Winterthur vs Lausanne Sport Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadion Schützenwiese Sat, 9 May - 4:00 PM
Super League
Winterthur Winterthur
2 Winner 1
Lausanne Sport LAU
Full Time Sat, 9 May 4:00 PM
Round 36 Relegation Round
Andrin Hunziker - 66'
Nishan Burkart - 12'
Goal
|
Goal
Omar Janneh - 56'

CONTEXT

Winterthur defeated Lausanne Sport 2-1 in a tightly fought home match. The hosts led 1-0 at halftime and added a second goal while conceding once in the second half to secure the victory. Possession was almost even, with Winterthur at 49% and Lausanne Sport at 51%, reflecting a balanced contest. Despite Lausanne Sport being rated the stronger team beforehand, they could not convert their marginal dominance into points. No red cards were issued, and there were no reported second-half adjustments. This result represented a significant structural deviation of 62.8% in favor of Winterthur, who outperformed pre-match projections. The outcome aligned with market assessments, and efficiency remained in line with expectations. Winterthur's defensive solidity and timely scoring proved decisive in overturning the perceived team strength disparity.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Winterthur's 2-1 win marked a significant structural deviation of 62.8%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome was market aligned.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed due to null data.
  • Event impact: No events or second-half adjustments influenced the match.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Kanagasingam

Switzerland 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

B. Lengacher

1st Assistant

Switzerland

N. Tuberosa

2nd Assistant

Switzerland

M. Drmic

4th Official

Croatia

League averages

Super League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19.74
Yellow cards / match 3.56
Red cards / match 0.18
Penalties / match 0.39
Winterthur P. Rahmen
P. Rahmen
VS
Lausanne Sport M. Basha
M. Basha
0.64
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zürich Rank: 50 D
Servette Rank: 61 L
Grasshopper Rank: 48 L
Lausanne Sport Rank: 55 L
Basel Rank: 64 L
Luzern Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Luzern Rank: 58 L
Zürich Rank: 51 W
Sion Rank: 64 L
Winterthur Rank: 45 W
Luzern Rank: 60 L
Young Boys Rank: 62 L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 1 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Winterthur
37.15%
Draw
25.7%
Away Lausanne Sport
37.15%

Movement

Changes since opening
Winterthur
-58.08%
Draw
+21.12%
Lausanne Sport
+36.96%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
45.19
55.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Winterthur
Lausanne Sport
Power Score
45.19
55.29
League Position
12
9
Global Rank
915
642

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Winterthur — Opponent-weighted form score
Lausanne Sport — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Winterthur Lausanne Sport

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Winterthur

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Lausanne Sport

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Winterthur ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lausanne Sport
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.96
35.29
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.29
27.96
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Winterthur -0.66 Efficiency Index
vs
Lausanne Sport +0.66 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Winterthur
Lausanne Sport
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Winterthur ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lausanne Sport
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Winterthur Lausanne Sport
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Winterthur Lausanne Sport
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Winterthur
Lausanne Sport
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Winterthur
vs
Lausanne Sport
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Winterthur Lausanne Sport
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Winterthur 0.20
Lausanne Sport 0.40
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Winterthur Lausanne Sport
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Winterthur 0.03
Lausanne Sport 0.04
Winterthur
Lausanne Sport
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LAU had peak pressure around 25'.
  • Winterthur started the game with stronger pressure.
Winterthur Pressure LAU Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LAU reached the top pressure at 25' (81.80).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Winterthur Winterthur Home
9 matches
Lausanne Sport LAU Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
5
Goals
14
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
14
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:03:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
S. Kapino
Greece
1 S. Kapino
F. Rohner
Substitution
Switzerland
27 F. Rohner
L. Lüthi
Switzerland
21 L. Lüthi
M. Kryeziu
Substitution
Kosovo
31 M. Kryeziu
S. Diaby
Substitution
Ivory Coast
18 S. Diaby
R. Schneider
Switzerland
10 R. Schneider
L. Zuffi
Switzerland
7 L. Zuffi
P. Kasami
Substitution
Switzerland
23 P. Kasami
T. Golliard
Switzerland
8 T. Golliard
A. Hunziker
Switzerland
17 A. Hunziker
N. Burkart
Substitution
Switzerland
99 N. Burkart
Pitch
K. Letica
Croatia
25 K. Letica
S. Fofana
Substitution
France
93 S. Fofana
D. Ngonzo
Switzerland
5 D. Ngonzo
K. Mouanga
France
14 K. Mouanga
T. Bergvall
Sweden
6 T. Bergvall
B. Lekweiry
Substitution
Mauritania
27 B. Lekweiry
J. Roche
Sweden
8 J. Roche
F. Mollet
Substitution
France
91 F. Mollet
A. Ajdini
Substitution
Kosovo
7 A. Ajdini
O. Janneh Susso
Spain
78 O. Janneh Susso
N. Butler-Oyedeji
Substitution
England
11 N. Butler-Oyedeji

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 36 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Stadion Schützenwiese
Capacity :
9450
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Bastien Lengacher
N. Tuberosa
Marijan Drmic
Anojen Kanagasingam

Statistics

Possession
Winterthur
50%
LAU
50%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 3
4 Shots 7
54 Dangerous attacks 40
49 Possession 51
6 Corners 7
13 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

22 Throwins 25
7 Successful Dribbles 4
9 Dribble Attempts 16
78 Successful Dribbles Percentage 25
6 Goal Kicks 4
2 Assists 0
6 Goal Attempts 10
5 Substitutions 5
1 Injuries 0
70 Ball Safe 66

Attacking

104 Attacks 95
2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

393 Passes 417
71 Successful Passes Percentage 76
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49
29 Successful Long Passes 28
279 Successful Passes 315
8 Key Passes 8
76 Long Passes 57

Defensive

9 Saves 3
14 Interceptions 16
21 Tackles 20

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 12
2 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

13 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Anojen Kanagasingam

Starting XI ▼

1
Stefanos Kapino
Stefanos Kapino Goalkeeper
18
Souleymane Diaby
Souleymane Diaby Defender
3
Rhodri Smith
Rhodri Smith
Defender60'
21
Loïc Lüthi
Loïc Lüthi Defender
27
Fabian Rohner
Fabian Rohner Defender
24
Silvan Sidler
Silvan Sidler
Defender69'
31
Mirlind Kryeziu
Mirlind Kryeziu Defender
16
Remo Arnold
Remo Arnold
Defender77'
7
Luca Zuffi
Luca Zuffi Midfielder
8
Théo Golliard
Théo Golliard Midfielder
10
Randy Schneider
Randy Schneider Midfielder
23
Pajtim Kasami
Pajtim Kasami Midfielder
45
Alexandre Jankewitz
Alexandre Jankewitz
Midfielder61'
17
Andrin Hunziker
Andrin Hunziker Attacker
99
Nishan Burkart
Nishan Burkart Attacker
37
Elias Maluvunu
Elias Maluvunu
Midfielder69'
Referee : Anojen Kanagasingam

Starting XI ▼

25
Karlo Letica
Karlo Letica Goalkeeper
5
Dircssi Ngonzo
Dircssi Ngonzo Defender
6
Theo Bergvall
Theo Bergvall Defender
14
Kévin Mouanga
Kévin Mouanga Defender
93
Sékou Fofana
Sékou Fofana Defender
18
Morgan Poaty
Morgan Poaty
Defender67'
8
Jamie Roche
Jamie Roche Midfielder
27
Beyatt Lekoueiry
Beyatt Lekoueiry Midfielder
70
Gaoussou Diakité
Gaoussou Diakité
Midfielder46'
91
Florent Mollet
Florent Mollet Midfielder
10
Olivier Custodio
Olivier Custodio
Midfielder67'
7
Alban Ajdini
Alban Ajdini Attacker
59
Oscar Renovales
Oscar Renovales
Attacker46'
11
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji Attacker
9
Theo Bair
Theo Bair
Attacker81'
78
Omar Janneh
Omar Janneh Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
84'
Event
Theo Bergvall
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
81'
Event
Theo Bair → Nathan Butler-Oyedeji
10th Substitution
Event
Remo Arnold → Mirlind Kryeziu
9th Substitution
77'
76'
Event
Kévin Mouanga
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Silvan Sidler → Fabian Rohner
8th Substitution
69'
Event
Elias Maluvunu → Nishan Burkart
7th Substitution
69'
67'
Event
Morgan Poaty → Sékou Fofana
6th Substitution
67'
Event
Olivier Custodio → Florent Mollet
5th Substitution
Event
Andrin Hunziker
Header / 3rd Goal
66'
Event
Alexandre Jankewitz → Pajtim Kasami
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Rhodri Smith → Souleymane Diaby
3rd Substitution
60'
56'
Event
Omar Janneh
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
49'
Event
Oscar Renovales
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
46'
Event
Oscar Renovales → Alban Ajdini
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Gaoussou Diakité → Beyatt Lekoueiry
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
17'
Event
Beyatt Lekoueiry
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Luca Zuffi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
14'
Event
Nishan Burkart
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
12'
Event
Fabian Rohner
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
10'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Olivier Custodio takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
89
Attempt Attempt
Thelonius Bair takes a left-footed shot but misses.
81
Update Update
Thelonius Bair comes on for Nathan Butler-Oyedeji.
80
Attempt Attempt
Gaoussou Diakite takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
80
Attempt Attempt
Gaoussou Diakite takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
78
Attempt Attempt
Omar Janneh takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
77
Update Update
Remo Arnold is on, and Mirlind Kryeziu is off.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kevin Mouanga receives a yellow card.
76
Attempt Attempt
Randy Schneider's right-footed shot is blocked.
69
Update Update
Elias Maluvunu is on, and Nishan Burkart is off.
69
Update Update
Silvan Sidler is on, and Fabian Rohner is off.
68
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Renovales takes a left-footed shot but misses.
67
Update Update
Olivier Custodio replaces Florent Mollet.
67
Update Update
Morgan Poaty is on, and Sekou Fofana is off.
66
Update Update
Andrin Hunziker scores with a header.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Andrin Hunziker scores, making it 2-1.
65
Attempt Attempt
Andrin Hunziker's right-footed shot is saved.
61
Update Update
Alexandre Jankewitz is on, and Pajtim Kasami is off.
60
Substitution Substitution
Rhodri Smith is substituted on for Souleymane Diaby.
58
Attempt Attempt
Gaoussou Diakite takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
56
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Renovales takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
56
Attempt Attempt
Omar Janneh scores with a left-footed shot.
56
Attempt Attempt
Pajtim Kasami's left-footed shot is blocked.
51
Attempt Attempt
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
51
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Renovales takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
48
Attempt Attempt
Omar Janneh takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
47
Attempt Attempt
Pajtim Kasami takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Substitution Substitution
Oscar Renovales is substituted for Alban Ajdini.
46
Update Update
Gaoussou Diakite is on, and Beyatt Lekoueiry is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Omar Janneh takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Florent Mollet's left-footed shot is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Omar Janneh takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
43
Attempt Attempt
Fabian Rohner's right-footed shot is saved.
40
Attempt Attempt
Pajtim Kasami takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Jamie Roche takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
17
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Beyatt Lekoueiry receives a yellow card.
14
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luca Zuffi receives a yellow card.
14
Attempt Attempt
Omar Janneh takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nishan Burkart scores, making it 1-0.
12
Attempt Attempt
Nishan Burkart scores with a left-footed shot.
10
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Fabian Rohner receives a yellow card.
5
Attempt Attempt
Andrin Hunziker's right-footed shot is saved.
2
Attempt Attempt
Theo Golliard takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Winterthur's 2-1 home win over Lausanne Sport highlighted their ability to defy pre-match strength ratings. Leading 1-0 at halftime, they managed the game effectively despite near-even possession. The significant 62.8% structural deviation underscores Winterthur's outperformance, while market alignment and steady efficiency indicate a result within plausible bounds. Absence of red cards ensured an undistorted contest focused on tactical execution. Lausanne Sport's failure to leverage their 51% possession exposes conversion issues. This victory strengthens Winterthur's position and may necessitate strategic tweaks for the visitors in future outings.

Winterthur vs Lausanne Sport preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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