Wolfsberger AC vs Grazer AK Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Lavanttal Arena Sat, 25 Apr - 3:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga Wolfsberger AC WAC 
1 
0
0
Grazer AK GAK Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 3:00 PM
Round 7 · Relegation Round
Markus Pink - 84'
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STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 15
CONTEXT
Wolfsberger AC clinched a narrow 1-0 win against Grazer AK in the Austrian Bundesliga, defying expectations as the visitors were considered the stronger side. The match remained goalless at halftime with both teams scoreless, reflecting a cautious first half where Grazer AK held 56% possession compared to Wolfsberger's 44%. The home side's breakthrough came in the second half, capitalizing on limited opportunities while Grazer AK failed to convert their territorial advantage. No red cards were issued, and the game proceeded without major disciplinary disruptions. This result marks a significant deviation for Wolfsberger AC, who overcame pre-match perceptions to secure all three points through defensive resilience and clinical finishing.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Wolfsberger AC exhibited a significant structural deviation of 59.9%.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
- xG alignment: xG data unavailable for alignment assessment.
- Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
- xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
- Event impact: No major events like second-half adjustments impacted the flow.
- Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
A. Sadikovski
• 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
M. Hartl
1st Assistant
R. Steinacher
2nd Assistant
P. Gadler
4th Official
T. Silberberger
VS
F. Feldhofer
0.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: L
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: D
Ried Rank: D
WSG Tirol Rank: L
Rheindorf Altach Rank: D
Grazer AK Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ried Rank: L
Ried Rank: D
Rheindorf Altach Rank: L
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: W
WSG Tirol Rank: W
Wolfsberger AC Rank: W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 1 - 1
1
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Wolfsberger AC40.08%
Draw
29.24%
Grazer AK30.68%
Movement
Changes since opening Wolfsberger AC-55.99%
Draw
+25.51%
Grazer AK+30.49%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.32 22.17 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Wolfsberger AC Grazer AKPower Score
14.32
22.17
League Position
10
11
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Wolfsberger AC — Opponent-weighted form score
Grazer AK — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Wolfsberger AC Grazer AK
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
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Wolfsberger AC
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Grazer AK
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Wolfsberger AC ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Grazer AK
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.95
25.00
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.00
22.95
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Wolfsberger AC -0.17 Efficiency Index
vs
Grazer AK +0.17 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Wolfsberger AC ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Grazer AK
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Wolfsberger AC Grazer AK Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Wolfsberger AC Grazer AK Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Wolfsberger ACvs
Grazer AK
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Wolfsberger AC Grazer AK Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Wolfsberger AC 0.19
Grazer AK 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Wolfsberger AC Grazer AK Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Wolfsberger AC 0.00
Grazer AK 0.02
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- WAC had peak pressure around 89'.
- WAC started the game with stronger pressure.
WAC Pressure GAK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: WAC reached the top pressure at 89' (76.82).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Wolfsberger AC WAC Home
5 matches
Grazer AK GAK Away
Match Record 3
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
3
Goals 13
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
13
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals 0.93
xG
2.32
2.32
xGA
0.93
Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:06:07+00:00
STARTING XI
Wolfsberger AC Grazer AK Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-1-4-2
12 N. Polster
22 D. Baumgartner
8 S. Piesinger
37 N. Wimmer
T. Gruber
#1386'
31 F. Wohlmuth
30 M. Sulzner
D. Avdijaj
#1078'
18 A. Schöpf
D. Atanga
#1762'
77 R. Renner
7 A. Gattermayer
D. Zukić
#2062'
34 E. Agyemang
M. Pink
#3262'
24 J. Ngankam
12 F. Stolz
C. Lichtenberger
#1087'
3 L. Vraa-Jensen
2 D. Pines
82 B. Owusu
M. Grosse
#1187'
6 M. Olesen
32 L. Klassen
7 M. Şatin
T. Koch
#868'
20 T. Schriebl
14 J. Italiano
D. Frieser
#2879'
22 R. Harakaté
25 A. Hofleitner
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
Apr 25, 2026, 03:00 PM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 7 · Relegation Round
🏟️ Stadium :
Lavanttal Arena
👥 Capacity :
7300
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Alain Sadikovski
Mattias Hartl
Robert Steinacher
Philip Gadler
Next Match
Wolfsberger AC
vs
Rheindorf Altach
League: Admiral Bundesliga
Kickoff: Mon, 4 May - 4:30 PM
Venue: CASHPOINT Arena
Grazer AK
vs
WSG Tirol
League: Admiral Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 3:00 PM
Venue: Merkur Arena
Statistics
Possession
WAC
44%
GAK
56%
Top Statistics
1 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
3 Shots 7
42 Dangerous attacks 40
44 Possession 56
5 Corners 8
10 Free kicks 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
Match Overview
5 Substitutions 4
1 Assists 0
19 Throwins 31
8 Dribble Attempts 12
3 Goal Attempts 3
0 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
10 Goal Kicks 9
77 Ball Safe 95
0 Successful Dribbles 4
Attacking
45 Attacks 62
2 Big Chances Missed 0
Possession
198 Successful Passes 264
282 Passes 365
67 Long Passes 79
70 Successful Passes Percentage 72
3 Key Passes 11
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37
26 Successful Long Passes 29
Defensive
11 Interceptions 7
8 Tackles 14
39 Duels Won 43
2 Saves 2
Build-up
5 Accurate Crosses 3
18 Total Crosses 18
Discipline
13 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 2
Lineup
Wolfsberger AC Referee : Alain Sadikovski
Manager ▼
T. Silberberger Coach
Starting XI ▼
12 Nikolas Polster Goalkeeper
6.988 Simon Piesinger Defender
6.5722 Dominik Baumgartner Defender
7.0437 Nicolas Wimmer Defender
6.8918 Alessandro Schöpf Midfielder
7.0610Donis Avdijaj
6.69Midfielder78'
30 Marco Sulzner Midfielder
6.6331 Fabian Wohlmuth Midfielder
6.6913Tobias Gruber
6.45Defender86'
77 Rene Renner Midfielder
6.8817David Atanga
6.64Attacker62'
7 Angelo Gattermayer Attacker
6.6524 Jessic Ngankam Attacker
6.7232Markus Pink
Attacker62'
34 Emmanuel Agyemang Attacker
6.5820Dejan Zukic
7.34Midfielder62'
Substitutes ▼
17David Atanga
6.64Attacker62'
32Markus Pink
Attacker62'
20Dejan Zukic
7.34Midfielder62'
10Donis Avdijaj
6.69Midfielder78'
13Tobias Gruber
6.45Defender86'
Bench ▼
1 Lukas Gütlbauer Goalkeeper
6.6315 Cheick Mamadou Diabaté Defender
6.572
Boris Matic Midfielder
6.969 Erik Kojzek Attacker
6.64 Grazer AK Referee : Alain Sadikovski
Manager ▼
F. Feldhofer Coach
Starting XI ▼
12 Franz Stolz Goalkeeper
6.852 Donovan Pines Defender
6.913 Ludwig Vraa-Jensen Defender
6.5210Christian Lichtenberger
6.61Midfielder87'
82 Beres Owusu Defender
6.85
6 Mathias Olesen Midfielder
6.8611Mark Grosse
7.14Attacker87'
7 Murat Satin Midfielder
6.614 Jacob Italiano Midfielder
6.920 Thorsten Schriebl Midfielder
6.98Tobias Koch
6.75Midfielder68'
32 Leon Klassen Midfielder
7.0222 Ramiz Harakate Attacker
7.0628Dominik Frieser
6.61Attacker79'
25 Alexander Hofleitner Attacker
6.7
Substitutes ▼
8Tobias Koch
6.75Midfielder68'
28Dominik Frieser
6.61Attacker79'
11Mark Grosse
7.14Attacker87'
10Christian Lichtenberger
6.61Midfielder87'
Bench ▼
1
Jakob Meierhofer Goalkeeper
6.5726
Christoph Nicht Goalkeeper
4
Martin Kreuzriegler Defender
6.6115
Lukas Graf Defender
6.4524 Tim Paumgartner Midfielder
6.5Events
2ND-HALF
87'
Mark Grosse → Mathias Olesen
8th Substitution
87'
Christian Lichtenberger → Ludwig Vraa-Jensen
9th Substitution
Tobias Gruber → Fabian Wohlmuth
7th Substitution
86'
Markus Pink
Header / 1st Goal
84'
79'
Dominik Frieser → Ramiz Harakate
6th Substitution
Donis Avdijaj → Alessandro Schöpf
5th Substitution
78'
68'
Tobias Koch → Thorsten Schriebl
4th Substitution
67'
Alexander Hofleitner
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
65'
Beres Owusu
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
David Atanga → Rene Renner
1st Substitution
62'
Markus Pink → Jessic Ngankam
2nd Substitution
62'
Dejan Zukic → Emmanuel Agyemang
3rd Substitution
62'
CONCLUSION
Wolfsberger AC's 1-0 triumph over Grazer AK underscores the fine margins in football, where possession dominance by the visitors at 56% did not translate into goals. The home team's solid defending and opportunistic second-half strike proved decisive in a match level at 0-0 halftime. Lacking xG insights, the result highlights Wolfsberger's efficiency in key moments despite being out-possessed. This victory boosts their standing, while Grazer AK must reflect on missed chances. Overall, it exemplifies how underdogs can prevail through structure and resolve.
Wolfsberger AC vs Grazer AK preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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