
Kasımpaşa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gençlerbirliği Kasımpaşa

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gençlerbirliği GSK Home
23 matches
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa Away
Match Record
9
Wins
6
8
Draws
8
6
Losses
9
Goals
29
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
29
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T02:05:36+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Silva Velho
24 M. Silva Velho
F. Üzüm
88 F. Üzüm
D. Goutas
6 D. Goutas
Ž. Žužek
4 Ž. Žužek
A. Dursun
77 A. Dursun
O. Diabate
42 O. Diabate
S. Onur
8 S. Onur
A. Malouda Traoré
20 A. Malouda Traoré
F. Tongya Heubang
70 F. Tongya Heubang
M. Mimaroğlu
10 M. Mimaroğlu
S. Koita
22 S. Koita
A. Gianniotis
1 A. Gianniotis
K. Çörekçi
22 K. Çörekçi
A. Arous
4 A. Arous
N. Opoku
20 N. Opoku
C. Winck Neto
2 C. Winck Neto
K. Demirbay
26 K. Demirbay
C. Ribeiro Dias
8 C. Ribeiro Dias
M. Ben Ouannes
12 M. Ben Ouannes
F. Diabaté
34 F. Diabaté
İ. Kahveci
71 İ. Kahveci
A. Benedyczak
19 A. Benedyczak

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Eryaman Stadyumu
Capacity :
20560
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

24
Ricardo Velho
Ricardo Velho Goalkeeper
7.02
22
Sékou Koïta
Sékou Koïta Centre Forward
6.8
4
Zan Zuzek
Zan Zuzek Left Back
6.83
6
Dimitrios Goutas
Dimitrios Goutas Right Back
6.9
10
Metehan Mimaroğlu
Metehan Mimaroğlu Left Wing
6.79
70
Franco Tongya
Franco Tongya Attacking Midfield
6.74
8
Samed Onur
Samed Onur Defensive Midfield
6.71
77
Abdurrahim Dursun
Abdurrahim Dursun Left Back
6.59
88
Fıratcan Üzüm
Fıratcan Üzüm Right Back
6.55
20
Adama Traoré
Adama Traoré Right Wing
6.57
42
Ousmane Diabate
Ousmane Diabate Defensive Midfield
6.91

Starting XI ▼

1
Andreas Gianniotis
Andreas Gianniotis Goalkeeper
6.73
19
Adrian Benedyczak
Adrian Benedyczak Centre Forward
7.02
20
Nicholas Opoku
Nicholas Opoku Right Back
6.72
2
Cláudio Winck
Cláudio Winck Right Back
6.76
4
Adem Arous
Adem Arous Left Back
6.81
12
Mortadha Ben Ouanes
Mortadha Ben Ouanes Left Wing
6.87
8
Cafú
Cafú Defensive Midfield
6.66
22
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi Left Back
6.77
26
Kerem Demirbay
Kerem Demirbay Defensive Midfield
7.04
34
Fousseni Diabaté
Fousseni Diabaté Attacking Midfield
6.68
71
İrfan Can Kahveci
İrfan Can Kahveci Right Wing
7.19

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Kasımpaşa holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Kasımpaşa a 8.2-point edge. External projection is Gençlerbirliği 39%, draw 29.1%, and Kasımpaşa 31.9%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Gençlerbirliği vs Kasımpaşa preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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