Zürich vs Lausanne Sport Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadion Letzigrund Fri, 6 Mar - 2:09 PM
Super League
Zürich ZUR
1 Winner 2
Lausanne Sport LAU
Full Time Fri, 6 Mar 2:09 PM
Ivan Cavaleiro - 72'
Goal
|
Goal
Karim Sow - 90+2'
Omar Janneh - 35'

CONTEXT

The match between Zürich and Lausanne Sport has finished, with Lausanne Sport securing a 2-1 victory away from home. The visitors established their advantage early, carrying a 1-0 lead into halftime before ultimately claiming all three points by the final whistle. This outcome was entirely aligned with pre-match market expectations. Lausanne Sport entered the contest as the definitively stronger team, boasting a 49.7% implied win probability compared to just 25.6% for Zürich and a 24.7% chance of a draw. Even as the anticipated favorites, Lausanne Sport recorded a significant positive performance deviation of 50.3% to effectively seal the expected result. On the pitch, the battle for control was incredibly tight, with Lausanne Sport narrowly edging possession at 51% to Zürich's 49%. While expected goals (xG) data was unavailable to determine if the final scoreline matched the specific quality of chances created, the overall efficiency shift remained firmly in line with pre-game metrics. Furthermore, the match was a disciplined affair with no red cards issued to either side, ensuring the final result was decided evenly without any major disciplinary impacts altering the course of play.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Lausanne Sport showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Wolfensberger

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Bürgi

2nd Assistant

J. Jaussi

4th Official

M. Zürcher

1st Assistant

Zürich D. Hediger
D. Hediger
VS
Lausanne Sport P. Zeidler
P. Zeidler
1.04
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.37
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lausanne Sport Rank: L
Young Boys Rank: L
Grasshopper Rank: W
Luzern Rank: L
Winterthur Rank: W
Basel Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Gallen Rank: D
Winterthur Rank: L
Grasshopper Rank: D
Young Boys Rank: W
Servette Rank: W
Luzern Rank: L
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 9 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Zürich
25.55%
Draw
24.7%
Away Lausanne Sport
49.74%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
36.9
39.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Zürich
Lausanne Sport
Power Score
36.9
39.29
League Position
9
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Zürich — Opponent-weighted form score
Lausanne Sport — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zürich Lausanne Sport

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Zürich

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Lausanne Sport

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Zürich ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lausanne Sport
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.35
43.24
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
43.24
27.35
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Zürich -1.42 Efficiency Index
vs
Lausanne Sport +1.42 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Zürich
Lausanne Sport
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Zürich
vs
Lausanne Sport
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Zürich Lausanne Sport
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Zürich Lausanne Sport
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Zürich
Lausanne Sport
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zürich ZUR Home
17 matches
Lausanne Sport LAU Away
Match Record
6
Wins
5
6
Draws
6
5
Losses
6
Goals
27
Goals Scored
24
24
Goals Conceded
27
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
1.71
xG
1.64
1.64
xGA
1.71

Data last updated: 2026-03-07T11:22:16+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 06, 2026, 02:09 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadium :
Stadion Letzigrund
Capacity :
26104
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Mirco Bürgi
Sven Wolfensberger
Jonathan Jaussi
Marco Zürcher

Statistics

Possession
ZUR
49%
LAU
51%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 4
1 Shots 8
48 Dangerous attacks 41
49 Possession 51
9 Corners 7
11 Free kicks 14
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

18 Throwins 26
14 Dribble Attempts 22
6 Successful Dribbles 14
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 64
10 Goal Kicks 12
75 Ball Safe 85
7 Goal Attempts 15
1 Assists 2
5 Substitutions 4
1 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

107 Attacks 97
2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

207 Successful Passes 228
76 Long Passes 67
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36
67 Successful Passes Percentage 68
310 Passes 333
30 Successful Long Passes 24
8 Key Passes 14

Defensive

5 Saves 0
11 Interceptions 6
17 Tackles 14

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 12
7 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

13 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 1

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Alban Ajdini → Gaoussou Diakité
9th Substitution
Event
Pirosch Fischer → Ivan Cavaleiro
8th Substitution
90+3'
90+2'
Event
Karim Sow
Header / 3rd Goal
Event
Ilan Sauter → Sebastian Walker
7th Substitution
83'
76'
Event
Enzo Kana-Biyik → Nathan Butler-Oyedeji
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Seydou Traoré → Nicky Beloko
6th Substitution
Event
Ivan Cavaleiro
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
72'
Event
Juan José Perea → Damienus Reverson
4th Substitution
71'
69'
Event
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
66'
Event
Sekou Kone → Beyatt Lekoueiry
3rd Substitution
Event
Philippe Paulin Keny
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
64'
64'
Event
Brandon Soppy
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Valon Berisha
Goal disallowed
61'
Event
Valon Berisha → Chris Kablan
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Nevio Di Giusto → Umeh Emmanuel
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
35'
Event
Omar Janneh
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Cheveyo Tsawa
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
32'
Event
Sebastian Walker
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
25'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Lausanne Sport exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Zürich vs Lausanne Sport preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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