WSG Tirol vs Rheindorf Altach Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Tivoli Stadion Tirol Sat, 18 Apr - 3:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
WSG Tirol WSG
2 2
Rheindorf Altach ALT
Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 3:00 PM
Round 5 Relegation Round
Lukas Hinterseer - 88'
Marco Boras - 43'
Goal
|
Goal
Yann Massombo - 32'
Sandro Ingolitsch - 2'
|
Second yellow card Lukas Jäger 90'

CONTEXT

WSG Tirol hosted Rheindorf Altach in a competitive Bundesliga encounter that concluded in a 2-2 draw, defying the home team's status as the stronger side. Altach surged to a 2-1 halftime lead, capitalizing on early momentum, but WSG Tirol mounted a comeback in the second half following the visitors' red card. Possession tilted slightly toward the hosts at 51-49%, reflecting a balanced contest. The outcome marked a moderate structural deviation of 8.8% attributed to WSG Tirol, with efficiency shifts aligning as expected. Market conditions aligned with the final result, though xG data was unavailable for deeper analysis. The red card introduced significant distortion, prompting second-half adjustments that leveled the playing field and secured the draw.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate structural deviation of 8.8% favoring WSG Tirol.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed with the draw outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable without underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: Away red card altered match dynamics post-halftime.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion drove second-half adjustments.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

I. Simsek

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Hartl

1st Assistant

D. Pfister

4th Official

M. Undesser

2nd Assistant

WSG Tirol P. Semlic
P. Semlic
VS
Rheindorf Altach O. Zaric
O. Zaric
1.39
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.41
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: L
Wolfsberger AC Rank: W
Grazer AK Rank: L
Ried Rank: L
Grazer AK Rank: W
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grazer AK Rank: W
Ried Rank: L
Wolfsberger AC Rank: D
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: W
Sturm Graz Rank: L
SK Rapid Rank: D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 7 - 10
10

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home WSG Tirol
5.53%
Draw
91.23%
Away Rheindorf Altach
3.24%

Movement

Changes since opening
WSG Tirol
-0.72%
Draw
+1.09%
Rheindorf Altach
-0.37%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.56
18.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
WSG Tirol
Rheindorf Altach
Power Score
19.56
18.39
League Position
7
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
WSG Tirol Opponent-weighted form score
Rheindorf Altach Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) WSG Tirol Rheindorf Altach

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

WSG Tirol

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Rheindorf Altach

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

WSG Tirol ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rheindorf Altach
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.35
24.80
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.80
37.35
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
WSG Tirol +1.03 Efficiency Index
vs
Rheindorf Altach -1.03 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
WSG Tirol
Rheindorf Altach
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

WSG Tirol ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rheindorf Altach
Created Set-piece attacking threat
WSG Tirol Rheindorf Altach
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
WSG Tirol Rheindorf Altach
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
WSG Tirol
Rheindorf Altach
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

WSG Tirol
vs
Rheindorf Altach
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
WSG Tirol Rheindorf Altach
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
WSG Tirol Rheindorf Altach
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
WSG Tirol
Rheindorf Altach
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ALT had peak pressure around 5'.
  • ALT started the game with stronger pressure.
WSG Pressure ALT Pressure
Pressure Index: ALT reached the top pressure at 5' (74.59).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

WSG Tirol WSG Home
24 matches
Rheindorf Altach ALT Away
Match Record
7
Wins
10
7
Draws
7
10
Losses
7
Goals
23
Goals Scored
28
28
Goals Conceded
23
-5
Goal Difference
+5

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:05:32+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
A. Stejskal
Czech Republic
40 A. Stejskal
M. Boras
Croatia
23 M. Boras
J. Lawrence
Germany
5 J. Lawrence
D. Kubatta
Substitution
Germany
14 D. Kubatta
J. Naschberger
Substitution
Austria
17 J. Naschberger
M. Taferner
Austria
30 M. Taferner
V. Müller
Austria
4 V. Müller
B. Böckle
Austria
20 B. Böckle
N. Frederiksen
Denmark
8 N. Frederiksen
L. Hinterseer
Austria
16 L. Hinterseer
M. Wels
Austria
37 M. Wels
Pitch
D. Stojanovic
Austria
1 D. Stojanovic
L. Jäger
Austria
17 L. Jäger
B. Zech
Austria
23 B. Zech
F. Milojevic
Austria
27 F. Milojevic
M. Ouédraogo
Burkina Faso
29 M. Ouédraogo
M. Bähre
Germany
8 M. Bähre
V. Demaku
Austria
6 V. Demaku
S. Ingolitsch
Austria
25 S. Ingolitsch
P. Greil
Substitution
Austria
18 P. Greil
Y. Massombo Litawumba
Substitution
France
28 Y. Massombo Litawumba
O. Diawara
Substitution
Mali
10 O. Diawara

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 18, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 5 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Tivoli Stadion Tirol
Capacity :
16008
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Isa Simsek
Mattias Hartl
Daniel Pfister
Manuel Undesser

Statistics

Possession
WSG
52%
ALT
48%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 0
12 Shots 6
41 Dangerous attacks 23
51 Possession 49
6 Corners 2
12 Free kicks 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
1 Assists 2
7 Goal Kicks 10
6 Successful Dribbles 2
18 Throwins 22
67 Ball Safe 79
13 Dribble Attempts 5
13 Goal Attempts 9
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Injuries 2
2 Substitutions 3

Attacking

85 Attacks 73
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

284 Successful Passes 281
391 Passes 380
6 Key Passes 8
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31
86 Long Passes 71
42 Successful Long Passes 22
73 Successful Passes Percentage 74

Defensive

50 Duels Won 39
10 Interceptions 9
7 Tackles 15
5 Saves 6

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 11
5 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Isa Simsek

Starting XI

40
Adam Stejskal
Adam Stejskal Goalkeeper
6.56
5
Jamie Lawrence
Jamie Lawrence Defender
7
14
David Kubatta
David Kubatta Defender
6.58
3
David Gugganig
David Gugganig
Defender46'
6.51
23
Marco Boras
Marco Boras Defender
6.84
4
Valentino Müller
Valentino Müller Midfielder
7.09
17
Johannes Naschberger
Johannes Naschberger Midfielder
6.7
6
Lukas Sulzbacher
Lukas Sulzbacher
Defender46'
6.59
20
Benjamin Böckle
Benjamin Böckle Midfielder
6.77
30
Matthäus Taferner
Matthäus Taferner Midfielder
7.16
8
N. Frederiksen
N. Frederiksen Attacker
7.25
16
Lukas Hinterseer
Lukas Hinterseer Attacker
6.49
37
Moritz Wels
Moritz Wels Attacker
6.7
Referee : Isa Simsek

Starting XI

1
Dejan Stojanovic
Dejan Stojanovic Goalkeeper
6.98
17
Lukas Jäger
Lukas Jäger Defender
6.76
23
Benedikt Zech
Benedikt Zech Defender
6.87
27
Filip Milojevic
Filip Milojevic Defender
6.8
6
Vesel Demaku
Vesel Demaku Midfielder
6.82
8
Mike-Steven Bähre
Mike-Steven Bähre Midfielder
6.82
25
Sandro Ingolitsch
Sandro Ingolitsch Midfielder
6.8
29
Mohamed Ouédraogo
Mohamed Ouédraogo Midfielder
6.9
10
Ousmane Diawara
Ousmane Diawara Attacker
6.74
11
Srdjan Hrstic
Srdjan Hrstic
Attacker65'
6.67
18
Patrick Greil
Patrick Greil Attacker
7.21
9
Marlon Mustapha
Marlon Mustapha
Attacker79'
6.65
28
Yann Massombo
Yann Massombo Attacker
6.69
26
Erkin Yalcin
Erkin Yalcin
Attacker79'
6.61

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Lukas Jäger
Handball / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Lukas Hinterseer
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
88'
79'
Event
Marlon Mustapha Patrick Greil
4th Substitution
79'
Event
Erkin Yalcin Yann Massombo
5th Substitution
73'
Event
Lukas Jäger
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Lukas Sulzbacher
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
65'
65'
Event
Srdjan Hrstic Ousmane Diawara
3rd Substitution
Event
David Gugganig David Kubatta
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Lukas Sulzbacher Johannes Naschberger
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Marco Boras
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
43'
32'
Event
Yann Massombo
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
2'
Event
Sandro Ingolitsch
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw underscored resilience from both WSG Tirol and Rheindorf Altach, with the home side overcoming a halftime deficit amid balanced possession. Altach's red card proved pivotal, distorting the second half and enabling WSG Tirol's recovery despite their stronger pre-match profile. Moderate deviation and aligned efficiency highlight a fair reflection of on-pitch efforts, while absent xG limits performance granularity. This result maintains competitive parity in the league standings.

WSG Tirol vs Rheindorf Altach preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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