Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Fulham Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Molineux Stadium Sun, 17 May - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Wolverhampton Wanderers WOL
Versus
Fulham FUL
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 2:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Wolverhampton Wanderers host Fulham at Molineux Stadium in a crucial Premier League regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting rock-bottom in 20th place, Wolves are desperate for points to climb out of the relegation mire, but face a formidable Fulham side entrenched in 11th position. Fulham boast a superior power score of 70.56 compared to Wolves' 65.66, translating to a 4.9-point advantage that underscores their structural edge. Recent form heavily favors the visitors, with Fulham's 14.94 rating towering over Wolves' meager 5.06, highlighting inconsistencies in the home side's performances. At Molineux, Wolves will draw on home support, yet Fulham's mid-table solidity and attacking prowess make them the team to beat. Both squads enter without recent outing details, setting the stage for a tactical battle where efficiency and transitions could prove decisive. Set-piece data remains elusive due to low-confidence proxies, leaving xG insights limited.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Fulham possess a 4.9-point power advantage with a 70.56 score over Wolves' 65.66.
  • Form: Fulham's form score stands at 14.94, significantly outperforming Wolves' 5.06.
  • Squad: Wolves occupy 20th in the league table while Fulham hold 11th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play analysis lacks specific data for both teams.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece xG data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG variables not accessible as add-on is disabled.
  • Market: Wolverhampton Wanderers 25.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25% (Δ+0%) | Fulham 49.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Wolverhampton Wanderers R. Edwards
R. Edwards
VS
Fulham M. Saraiva Da Silva
M. Saraiva Da Silva
0.64
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 90 L
Sunderland Rank: 81 D
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 82 L
Leeds United Rank: 87 L
West Ham United Rank: 83 L
Brentford Rank: 88 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 90 L
Arsenal Rank: 97 L
Aston Villa Rank: 91 W
Brentford Rank: 88 D
Liverpool Rank: 92 L
Burnley Rank: 78 W
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 9 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Wolverhampton Wanderers
25.23%
Draw
25.03%
Away Fulham
49.74%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.66
70.56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Fulham
Power Score
65.66
70.56
League Position
20
11
Global Rank
70
31

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Wolverhampton Wanderers Opponent-weighted form score
Fulham Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Wolverhampton Wanderers Fulham

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Wolverhampton Wanderers WOL Home
29 matches
Fulham FUL Away
Match Record
14
Wins
6
9
Draws
9
6
Losses
14
Goals
44
Goals Scored
34
34
Goals Conceded
44
+10
Goal Difference
-10

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:06:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Bentley
England
25 D. Bentley
Y. Mosquera
Colombia
15 Y. Mosquera
S. Bueno Sciutto
Uruguay
4 S. Bueno Sciutto
T. Gomes
Portugal
24 T. Gomes
P. Cardoso de Lima
Brazil
17 P. Cardoso de Lima
A. Trindade da Costa Neto
Brazil
7 A. Trindade da Costa Neto
Gomes
Brazil
8 Gomes
H. Bueno
Spain
3 H. Bueno
A. Armstrong
England
9 A. Armstrong
M. Mané
England
36 M. Mané
H. Hwang
South Korea
11 H. Hwang
Pitch
B. Leno
Germany
1 B. Leno
A. Robinson
United States
33 A. Robinson
C. Bassey
Nigeria
3 C. Bassey
K. Tete
Netherlands
2 K. Tete
T. Castagne
Belgium
21 T. Castagne
T. Cairney
Scotland
10 T. Cairney
S. Lukić
Serbia
20 S. Lukić
S. Chukwueze
Nigeria
19 S. Chukwueze
E. Smith Rowe
England
32 E. Smith Rowe
H. Wilson
Wales
8 H. Wilson
Rodrigo Muniz
Brazil
9 Rodrigo Muniz

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Molineux Stadium
Capacity :
32050
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Simon Long
Chris Kavanagh
Thomas Kirk
Matthew Wilkes

Lineup

Referee : Thomas Kirk

Starting XI

25
Daniel Bentley
Daniel Bentley Goalkeeper
6.46
3
Hugo Bueno
Hugo Bueno Defender
6.74
4
Santiago Bueno
Santiago Bueno Defender
6.76
15
Yerson Mosquera
Yerson Mosquera Defender
6.78
17
Pedro Lima
Pedro Lima Defender
6.37
24
Toti
Toti Defender
6.59
7
André
André Midfielder
6.73
8
João Gomes
João Gomes Midfielder
6.79
9
Adam Armstrong
Adam Armstrong Midfielder
6.66
36
Mateus Mané
Mateus Mané Midfielder
6.73
11
Hee-chan Hwang
Hee-chan Hwang Attacker
6.57
Referee : Thomas Kirk

Starting XI

1
Bernd Leno
Bernd Leno Goalkeeper
6.79
2
Kenny Tete
Kenny Tete Defender
6.92
3
Calvin Bassey
Calvin Bassey Defender
6.75
21
Timothy Castagne
Timothy Castagne Defender
6.79
33
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson Defender
6.81
10
Tom Cairney
Tom Cairney Midfielder
6.72
20
Saša Lukić
Saša Lukić Midfielder
6.87
32
Emile Smith Rowe
Emile Smith Rowe Midfielder
6.74
8
Harry Wilson
Harry Wilson Attacker
7.13
9
Rodrigo Muniz
Rodrigo Muniz Attacker
6.66
19
Samuel Chukwueze
Samuel Chukwueze Attacker
6.85

CONCLUSION

Fulham arrive as clear favorites, leveraging their higher power rating and superior form to challenge Wolves at Molineux. The hosts' lowly 20th-place standing amplifies the pressure, demanding a Herculean effort to counter Fulham's 11th-place resilience. Without detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus shifts to raw form disparity and structural strengths, where Fulham excel. Wolves must harness home advantage for transitions and open play, but Fulham's edge suggests a tough afternoon. Expect a competitive encounter with visitors poised to extend their advantage.

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Fulham preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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