Wisła Płock vs Górnik Zabrze Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion im. Kazimierza Górskiego Sat, 16 May - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Wisła Płock Wisła Płock
0 Winner 1
Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze
Full Time Sat, 16 May 3:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season
|
Goal
Maksym Khlan - 75'

CONTEXT

The encounter between Wisła Płock and Górnik Zabrze ended in a 0-1 away win after a goalless first half. Górnik Zabrze held 55 percent possession while Wisła Płock managed 45 percent. No red cards were shown to either side. The stronger team prevailed as the visitors secured the only goal of the contest. Pre-match indicators pointed to a significant deviation level of 51.5 percent favoring Górnik Zabrze. Efficiency metrics remained in line with established patterns throughout the fixture. Second half adjustments proved decisive in breaking the deadlock without any major disruptions from disciplinary events. The outcome reflected the away side's overall control and execution on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Wisła Płock 0-1 Górnik Zabrze. Górnik Zabrze showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match patterns for both teams.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable to determine alignment with the result.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome proved consistent with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals figures were recorded to evaluate performance against projections.
  • Event impact: The single second half goal decided the match between evenly matched sides at halftime.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to alter the match structure or dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

W. Myć

Poland 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Kosarzecki

2nd Assistant

Poland

B. Heinig

1st Assistant

Poland

M. Jenda

4th Official

Poland

League averages

Ekstraklasa Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.82
Yellow cards / match 3.48
Red cards / match 0.2
Penalties / match 0.19
Wisła Płock M. Misiura
M. Misiura
VS
Górnik Zabrze M. Gašparík
M. Gašparík
1.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.24
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Motor Lublin Rank: 59 L
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 62 L
Radomiak Radom Rank: 59 L
Nieciecza Rank: 51 W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 58 W
Katowice Rank: 65 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arka Gdynia Rank: 56 D
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 64 W
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 W
Legia Warszawa Rank: 66 D
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 60 W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 5 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Wisła Płock
24.6%
Draw
26.9%
Away Górnik Zabrze
48.5%

Movement

Changes since opening
Wisła Płock
+24.41%
Draw
+21.81%
Górnik Zabrze
-46.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
49.27
66.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Wisła Płock
Górnik Zabrze
Power Score
49.27
66.84
League Position
8
3
Global Rank
644
276

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Wisła Płock — Opponent-weighted form score
Górnik Zabrze — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Wisła Płock Górnik Zabrze

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Wisła Płock

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Górnik Zabrze

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Wisła Płock ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Górnik Zabrze
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.00
30.64
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.64
23.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Wisła Płock -0.70 Efficiency Index
vs
Górnik Zabrze +0.70 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Wisła Płock
Górnik Zabrze
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Wisła Płock ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Górnik Zabrze
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Wisła Płock Górnik Zabrze
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Wisła Płock Górnik Zabrze
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Wisła Płock
Górnik Zabrze
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Wisła Płock
vs
Górnik Zabrze
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Wisła Płock Górnik Zabrze
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Wisła Płock 0.17
Górnik Zabrze 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Wisła Płock Górnik Zabrze
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Wisła Płock 0.02
Górnik Zabrze 0.00
Wisła Płock
Górnik Zabrze
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Górnik Zabrze had peak pressure around 18'.
  • Górnik Zabrze started the game with stronger pressure.
Wisła Płock Pressure Górnik Zabrze Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Górnik Zabrze reached the top pressure at 18' (66.67).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Wisła Płock Wisła Płock Home
20 matches
Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze Away
Match Record
7
Wins
8
5
Draws
5
8
Losses
7
Goals
24
Goals Scored
35
35
Goals Conceded
24
-11
Goal Difference
+11

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:57:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-1-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
R. Leszczynski
Poland
12 R. Leszczynski
N. Mijušković
Montenegro
25 N. Mijušković
M. Kamiński
Poland
35 M. Kamiński
Q. Lecoeuche
France
13 Q. Lecoeuche
D. Kun
Poland
14 D. Kun
Ž. Rogelj
Slovenia
21 Ž. Rogelj
K. Pomorski
Substitution
Poland
6 K. Pomorski
W. Nowak
Poland
30 W. Nowak
D. Gallapeni
Kosovo
19 D. Gallapeni
Ł. Sekulski
Substitution
Poland
20 (C) Ł. Sekulski
D. Jurić
Substitution
Australia
99 D. Jurić
Pitch
M. Łubik
Poland
1 M. Łubik
O. Zmrzlý
Substitution
Czech Republic
67 O. Zmrzlý
J. Sánchez Guillén
Spain
20 J. Sánchez Guillén
R. Janicki
Poland
26 (C) R. Janicki
P. Olkowski
Poland
16 P. Olkowski
J. Kubicki
Poland
14 J. Kubicki
P. Hellebrand
Substitution
Czech Republic
8 P. Hellebrand
L. Sadílek
Substitution
Czech Republic
13 L. Sadílek
M. Khlan
Substitution
Ukraine
33 M. Khlan
S. Liseth
Norway
23 S. Liseth
Y. Ikia Dimi
Substitution
France
7 Y. Ikia Dimi

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion im. Kazimierza Górskiego
Capacity :
10978
Attendance :
10244
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Wojciech Myć
Maciej Kosarzecki
Bartosz Heinig
Mateusz Jenda

Statistics

Possession
Wisła Płock
49%
Górnik Zabrze
51%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 2
47 Dangerous attacks 57
45 Possession 55
7 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 12
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

9 Successful Dribbles 6
18 Throwins 13
69 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43
8 Goal Kicks 7
13 Dribble Attempts 14
3 Substitutions 5
2 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Assists 1
4 Goal Attempts 9
81 Ball Safe 62
1 Injuries 1

Attacking

83 Attacks 80
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

81 Successful Passes Percentage 85
349 Passes 407
31 Successful Long Passes 24
281 Successful Passes 344
53 Long Passes 48
4 Key Passes 9
58 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50

Defensive

68 Duels Won 46
4 Saves 1
21 Tackles 9
6 Interceptions 3

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 31
3 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

12 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Wojciech Myć

Starting XI ▼

12
Rafal Leszczynski
Rafal Leszczynski Goalkeeper
7.41
13
Quentin Lecoeuche
Quentin Lecoeuche Defender
6.94
25
Nemanja Mijuskovic
Nemanja Mijuskovic Defender
6.71
35
Marcin Kaminski
Marcin Kaminski Defender
6.94
6
Krystian Pomorski
Krystian Pomorski Midfielder
7.19
18
Dominik Sarapata
Dominik Sarapata
Midfielder77'
6.57
14
Dominik Kun
Dominik Kun Midfielder
6.54
19
Dion Gallapeni
Dion Gallapeni Midfielder
6.66
21
Zan Rogelj
Zan Rogelj Midfielder
6.55
30
Wiktor Nowak
Wiktor Nowak Midfielder
7.4
20
Lukasz Sekulski
Lukasz Sekulski (C) Attacker
6.78
9
Giannis Niarchos
Giannis Niarchos
Attacker68'
6.31
99
Deni Jurić
Deni Jurić Attacker
6.81
77
Said Hamulic
Said Hamulic
Attacker60'
6.8
Referee : Wojciech Myć

Starting XI ▼

1
Marcel Lubik
Marcel Lubik Goalkeeper
6.61
16
Pawel Olkowski
Pawel Olkowski Defender
6.82
20
Josema
Josema Defender
7.34
26
Rafal Janicki
Rafal Janicki (C) Defender
7.44
67
Ondrej Zmrzly
Ondrej Zmrzly Defender
6.99
64
Erik Janza
Erik Janza
Defender70'
6.46
8
Patrik Hellebrand
Patrik Hellebrand Midfielder
7.07
18
Lukas Ambros
Lukas Ambros
Midfielder70'
6.6
13
Lukas Sadilek
Lukas Sadilek Midfielder
6.88
10
Lukas Podolski
Lukas Podolski
Attacker70'
6.58
14
Jaroslaw Kubicki
Jaroslaw Kubicki Midfielder
6.82
7
Yvan Ikia Dimi
Yvan Ikia Dimi Attacker
6.53
15
Roberto Massimo
Roberto Massimo
Midfielder85'
6.35
23
Sondre Liseth
Sondre Liseth Attacker
6.83
33
Maksym Khlan
Maksym Khlan Attacker
7.64
17
Kamil Lukoszek
Kamil Lukoszek
Midfielder78'
6.52

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Quentin Lecoeuche
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+2'
85'
Event
Roberto Massimo → Yvan Ikia Dimi
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Lukas Ambros
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
78'
Event
Kamil Lukoszek → Maksym Khlan
7th Substitution
Event
Dominik Sarapata → Krystian Pomorski
6th Substitution
77'
75'
Event
Maksym Khlan
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Nemanja Mijuskovic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
70'
70'
Event
Erik Janza → Ondrej Zmrzly
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Lukas Ambros → Patrik Hellebrand
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Lukas Podolski → Lukas Sadilek
5th Substitution
Event
Giannis Niarchos → Lukasz Sekulski
2nd Substitution
68'
Event
Said Hamulic → Deni Jurić
1st Substitution
60'
1ST-HALF
Event
Lukasz Sekulski
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
24'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Zan Rogelj takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Podolski takes a left-footed shot but misses.
85
Update Update
Roberto Massimo comes on for Yvan Junior Ikia Dimi.
81
Attempt Attempt
Wiktor Nowak's left-footed shot is blocked.
78
Update Update
Kamil Lukoszek comes on for Maksym Khlan.
77
Update Update
Dominik Sarapata replaces Krystian Pomorski.
75
Attempt Attempt
Maksym Khlan takes a right-footed shot and scores.
73
Attempt Attempt
Said Hamulic attempts a header but misses the shot.
73
Attempt Attempt
Niarchos Ioannis takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
72
Attempt Attempt
Krystian Pomorski takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
70
Update Update
Erik Janza is on, and Ondrej Zmrzly is off.
70
Update Update
Lukas Ambros is on, and Patrik Hellebrand is off.
70
Update Update
Lukas Podolski is on, and Lukas Sadilek is off.
68
Update Update
Niarchos Ioannis comes on for Lukasz Sekulski.
66
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Sadilek takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
63
Attempt Attempt
Zan Rogelj takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
62
Attempt Attempt
Said Hamulic takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
60
Update Update
Said Hamulic replaces Deni Juric.
58
Attempt Attempt
Maksym Khlan takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
51
Attempt Attempt
Maksym Khlan's right-footed shot is blocked.
51
Attempt Attempt
Maksym Khlan's right-footed shot is blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Hellebrand takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
37
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Liseth attempts a header but misses the shot.
33
Attempt Attempt
Deni Juric takes a left-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
Pawel Olkowski takes a shot with his head but misses.
16
Attempt Attempt
Ondrej Zmrzly takes a right-footed shot but misses.
14
Attempt Attempt
Jaroslaw Kubicki takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
10
Attempt Attempt
Josema takes a left-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Ondrej Zmrzly attempts a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
7
Attempt Attempt
Pawel Olkowski's right-footed shot is blocked.

CONCLUSION

Górnik Zabrze claimed a narrow victory through disciplined second half play after a balanced opening period that finished 0-0. Possession advantages translated into the decisive moment without reliance on set piece fortune or disciplinary lapses. The absence of red cards allowed both teams to maintain their intended structures until the final whistle. Analytical review shows the result followed logical progression from available indicators rather than unexpected variance. Wisła Płock created limited clear opportunities despite home advantage and will need adjustments in forward transitions. Górnik Zabrze demonstrated control in key phases that secured three points on the road. Overall the fixture highlighted steady execution over dramatic swings in momentum or personnel changes.

Wisła Płock vs Górnik Zabrze preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Ekstraklasa, Poland View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ

Author

Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.