Wolfsberger AC vs Ried Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Lavanttal Arena Sat, 11 Apr - 3:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC WAC
0 – 0
Ried Ried
Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 3:00 PM
Round 4 Relegation Round

CONTEXT

The match between Wolfsberger AC and Ried is now finished, ending in a full-time score of 0-0. The teams remained level at halftime with no goals scored, and neither side could break the deadlock despite a competitive second half. Pre-match expectations positioned Wolfsberger AC as slight favorites with a 37 percent win likelihood, Ried at 35 percent, and the draw at 28 percent. The goalless stalemate represented a significant deviation, especially for Ried, who entered as the stronger team yet failed to convert their control into a victory. This result did not align with the pre-match projection, though the efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations overall. Ried dominated possession at 61 percent to Wolfsberger AC's 39 percent, but no expected goals data was available to further evaluate performance. There were no red cards or other major events to alter the flow of play. The draw ultimately delivered a point apiece in a contest that highlighted defensive resilience over attacking penetration.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Ried showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Weinberger

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Hartl

1st Assistant

M. Diesenberger

2nd Assistant

J. Schnur

4th Official

Wolfsberger AC I. Atalan
I. Atalan
VS
Ried M. Senft
M. Senft
0.63
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.44
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
WSG Tirol Rank: L
Rheindorf Altach Rank: D
Grazer AK Rank: L
LASK Linz Rank: L
Sturm Graz Rank: D
SK Rapid Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rheindorf Altach Rank: W
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: L
WSG Tirol Rank: W
Austria Wien Rank: L
Grazer AK Rank: L
WSG Tirol Rank: D
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 8 - 11
11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Wolfsberger AC
37.19%
Draw
27.7%
Away Ried
35.1%

Movement

Changes since opening
Wolfsberger AC
+33.15%
Draw
-64.23%
Ried
+31.06%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
12.84
24.62
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
Power Score
12.84
24.62
League Position
10
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Wolfsberger AC — Opponent-weighted form score
Ried — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Wolfsberger AC Ried

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Wolfsberger AC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Ried

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Wolfsberger AC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Ried
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.31
17.62
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
17.62
32.31
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Wolfsberger AC +1.20 Efficiency Index
vs
Ried -1.20 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Wolfsberger AC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Ried
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Wolfsberger AC Ried
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Wolfsberger AC Ried
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Wolfsberger AC
vs
Ried
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Wolfsberger AC Ried
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Wolfsberger AC 0.34
Ried 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Wolfsberger AC Ried
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Wolfsberger AC 0.00
Ried 0.00
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Ried had peak pressure around 65'.
  • WAC started the game with stronger pressure.
WAC Pressure Ried Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Ried reached the top pressure at 65' (90.79).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 30 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Wolfsberger AC WAC Home
30 matches
Ried Ried Away
Match Record
11
Wins
11
8
Draws
8
11
Losses
11
Goals
36
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Conceded
36
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:09:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-3-3-1
Pitch
N. Polster
Austria
12 N. Polster
D. Baumgartner
Austria
22 D. Baumgartner
C. Diabaté
15 C. Diabaté
N. Wimmer
Austria
37 N. Wimmer
A. Gattermayer
Austria
7 A. Gattermayer
M. Sulzner
Substitution
Austria
30 M. Sulzner
S. Piesinger
Austria
8 S. Piesinger
R. Renner
Substitution
Austria
77 R. Renner
D. Zukić
Substitution
Serbia
20 D. Zukić
J. Ngankam
Substitution
Germany
24 J. Ngankam
D. Avdijaj
Substitution
Kosovo
10 D. Avdijaj
Pitch
A. Leitner
Austria
1 A. Leitner
O. Steurer
Germany
30 O. Steurer
M. Sollbauer
Austria
23 M. Sollbauer
N. Havenaar
Japan
5 N. Havenaar
P. Pomer
Austria
17 P. Pomer
M. Rasner
Substitution
Austria
8 M. Rasner
A. Bajic
Austria
12 A. Bajic
A. Van Wyk
Substitution
South Africa
29 A. Van Wyk
M. Maart
South Africa
6 M. Maart
N. Bajlicz
Substitution
Austria
28 N. Bajlicz
K. Mutandwa
Zambia
7 K. Mutandwa

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 11, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 4 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Lavanttal Arena
Capacity :
7300
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Julian Weinberger
Mattias Hartl
Mario Diesenberger
Julian Schnur

Statistics

Possession
WAC
40%
Ried
60%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 5
5 Shots 2
32 Dangerous attacks 55
39 Possession 61
7 Corners 5
13 Free kicks 9
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

16 Throwins 25
5 Substitutions 3
6 Injuries 0
17 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
1 Hit Woodwork 1
7 Goal Kicks 8
1 Successful Dribbles 5
6 Dribble Attempts 10
66 Ball Safe 77
6 Goal Attempts 6

Attacking

71 Attacks 100
1 Big Chances Missed 5

Possession

207 Successful Passes 393
287 Passes 467
57 Long Passes 50
35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 56
72 Successful Passes Percentage 84
8 Key Passes 7
20 Successful Long Passes 28

Defensive

10 Interceptions 5
12 Tackles 16
4 Saves 2

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 5
15 Total Crosses 16

Discipline

3 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Julian Weinberger

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikolas Polster
Nikolas Polster Goalkeeper
15
Cheick Mamadou Diabaté
Cheick Mamadou Diabaté Defender
22
Dominik Baumgartner
Dominik Baumgartner Defender
37
Nicolas Wimmer
Nicolas Wimmer Defender
7
Angelo Gattermayer
Angelo Gattermayer Midfielder
8
Simon Piesinger
Simon Piesinger Midfielder
30
Marco Sulzner
Marco Sulzner Midfielder
23
Emin Kujovic
Emin Kujovic
Midfielder57'
77
Rene Renner
Rene Renner Midfielder
70
David Đurić
David Đurić
Defender19'
10
Donis Avdijaj
Donis Avdijaj Attacker
9
Erik Kojzek
Erik Kojzek
Attacker57'
20
Dejan Zukic
Dejan Zukic Attacker
31
Fabian Wohlmuth
Fabian Wohlmuth
Defender80'
24
Jessic Ngankam
Jessic Ngankam Attacker
17
David Atanga
David Atanga
Attacker57'
Referee : Julian Weinberger

Starting XI ▼

1
Andreas Leitner
Andreas Leitner Goalkeeper
5
Benjamin Garcia
Benjamin Garcia Defender
23
Michael Sollbauer
Michael Sollbauer Defender
30
Oliver Steurer
Oliver Steurer Defender
6
Yusuf Maart
Yusuf Maart Midfielder
8
Martin Rasner
Martin Rasner Midfielder
26
Jonas Mayer
Jonas Mayer
Midfielder46'
12
Ante Bajic
Ante Bajic Midfielder
17
Philipp Pomer
Philipp Pomer Midfielder
7
Kingstone Mutandwa
Kingstone Mutandwa Attacker
28
Nicolas Bajlicz
Nicolas Bajlicz Attacker
19
Yussef Nasrawe
Yussef Nasrawe
Midfielder67'
29
Antonio Van Wyk
Antonio Van Wyk Attacker
15
Joris Boguo
Joris Boguo
Attacker50'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Fabian Wohlmuth → Dejan Zukic
8th Substitution
80'
67'
Event
Yussef Nasrawe → Nicolas Bajlicz
7th Substitution
61'
Event
Philipp Pomer
2nd Yellowcard
Event
David Atanga → Jessic Ngankam
4th Substitution
57'
Event
Erik Kojzek → Donis Avdijaj
5th Substitution
57'
Event
Emin Kujovic → Marco Sulzner
6th Substitution
57'
50'
Event
Joris Boguo → Antonio Van Wyk
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Jonas Mayer → Martin Rasner
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Martin Rasner
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
David Đurić → Rene Renner
1st Substitution
19'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Ried exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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