Zürich vs Servette Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadion Letzigrund Sat, 16 May - 4:00 PM
Super League
Zürich ZUR
0 Winner 2
Servette Servette
Full Time Sat, 16 May 4:00 PM
Round 38 Relegation Round
|
Goal
Junior Kadile - 88'
Jérémy Guillemenot - 26'
Ivan Cavaleiro 36' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Zürich hosted Servette for an important fixture that ended in a 0-2 victory for the away team. The halftime score was 0-1 with Servette leading. Possession stats showed Zürich at 43 percent while Servette held 57 percent of the ball. A red card issued to Zürich in the match created additional challenges for the hosts. Servette demonstrated their superiority as the stronger team and secured the win convincingly. Although expected goals figures were not provided the outcome aligned with general expectations at a moderate deviation level of 7.8 percent. The second half saw further adjustments influenced by the numerical disadvantage. This result underscores Servette's consistent form and tactical discipline on the road. The match proceeded without major incidents beyond the dismissal and the scoring plays.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Servette exhibited a moderate structural deviation of 7.8 percent in the match outcome.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's performance throughout.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment data was unavailable due to null expected goals values recorded.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true with Servette claiming the 0-2 away victory.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed given the lack of underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: Event impact was notable in the second half adjustments by the away side.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion occurred as Zürich played with ten men after their dismissal.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

L. Piccolo

Switzerland 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Jaussi

4th Official

Switzerland

L. Schmid

1st Assistant

Switzerland

I. Jancevski

2nd Assistant

Switzerland

League averages

Super League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.57
Yellow cards / match 4.22
Red cards / match 0.22
Penalties / match 0.46
Zürich C. Bernegger
C. Bernegger
VS
Servette J. Gourvennec
J. Gourvennec
0.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Luzern Rank: 60 L
Grasshopper Rank: 49 W
Winterthur Rank: 44 D
Lausanne Sport Rank: 56 L
Lugano Rank: 65 L
St. Gallen Rank: 65 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lausanne Sport Rank: 55 W
Luzern Rank: 60 D
Grasshopper Rank: 49 W
Winterthur Rank: 44 W
Young Boys Rank: 64 D
Luzern Rank: 60 W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 7 - 16
16

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Zürich
0.47%
Draw
7.31%
Away Servette
92.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
50.45
63.35
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Zürich
Servette
Power Score
50.45
63.35
League Position
10
8
Global Rank
779
380

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Zürich — Opponent-weighted form score
Servette — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zürich Servette

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Zürich

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Servette

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Zürich ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Servette
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Zürich Servette
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Zürich Servette
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Zürich
Servette
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Zürich
vs
Servette
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Zürich Servette
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Zürich 0.00
Servette 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Zürich Servette
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Zürich 0.00
Servette 0.00
Zürich
Servette
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Servette had peak pressure around 36'.
  • Servette started the game with stronger pressure.
ZUR Pressure Servette Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Servette reached the top pressure at 36' (85.16).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 34 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zürich ZUR Home
34 matches
Servette Servette Away
Match Record
11
Wins
16
7
Draws
7
16
Losses
11
Goals
42
Goals Scored
55
55
Goals Conceded
42
-13
Goal Difference
+13

Data last updated: 2026-05-16T15:45:53+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
Y. Brecher
Substitution
Switzerland
25 Y. Brecher
S. Hodža
Switzerland
32 S. Hodža
L. Kamberi
Switzerland
2 L. Kamberi
I. Sauter
Switzerland
27 I. Sauter
S. Walker
Switzerland
44 S. Walker
C. Tsawa
Substitution
Switzerland
6 C. Tsawa
N. Palacio
Colombia
15 N. Palacio
J. Perea Mendoza
Substitution
Colombia
9 J. Perea Mendoza
B. Krasniqi
Substitution
Switzerland
7 B. Krasniqi
I. Neves Abreu Cavaleiro
Angola
8 I. Neves Abreu Cavaleiro
P. Keny
Substitution
Senegal
19 P. Keny
Pitch
J. Frick
Switzerland
32 J. Frick
B. Mazikou
France
18 B. Mazikou
M. Burch
Switzerland
15 M. Burch
S. Rouiller
Switzerland
4 S. Rouiller
L. Srdanovic
Substitution
Switzerland
2 L. Srdanovic
D. Douline
Substitution
France
28 D. Douline
L. Fomba
Substitution
France
11 L. Fomba
J. Kadile
France
10 J. Kadile
J. Guillemenot
Substitution
Switzerland
21 J. Guillemenot
T. Lopes
Substitution
France
36 T. Lopes
S. Mráz
Slovakia
90 S. Mráz

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 38 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Stadion Letzigrund
Capacity :
26104
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Luca Piccolo
Jonathan Jaussi
Linda Schmid
Ilco Jancevski

Statistics

Possession
ZUR
45%
Servette
55%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
0 Big Chances Created 2
5 Shots 15
45 Dangerous attacks 60
43 Possession 57
6 Corners 8
13 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

10 Throwins 21
15 Dribble Attempts 17
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 24
5 Substitutions 5
0 Assists 2
7 Successful Dribbles 4
5 Goal Attempts 10
2 Injuries 0
9 Goal Kicks 6
56 Ball Safe 53

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 1
82 Attacks 106

Possession

350 Passes 459
80 Successful Passes Percentage 86
280 Successful Passes 397
58 Long Passes 30
32 Successful Long Passes 17
55 Successful Long Passes Percentage 57
1 Key Passes 11

Defensive

4 Saves 1
16 Tackles 12
11 Interceptions 5

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 25
2 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Luca Piccolo

Starting XI ▼

25
Yanick Brecher
Yanick Brecher Goalkeeper
6.81
1
Silas Huber
Silas Huber
Goalkeeper87'
6.81
2
Lindrit Kamberi
Lindrit Kamberi Defender
6.86
27
Ilan Sauter
Ilan Sauter Defender
6.73
32
Selmin Hodza
Selmin Hodza Defender
6.86
44
Sebastian Walker
Sebastian Walker Defender
6.45
6
Cheveyo Tsawa
Cheveyo Tsawa Midfielder
6.87
38
Miguel Reichmuth
Miguel Reichmuth
Midfielder73'
6.66
7
Bledian Krasniqi
Bledian Krasniqi Midfielder
6.66
14
Nevio Di Giusto
Nevio Di Giusto
Midfielder73'
6.59
8
Ivan Cavaleiro
Ivan Cavaleiro Midfielder
6.87
9
Juan José Perea
Juan José Perea Midfielder
6.52
11
Umeh Emmanuel
Umeh Emmanuel
Attacker22'
6.58
15
Nelson Palacio
Nelson Palacio Midfielder
6.81
19
Philippe Paulin Keny
Philippe Paulin Keny Attacker
7.02
29
Damienus Reverson
Damienus Reverson
Attacker73'
6.71
Referee : Luca Piccolo

Starting XI ▼

32
Jérémy Frick
Jérémy Frick Goalkeeper
6.27
2
Loun Srdanovic
Loun Srdanovic Defender
6.72
17
Houboulang Mendes
Houboulang Mendes
Defender68'
6.66
4
Steve Rouiller
Steve Rouiller Defender
6.81
15
Marco Burch
Marco Burch Defender
6.66
18
Bradley Mazikou
Bradley Mazikou Defender
6.81
10
Junior Kadile
Junior Kadile Midfielder
7.62
11
Lamine Fomba
Lamine Fomba Midfielder
6.69
5
Gaël Ondoua
Gaël Ondoua
Midfielder68'
6.36
21
Jérémy Guillemenot
Jérémy Guillemenot Midfielder
6.86
39
Miguel Mardochée
Miguel Mardochée
Attacker61'
6.42
28
David Douline
David Douline Midfielder
6.94
38
Malek Ishuayed
Malek Ishuayed
Attacker76'
6.45
36
Thomas Lopes
Thomas Lopes Midfielder
6.86
14
Lilian Njoh
Lilian Njoh
Defender62'
7.01
90
Samuel Mraz
Samuel Mraz Attacker
6.81

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Junior Kadile
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Silas Huber → Yanick Brecher
10th Substitution
87'
76'
Event
Malek Ishuayed → David Douline
9th Substitution
Event
Damienus Reverson → Philippe Paulin Keny
8th Substitution
73'
Event
Nevio Di Giusto → Bledian Krasniqi
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Miguel Reichmuth → Cheveyo Tsawa
7th Substitution
73'
68'
Event
Houboulang Mendes → Loun Srdanovic
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Gaël Ondoua → Lamine Fomba
5th Substitution
62'
Event
Lilian Njoh → Thomas Lopes
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Miguel Mardochée → Jérémy Guillemenot
2nd Substitution
Event
Philippe Paulin Keny
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
52'
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Lamine Fomba
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
40'
Event
Jérémy Guillemenot
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Ivan Cavaleiro
Foul / 1st Redcard
36'
26'
Event
Jérémy Guillemenot
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Umeh Emmanuel → Juan José Perea
1st Substitution
22'

Match Commentary

88
Attempt Attempt
Junior Kadile scores with a right-footed shot.
75
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Mraz takes a left-footed shot but misses.
75
Update Update
Malek Ishuayed Sanchez comes on for David Douline.
72
Update Update
Nevio Di Giusto comes on for Bledian Krasniqi.
72
Update Update
Miguel Reichmuth is on, and Cheveyo Tsawa is off.
72
Update Update
Damienus Reverson is on, and Philippe Paulin Keny is off.
67
Substitution Substitution
Gael Ondoua is substituted for Lamine Fomba.
67
Substitution Substitution
Houboulang Mendes is substituted off for Loun Srdanovic.
66
Attempt Attempt
Philippe Paulin Keny takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Update Update
Lilian Njoh is on, and Thomas Lopes is off.
60
Update Update
Miguel Mardochee comes on for Jérémy Guillemenot.
60
Attempt Attempt
Jérémy Guillemenot takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
56
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Lopes takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
53
Attempt Attempt
Ilan Sauter's left-footed shot is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Mraz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jérémy Guillemenot takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Mraz's header is saved.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Jérémy Guillemenot.
39
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Mraz takes a header shot but misses.
36
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Ivan Ricardo Neves Abreu Cavaleiro.
34
Attempt Attempt
Junior Kadile takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Mraz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
Jérémy Guillemenot takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Jérémy Guillemenot takes a right-footed shot and scores.
22
Update Update
Umeh Emmanuel comes on for Juan Jose Perea Mendoza.
18
Attempt Attempt
Nelson Palacio takes a right-footed shot but misses.
11
Attempt Attempt
Jérémy Guillemenot takes a right-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Fomba's right-footed shot is blocked.
5
Update Update
Cheveyo Tsawa's header is blocked.
3
Attempt Attempt
Jérémy Guillemenot takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Zürich 0-2 Servette. Structural assessment: Servette exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Zürich vs Servette preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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