WSG Tirol vs Grazer AK Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Tivoli Stadion Tirol Sun, 8 Mar - 4:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
WSG Tirol WSG
2 Winner 0
Grazer AK GAK
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 4:00 PM
Ademola Ola-Adebomi - 43'
David Kubatta - 10'
Goal
|
|
Red Card Martin Kreuzriegler 42'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. WSG Tirol 0–0 Grazer AK. The match ended in a draw. WSG Tirol showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 50%–50%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: WSG Tirol showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

F. Jäger

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Hartl

1st Assistant

S. Bosnjak

4th Official

T. Kaplan

2nd Assistant

WSG Tirol P. Semlic
P. Semlic
VS
Grazer AK F. Feldhofer
F. Feldhofer
1.18
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.06
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: W
Ried Rank: D
Sturm Graz Rank: W
LASK Linz Rank: L
Hartberg Rank: L
Rheindorf Altach Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ried Rank: W
Hartberg Rank: L
Salzburg Rank: D
Wolfsberger AC Rank: D
LASK Linz Rank: L
Sturm Graz Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 4 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home WSG Tirol
39.54%
Draw
28.76%
Away Grazer AK
31.7%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
46.97
30.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
WSG Tirol
Grazer AK
Power Score
46.97
30.3
League Position
7
11
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
WSG Tirol — Opponent-weighted form score
Grazer AK — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) WSG Tirol Grazer AK

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

WSG Tirol

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Grazer AK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

WSG Tirol ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Grazer AK
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.40
13.80
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
13.80
38.40
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
WSG Tirol +2.02 Efficiency Index
vs
Grazer AK -2.02 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
WSG Tirol
Grazer AK
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

WSG Tirol ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Grazer AK
Created Set-piece attacking threat
WSG Tirol Grazer AK
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
WSG Tirol Grazer AK
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
WSG Tirol
Grazer AK
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

WSG Tirol WSG Home
5 matches
Grazer AK GAK Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
4
Draws
4
1
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
3
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:13:59+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 08, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Stadium :
Tivoli Stadion Tirol
Capacity :
16008
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Mattias Hartl
Stjepan Bosnjak
Florian Jäger
Thomas Kaplan

Statistics

Possession
WSG
52%
GAK
48%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
9 Shots 2
44 Dangerous attacks 18
50 Possession 50
8 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

3 Goal Kicks 11
8 Goal Attempts 4
4 Successful Dribbles 4
36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
11 Dribble Attempts 8
2 Assists 0
24 Throwins 16
55 Ball Safe 60
1 Injuries 2
5 Substitutions 5
1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

101 Attacks 64
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

73 Long Passes 71
376 Passes 393
39 Successful Long Passes 33
76 Successful Passes Percentage 77
9 Key Passes 4
285 Successful Passes 302
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

Defensive

3 Interceptions 5
9 Tackles 13
3 Saves 1

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 9
10 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

9 Fouls 12

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
David Falkner → Moritz Wels
10th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Christian Huetz → N. Frederiksen
9th Substitution
87'
79'
Event
Dominik Frieser → Jacob Italiano
8th Substitution
69'
Event
Daniel Maderner → Alexander Hofleitner
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Tim Paumgartner → Mathias Olesen
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Thomas Schiestl → Leon Klassen
7th Substitution
61'
Event
Mathias Olesen
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Yannick Vötter → Thomas Sabitzer
4th Substitution
59'
Event
David Jaunegg → David Kubatta
3rd Substitution
59'
Event
Thomas Sabitzer
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
55'
Event
Lukas Hinterseer → Ademola Ola-Adebomi
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Mukhran Bagrationi → Christian Lichtenberger
1st Substitution
Event
Ademola Ola-Adebomi
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
43'
42'
Event
Martin Kreuzriegler
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
41'
Event
Thorsten Schriebl
Card adjusted
Event
David Kubatta
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
38'
Event
Ademola Ola-Adebomi
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
22'
Event
David Kubatta
Header / 1st Goal
10'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: WSG Tirol exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

WSG Tirol vs Grazer AK preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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