WSG Tirol vs Blau-Weiß Linz Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Tivoli Stadion Tirol Sat, 9 May - 3:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
WSG Tirol WSG
1 – 1
Blau-Weiß Linz BWL
Full Time Sat, 9 May 3:00 PM
Round 9 Relegation Round
N. Frederiksen - 16'
Goal
|
Goal
Simon Seidl - 71'

CONTEXT

WSG Tirol and Blau-Weiß Linz played out a 1-1 draw, with the home side leading 1-0 at halftime. Despite Blau-Weiß Linz being the stronger team and dominating possession at 64% to Tirol's 36%, the visitors could only manage a second-half equalizer. No red cards were shown, and there were no notable second-half adjustments reported. The result represents a moderate structural deviation of 8.1% in favor of Blau-Weiß Linz, whose efficiency stayed in line with expectations. Market alignment held true, as the draw was consistent with pre-match assessments. Without xG data available, deeper chance quality analysis is limited, but the possession disparity highlights Linz's control without converting dominance into a win. Tirol's defensive resilience preserved a point after their early advantage.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate 8.1% structural deviation favoring Blau-Weiß Linz.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No significant events or second-half adjustments impacted the result.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Gishamer

Austria 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Riedel

1st Assistant

Austria

S. Schreiner

2nd Assistant

Austria

S. Sampl

4th Official

Austria

League averages

Admiral Bundesliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 18.83
Yellow cards / match 3.22
Red cards / match 0.25
Penalties / match 0.29
WSG Tirol P. Semlic
P. Semlic
VS
Blau-Weiß Linz M. Köllner
M. Köllner
1.37
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.06
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grazer AK Rank: 51 L
Ried Rank: 53 W
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 54 D
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 53 D
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 53 L
Wolfsberger AC Rank: 59 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ried Rank: 52 L
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 54 W
Wolfsberger AC Rank: 59 W
Wolfsberger AC Rank: 58 D
WSG Tirol Rank: 52 W
Grazer AK Rank: 53 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 1 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home WSG Tirol
4.07%
Draw
91.85%
Away Blau-Weiß Linz
4.07%

Movement

Changes since opening
WSG Tirol
-0.41%
Draw
+1.29%
Blau-Weiß Linz
-0.89%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
51.99
52.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
WSG Tirol
Blau-Weiß Linz
Power Score
51.99
52.78
League Position
7
12
Global Rank
734
713

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
WSG Tirol — Opponent-weighted form score
Blau-Weiß Linz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) WSG Tirol Blau-Weiß Linz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

WSG Tirol

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Blau-Weiß Linz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

WSG Tirol ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Blau-Weiß Linz
Created Set-piece attacking threat
WSG Tirol Blau-Weiß Linz
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
WSG Tirol Blau-Weiß Linz
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
WSG Tirol
Blau-Weiß Linz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
WSG Tirol
vs
Blau-Weiß Linz
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
WSG Tirol Blau-Weiß Linz
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
WSG Tirol 0.00
Blau-Weiß Linz 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
WSG Tirol Blau-Weiß Linz
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
WSG Tirol 0.00
Blau-Weiß Linz 0.00
WSG Tirol
Blau-Weiß Linz
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BWL had peak pressure around 38'.
  • WSG started the game with stronger pressure.
WSG Pressure BWL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BWL reached the top pressure at 38' (99.94).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

WSG Tirol WSG Home
9 matches
Blau-Weiß Linz BWL Away
Match Record
4
Wins
4
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
4
Goals
15
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
15
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T15:00:50+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
A. Stejskal
Czech Republic
40 A. Stejskal
M. Boras
Croatia
23 M. Boras
J. Lawrence
Germany
5 J. Lawrence
D. Kubatta
Germany
14 D. Kubatta
J. Naschberger
Austria
17 J. Naschberger
M. Taferner
Austria
30 M. Taferner
V. Müller
Austria
4 V. Müller
L. Sulzbacher
Austria
6 L. Sulzbacher
M. Wels
Substitution
Austria
37 M. Wels
A. Ola-Adebomi
Substitution
England
9 A. Ola-Adebomi
N. Frederiksen
Substitution
Denmark
8 N. Frederiksen
Pitch
N. Mantl
Germany
58 N. Mantl
M. Moormann
Substitution
Austria
16 M. Moormann
M. Maranda
Austria
15 M. Maranda
A. Pasic
Austria
17 A. Pasic
S. Pirkl
Austria
60 S. Pirkl
A. Briedl
Austria
19 A. Briedl
S. Seidl
Austria
20 S. Seidl
I. Dahlqvist
Sweden
5 I. Dahlqvist
N. Maier
Switzerland
30 N. Maier
S. Weissman
Substitution
Israel
18 S. Weissman
R. Sales
Substitution
Brazil
9 R. Sales

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 9 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Tivoli Stadion Tirol
Capacity :
16008
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sebastian Gishamer
Roland Riedel
Santino Schreiner
Samuel Sampl

Statistics

Possession
WSG
41%
BWL
59%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 0
3 Shots 1
33 Dangerous attacks 50
36 Possession 64
2 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 17
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 3
9 Goal Kicks 8
14 Dribble Attempts 16
21 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31
19 Ball Safe 26
3 Successful Dribbles 5
30 Throwins 39
1 Assists 1
2 Goal Attempts 0

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 0
86 Attacks 94

Possession

62 Successful Passes Percentage 74
255 Passes 441
36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31
158 Successful Passes 325
70 Long Passes 64
6 Key Passes 7
25 Successful Long Passes 20

Defensive

0 Saves 2
70 Duels Won 57
11 Interceptions 7
20 Tackles 20

Build-up

8 Total Crosses 26
2 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

17 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Sebastian Gishamer

Starting XI ▼

40
Adam Stejskal
Adam Stejskal Goalkeeper
6.6
5
Jamie Lawrence
Jamie Lawrence Defender
7
14
David Kubatta
David Kubatta Defender
6.55
23
Marco Boras
Marco Boras Defender
6.89
4
Valentino Müller
Valentino Müller Midfielder
7.08
6
Lukas Sulzbacher
Lukas Sulzbacher Midfielder
6.62
17
Johannes Naschberger
Johannes Naschberger Midfielder
6.67
30
Matthäus Taferner
Matthäus Taferner Midfielder
7.13
8
N. Frederiksen
N. Frederiksen Attacker
7.17
16
Lukas Hinterseer
Lukas Hinterseer
Attacker60'
6.51
9
Ademola Ola-Adebomi
Ademola Ola-Adebomi Attacker
6.57
11
Tobias Anselm
Tobias Anselm
Attacker84'
6.5
37
Moritz Wels
Moritz Wels Attacker
6.7
10
Thomas Sabitzer
Thomas Sabitzer
Attacker87'
6.67
Referee : Sebastian Gishamer

Starting XI ▼

58
Nico Mantl
Nico Mantl Goalkeeper
6.6
15
Manuel Maranda
Manuel Maranda Defender
6.78
16
Martin Moormann
Martin Moormann Defender
6.76
23
David Bumberger
David Bumberger
Defender90'
6.7
17
Alem Pasic
Alem Pasic Defender
6.66
5
Isak Dahlqvist
Isak Dahlqvist Midfielder
6.68
19
Alexander Briedl
Alexander Briedl Midfielder
6.84
20
Simon Seidl
Simon Seidl Midfielder
6.96
60
Simon Pirkl
Simon Pirkl Midfielder
6.61
9
Ronivaldo
Ronivaldo Attacker
6.94
10
Paul Mensah
Paul Mensah
Attacker90'
6.56
18
Shon Weissman
Shon Weissman Attacker
6.99
14
Christopher Cvetko
Christopher Cvetko
Midfielder81'
6.68
30
Nico Maier
Nico Maier Attacker
6.86

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
David Bumberger → Martin Moormann
5th Substitution
90'
Event
Paul Mensah → Ronivaldo
6th Substitution
Event
Thomas Sabitzer → Moritz Wels
4th Substitution
87'
Event
Tobias Anselm → Ademola Ola-Adebomi
3rd Substitution
84'
81'
Event
Christopher Cvetko → Shon Weissman
2nd Substitution
Event
Marco Boras
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
75'
75'
Event
Simon Seidl
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
71'
Event
Simon Seidl
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Lukas Hinterseer → N. Frederiksen
1st Substitution
60'
1ST-HALF
Event
David Kubatta
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
42'
Event
N. Frederiksen
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
16'
Event
Matthäus Taferner
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
14'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Alexander Briedl attempts a header but misses the target.
90
Substitution Substitution
Paul Mensah is substituted for Ronivaldo Bernardo Sales.
90
Substitution Substitution
David Bumberger is substituted for Martin Moormann.
87
Update Update
Thomas Sabitzer is on, and Moritz Wels is off.
84
Update Update
Tobias Anselm is on, and Ademola Ola-Adebom is off.
81
Update Update
Christopher Cvetko is on; Shon Weissman is off.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marco Boras receives a yellow card.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Simon Seidl receives a yellow card.
71
Attempt Attempt
Shot! Simon Seidl scores with a left-footed shot.
68
Attempt Attempt
Moritz Wels takes a left-footed shot but misses.
60
Update Update
Lukas Hinterseer comes on for Nikolai Baden Frederiksen.
57
Attempt Attempt
Martin Moormann takes a left-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Matthaus Taferner takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
52
Attempt Attempt
Jamie Lawrence takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
50
Attempt Attempt
Valentino Muller takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jamie Lawrence attempts a header but misses the shot.
42
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
David Kubatta receives a yellow card.
37
Attempt Attempt
Simon Pipkl takes a left-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Shon Weissman attempts a header but misses the shot.
27
Attempt Attempt
Nico Maier takes a left-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Nico Maier's right-footed shot is blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Isak Dahlqvist takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
16
Attempt Attempt
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen takes a left-footed shot and scores.
14
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matthaus Taferner receives a yellow card.
12
Attempt Attempt
Ademola Ola-Adebom takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Sebastian Gishamer.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw underscores Blau-Weiß Linz's possession superiority failing to yield more than a point against resilient WSG Tirol. Linz, tagged as the stronger side, equalized post-halftime but couldn't capitalize on 64% control, reflecting moderate deviation and aligned efficiency. Market consistency reinforces the result's predictability, while data gaps on xG limit shot quality insights. Tirol's first-half goal proved decisive for the share, highlighting defensive solidity over sustained pressure. Overall, a balanced outcome with no disruptive events.

WSG Tirol vs Blau-Weiß Linz preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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