Wisła Płock vs Motor Lublin Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion im. Kazimierza Górskiego Sun, 10 May - 12:45 PM
Ekstraklasa
Wisła Płock Wisła Płock
0 Winner 4
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
Full Time Sun, 10 May 12:45 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
|
Goal
Fábio Ronaldo - 88'
Marek Bartos - 80'
Karol Czubak - 31'
Bartosz Wolski - 7'

CONTEXT

Wisła Płock faced Motor Lublin at home, suffering a 0-4 defeat despite controlling 57% of possession compared to the visitors' 43%. Motor Lublin established dominance early, leading 0-2 at halftime with precise finishing. They added two more goals in the second half, exploiting Wisła Płock's inability to convert territorial advantage into scoring opportunities. No red cards were shown, ensuring both teams played with full squads throughout. Designated as the stronger team, Motor Lublin delivered a performance featuring minimal structural deviation of 2.4%. The outcome aligned with pre-match market evaluations, confirmed as true. Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, reflecting steady execution. Lacking xG data, assessment of chance quality remains limited, but the scoreline highlights Motor Lublin's clinical edge and defensive resilience against sustained pressure.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Result showed minimal structural deviation of 2.4% favoring Motor Lublin.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true for the outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without supporting data.
  • Event impact: No events or second-half adjustments influenced the match.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, producing no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

P. Raczkowski

Poland
Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Kosarzecki

2nd Assistant

Poland

A. Borowiak

4th Official

Poland

M. Lisowski

1st Assistant

Poland

League averages

Ekstraklasa Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.16
Yellow cards / match 3.2
Red cards / match 0.2
Penalties / match 0.2
Wisła Płock M. Misiura
M. Misiura
VS
Motor Lublin M. Stolarski
M. Stolarski
1.12
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 62 L
Radomiak Radom Rank: 59 L
Nieciecza Rank: 52 W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 59 W
Katowice Rank: 66 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lech Poznań Rank: 71 L
Widzew Lodz Rank: 58 L
Katowice Rank: 63 L
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 D
Radomiak Radom Rank: 62 D
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 63 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Wisła Płock
0.49%
Draw
1.91%
Away Motor Lublin
97.6%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
49.87
60.57
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Wisła Płock
Motor Lublin
Power Score
49.87
60.57
League Position
7
10
Global Rank
633
467

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Wisła Płock — Opponent-weighted form score
Motor Lublin — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Wisła Płock Motor Lublin

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Wisła Płock

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Motor Lublin

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Wisła Płock ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Motor Lublin
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.07
45.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
45.00
43.07
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Wisła Płock -0.18 Efficiency Index
vs
Motor Lublin +0.18 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Wisła Płock
Motor Lublin
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Wisła Płock ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Motor Lublin
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Wisła Płock Motor Lublin
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Wisła Płock Motor Lublin
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Wisła Płock
Motor Lublin
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Wisła Płock
vs
Motor Lublin
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Wisła Płock Motor Lublin
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Wisła Płock 0.43
Motor Lublin 0.36
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Wisła Płock Motor Lublin
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Wisła Płock 0.09
Motor Lublin 0.00
Wisła Płock
Motor Lublin
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Motor Lublin had peak pressure around 33'.
  • Motor Lublin started the game with stronger pressure.
Wisła Płock Pressure Motor Lublin Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Motor Lublin reached the top pressure at 33' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Wisła Płock Wisła Płock Home
1 matches
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:02:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
J. Burek
Poland
26 J. Burek
M. Haglind-Sangré
Sweden
4 M. Haglind-Sangré
M. Kamiński
Substitution
Poland
35 M. Kamiński
N. Mijušković
Montenegro
25 N. Mijušković
Ž. Rogelj
Slovenia
21 Ž. Rogelj
K. Pomorski
Substitution
Poland
6 K. Pomorski
D. Pacheco Lobato
Substitution
Spain
8 D. Pacheco Lobato
W. Nowak
Poland
30 W. Nowak
D. Gallapeni
Substitution
Kosovo
19 D. Gallapeni
Ł. Sekulski
Poland
20 Ł. Sekulski
D. Jurić
Substitution
Australia
99 D. Jurić
Pitch
G. Tratnik
Slovenia
33 G. Tratnik
F. Luberecki
Poland
24 F. Luberecki
A. Najemski
Substitution
Poland
18 A. Najemski
M. Bartoš
Slovakia
39 M. Bartoš
P. Stolarski
Substitution
Poland
28 P. Stolarski
S. Samper Montaña
Spain
6 S. Samper Montaña
B. van Hoeven
Substitution
Netherlands
19 B. van Hoeven
I. dos Santos Rodrigues
Portugal
7 I. dos Santos Rodrigues
B. Wolski
Poland
68 B. Wolski
M. Ndiaye
Substitution
Senegal
30 M. Ndiaye
K. Czubak
Substitution
Poland
9 K. Czubak

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 12:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion im. Kazimierza Górskiego
Capacity :
10978
Attendance :
9101
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Paweł Raczkowski
Maciej Kosarzecki
Aleksander Borowiak
Marcin Lisowski

Statistics

Possession
Wisła Płock
54%
Motor Lublin
46%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 4
1 Big Chances Created 2
8 Shots 1
51 Dangerous attacks 47
57 Possession 43
7 Corners 6
12 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
7 Successful Dribbles 6
71 Ball Safe 70
3 Injuries 4
8 Goal Attempts 14
0 Assists 3
14 Throwins 24
54 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
11 Goal Kicks 12
13 Dribble Attempts 16
0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

81 Attacks 79
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

15 Key Passes 13
287 Successful Passes 220
81 Successful Passes Percentage 80
356 Passes 276
24 Successful Long Passes 18
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47
53 Long Passes 38

Defensive

7 Interceptions 5
2 Saves 4
52 Duels Won 41
14 Tackles 11

Build-up

12 Accurate Crosses 7
29 Total Crosses 19

Discipline

12 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Paweł Raczkowski

Starting XI ▼

26
Jakub Burek
Jakub Burek Goalkeeper
4
Marcus Haglind-Sangré
Marcus Haglind-Sangré Defender
25
Nemanja Mijuskovic
Nemanja Mijuskovic Defender
35
Marcin Kaminski
Marcin Kaminski Defender
13
Quentin Lecoeuche
Quentin Lecoeuche
Defender46'
6
Krystian Pomorski
Krystian Pomorski Midfielder
17
Matchoi Djaló
Matchoi Djaló
Midfielder46'
8
Dani Pacheco
Dani Pacheco Midfielder
84
Tomás Franco Tavares
Tomás Franco Tavares
Defender25'
19
Dion Gallapeni
Dion Gallapeni Midfielder
77
Said Hamulic
Said Hamulic
Attacker80'
21
Zan Rogelj
Zan Rogelj Midfielder
30
Wiktor Nowak
Wiktor Nowak Midfielder
20
Lukasz Sekulski
Lukasz Sekulski Attacker
99
Deni Jurić
Deni Jurić Attacker
9
Giannis Niarchos
Giannis Niarchos
Attacker46'
Referee : Paweł Raczkowski

Starting XI ▼

33
Gasper Tratnik
Gasper Tratnik Goalkeeper
18
Arkadiusz Najemski
Arkadiusz Najemski Defender
3
Hervé Matthys
Hervé Matthys
Defender82'
24
Filip Luberecki
Filip Luberecki Defender
28
Pawel Stolarski
Pawel Stolarski Defender
29
Thomas Santos
Thomas Santos
Defender64'
39
Marek Bartos
Marek Bartos Defender
6
Sergi Samper
Sergi Samper Midfielder
7
Ivo Rodrigues
Ivo Rodrigues Midfielder
19
Bradly van Hoeven
Bradly van Hoeven Midfielder
11
Fábio Ronaldo
Fábio Ronaldo
Midfielder65'
30
Mbaye Ndiaye
Mbaye Ndiaye Midfielder
26
Michal Krol
Michal Krol
Midfielder77'
68
Bartosz Wolski
Bartosz Wolski Midfielder
9
Karol Czubak
Karol Czubak Attacker
77
Renat Dadashov
Renat Dadashov
Attacker77'

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Fábio Ronaldo
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
82'
Event
Hervé Matthys → Arkadiusz Najemski
10th Substitution
Event
Said Hamulic → Dion Gallapeni
9th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Marek Bartos
Header / 3rd Goal
77'
Event
Renat Dadashov → Karol Czubak
7th Substitution
77'
Event
Michal Krol → Mbaye Ndiaye
8th Substitution
65'
Event
Fábio Ronaldo → Bradly van Hoeven
6th Substitution
64'
Event
Thomas Santos → Pawel Stolarski
5th Substitution
60'
Event
Mateusz Stolarski
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Giannis Niarchos → Deni Jurić
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Quentin Lecoeuche → Marcin Kaminski
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Matchoi Djaló → Krystian Pomorski
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Zan Rogelj
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
45+2'
42'
Event
Arkadiusz Najemski
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Marcus Haglind-Sangré
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
39'
39'
Event
Karol Czubak
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
31'
Event
Karol Czubak
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Tomás Franco Tavares → Dani Pacheco
1st Substitution
25'
7'
Event
Bartosz Wolski
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

89
Attempt Attempt
Lukasz Sekulski takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
89
Attempt Attempt
Lukasz Sekulski takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Fabio Ronaldo takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
87
Attempt Attempt
Matchoi Djalo's right-footed shot is blocked.
84
Attempt Attempt
Said Hamulic attempts a header but misses the shot.
84
Attempt Attempt
Said Hamulic's header is saved.
82
Update Update
Herve Matthys comes on for Arkadiusz Najemski.
82
Attempt Attempt
Zan Rogelj takes a right-footed shot but misses.
80
Update Update
Marek Kristian Bartos scores with a header.
80
Substitution Substitution
Said Hamulic is substituted for Dion Gallapeni.
77
Substitution Substitution
Michal Krol is substituted off for Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye.
77
Update Update
Renat Dadashov comes on for Karol Czubak.
77
Attempt Attempt
Nemanja Mijuskovic takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
75
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak takes a right-footed shot but misses.
67
Attempt Attempt
Fabio Ronaldo takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
65
Update Update
Fabio Ronaldo comes on for Bradly van Hoeven.
64
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Haglind-Sangre's header is saved.
64
Substitution Substitution
Thomas Santos is substituted for Pawel Stolarski.
63
Update Update
Lukasz Sekulski's header is blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Haglind-Sangre takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
47
Attempt Attempt
Sergi Samper Montana takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Quentin Lecoeuche comes on for Marco Kaminski.
46
Update Update
On, Matchoi Djalo; off, Krystian Pomorski.
46
Attempt Attempt
Ivo Rodrigues takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
46
Substitution Substitution
Niarchos Ioannis is substituted for Deni Juric.
45
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Zan Rogelj receives a yellow card.
43
Attempt Attempt
Marco Kaminski's left-footed shot is blocked.
37
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Tavares takes a left-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Wiktor Nowak takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Lukasz Sekulski's left-footed shot is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Nemanja Mijuskovic with his right foot misses the target.
34
Attempt Attempt
Zan Rogelj takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
31
Update Update
Karol Czubak scores with a header.
30
Attempt Attempt
Filip Luberecki takes a left-footed shot but misses.
25
Update Update
Tomas Tavares comes on for Dani Pacheco.
23
Attempt Attempt
Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye's left-footed shot is blocked.
21
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak attempts a header but misses the shot.
19
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak takes a shot with his head, but it hits the post.
18
Attempt Attempt
Filip Luberecki takes a right-footed shot but misses.
17
Attempt Attempt
Bradly van Hoeven takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
16
Attempt Attempt
Wiktor Nowak takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
15
Update Update
Deni Juric's header is blocked.
15
Attempt Attempt
Zan Rogelj takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
9
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye with his right foot is saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Arkadiusz Najemski has a shot with his right foot, but it's blocked.
7
Attempt Attempt
Bartosz Wolski scores with a right-footed shot.
6
Attempt Attempt
Lukasz Sekulski takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
4
Attempt Attempt
Marco Kaminski attempts a header but misses the shot.
3
Attempt Attempt
Krystian Pomorski's right-footed shot is blocked.

CONCLUSION

Motor Lublin's 0-4 victory over Wisła Płock affirmed their superior standing, converting 43% possession into four goals while keeping a clean sheet. The 0-2 halftime lead provided a platform for second-half consolidation without interruptions from red cards or major events. Minimal structural deviation of 2.4% and true market alignment indicate a predictable result structurally. Efficiency in line underscores consistent play from the winners. Absent xG data prevents precise chance evaluation, yet the lopsided score reveals Wisła Płock's wastefulness despite higher possession. Motor Lublin's execution proved decisive in a controlled performance.

Wisła Płock vs Motor Lublin preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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