Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine

Slavutych-Arena Thu, 23 Apr - 12:30 PM

Premier League

Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk

Shakhtar Donetsk SHK

Full Time Thu, 23 Apr 12:30 PM

Round 21 Regular Season

Navin Malysh - 51'

Artem Bondarenko - 82' (P)

Prosper Obah - 2'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Zorya Luhansk 1–2 Shakhtar Donetsk. The result saw Shakhtar Donetsk take the points. Shakhtar Donetsk showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 46%–54%.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Shakhtar Donetsk achieved a significant 32.2% structural deviation.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with market expectations.
xG expectations: xG expectations not assessable without data.
Event impact: No key events altered match dynamics.
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards prevented any distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

D. Panchyshyn

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

V. Dumenko

1st Assistant

D. Osaulenko

4th Official

Y. Povazhnyi

2nd Assistant

V. Skripnik

A. Turan

1.43

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.57

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

5 - 5 - 36

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Zorya Luhansk

10.98%

Draw

21.26%

Shakhtar Donetsk

67.76%

Movement

Changes since opening

Zorya Luhansk

+0.78%

Draw

+0.9%

Shakhtar Donetsk

-1.68%

Team Power Ranking

20.29

39.96

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Zorya Luhansk

Shakhtar Donetsk

Power Score

20.29

39.96

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Zorya Luhansk — Opponent-weighted form score

Shakhtar Donetsk — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zorya Luhansk Shakhtar Donetsk

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Zorya Luhansk

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Shakhtar Donetsk

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Zorya Luhansk ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Shakhtar Donetsk

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

9.46

17.96

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

17.96

9.46

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Zorya Luhansk -0.87 Efficiency Index

Shakhtar Donetsk +0.87 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Zorya Luhansk

Shakhtar Donetsk

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Zorya Luhansk ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Shakhtar Donetsk

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Zorya Luhansk Shakhtar Donetsk

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Zorya Luhansk Shakhtar Donetsk

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Zorya Luhansk

Shakhtar Donetsk

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Zorya Luhansk

Shakhtar Donetsk

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Zorya Luhansk Shakhtar Donetsk

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Zorya Luhansk Shakhtar Donetsk

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Zorya Luhansk

Shakhtar Donetsk

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

SHK had peak pressure around 81'.
SHK started the game with stronger pressure.

Zorya Luhansk Pressure SHK Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: SHK reached the top pressure at 81' (60.10).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 46 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk Home

46 matches

Shakhtar Donetsk SHK Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

113

Goals Conceded

-77

Goal Difference

+77

Data last updated: 2026-04-24T00:00:43+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

1 O. Saputin

23 N. Malysh

55 A. da Silva Cordeiro

4 G. Eskinja

10 L. Reis Rodrigues

6 D. Popara

8 K. Dryshliuk

77 B. Kushnirenko

47 R. Vantukh

28 P. Budkivskyi

7 N. Anđušić

31 D. Riznyk

13 P. Azevedo Pereira

4 M. Santos da Silva Barbosa

5 V. Bondar

17 V. Tobias da Silva

29 E. Nazaryna

11 N. Martins da Silva

21 A. Bondarenko

49 L. Oliveira Meirelles

68 P. Obah

19 K. Elias Nogueira

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 23, 2026, 12:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 21 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Slavutych-Arena

Capacity :

22288

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Dmytro Panchyshyn

Volodymyr Dumenko

Dmytro Osaulenko

Yaroslav Povazhnyi

Statistics

Possession

Zorya Luhansk

48%

SHK

52%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2

3 Shots 8

27 Dangerous attacks 34

46 Possession 54

4 Corners 4

4 Free kicks 11

3 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

11 Goal Kicks 2

0 Assists 1

4 Substitutions 5

0 Penalties 1

Attacking

58 Attacks 53

Defensive

2 Saves 2

Discipline

11 Fouls 6

1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Dmytro Panchyshyn

Manager ▼

V. Skripnik Coach

Starting XI ▼

Oleksandr Saputin Goalkeeper

6.13

Gabriel Eskinja Defender

6.41

Juninho Defender

6.33

Roman Vantukh Defender

6.51

Artem Slesar

Midfielder64'

6.58

Jordan Defender

6.51

Dejan Popara Midfielder

6.37

Igor Gorbach

Midfielder85'

6.58

Nemanja Anđušić Midfielder

6.68

S. Bah

Midfielder83'

6.84

Kyrylo Dryshlyuk Midfielder

6.44

Fedir Zadorozhnyi

Attacker86'

6.44

Navin Malysh Midfielder

6.45

Bogdan Kushnirenko Midfielder

6.5

Pylyp Budkivskyi Attacker

6.67

Substitutes ▼

Artem Slesar

Midfielder64'

6.58

S. Bah

Midfielder83'

6.84

Igor Gorbach

Midfielder85'

6.58

Fedir Zadorozhnyi

Attacker86'

6.44

Bench ▼

Mykyta Turbayevskyi Goalkeeper

6.8

Valeriy Kosivskyi Goalkeeper

Andrija Janjić Defender

6.39

Jakov Basic Defender

6.3

Igor Perduta Defender

6.33

Petar Micin Midfielder

6.41

Domagoj Jelavic Midfielder

6.4

Reynaldiño Verley Midfielder

6.38

Referee : Dmytro Panchyshyn