Widzew Lodz vs Nieciecza Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland

Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź Sat, 11 Apr - 12:45 PM

Ekstraklasa

Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz

Nieciecza Nieciecza

Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 12:45 PM

Round 28 Regular Season

Sebastian Bergier - 89'

Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz 68'

CONTEXT

The match between Widzew Lodz and Nieciecza is finished, ending with a full-time score of 1-0 to the home side. The teams were level at 0-0 at half-time before Widzew Lodz found the decisive goal after the break. Pre-match expectations positioned Widzew Lodz as clear favorites with a 61.3 percent forecast win probability against 15.8 percent for Nieciecza. The result showed significant deviation for Widzew Lodz, though they ultimately prevailed as the stronger team. Widzew Lodz held 56 percent possession to Nieciecza’s 44 percent, but no expected goals data was available to measure chance quality. The efficiency shift stayed in line with projections, and the outcome proved consistent with the pre-match projection. Nieciecza’s red card created a clear second-half distortion that altered the contest’s balance and contributed to the narrow home victory. Overall the result aligned with the anticipated direction despite the late red-card impact.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Widzew Lodz showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

D. Stefanski

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Obukowicz

1st Assistant

T. Niemirowski

2nd Assistant

M. Pelka

4th Official

A. Vukovic

M. Brosz

1.06

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 0 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Widzew Lodz

61.25%

Draw

22.96%

Nieciecza

15.8%

Team Power Ranking

22.65

18.37

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Widzew Lodz

Nieciecza

Power Score

22.65

18.37

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Widzew Lodz — Opponent-weighted form score

Nieciecza — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Widzew Lodz Nieciecza

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Widzew Lodz

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Nieciecza

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Widzew Lodz ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Nieciecza

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

43.39

26.02

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

26.02

43.39

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Widzew Lodz +1.61 Efficiency Index

Nieciecza -1.61 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Widzew Lodz

Nieciecza

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Widzew Lodz ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Nieciecza

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Widzew Lodz Nieciecza

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Widzew Lodz Nieciecza

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Widzew Lodz

Nieciecza

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Widzew Lodz

Nieciecza

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Widzew Lodz Nieciecza

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Widzew Lodz Nieciecza

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Widzew Lodz

Nieciecza

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Widzew Lodz had peak pressure around 76'.
Widzew Lodz started the game with stronger pressure.

Widzew Lodz Pressure Nieciecza Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Widzew Lodz reached the top pressure at 76' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz Home

1 matches

Nieciecza Nieciecza Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-2

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:03:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3

Match Formation 3-4-3

1 B. Drągowski

2 C. Muñoz Obejero

25 P. Wisniewski

53 S. Kapuadi

3 S. Kozlovský

8 E. Kornvig

18 L. Selahi

6 J. Shehu

10 F. Alvarez Rodríguez

99 S. Bergier

7 M. Fornalczyk

1 A. Chovan

77 A. Putivtsev

5 L. Masoero Masi

3 A. Kasperkiewicz

29 G. Isik

28 M. Ambrosiewicz

23 S. Guerrero Romero

27 R. Boboc

9 J. Jiménez Núñez

25 K. Zapolnik

86 I. Strzałek

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 11, 2026, 12:45 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 28 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź

Capacity :

18018

Attendance :

17841

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Daniel Stefanski

Michal Obukowicz

Tomasz Niemirowski

Maciej Pelka

Statistics

Possession

Widzew Lodz

56%

Nieciecza

44%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0

6 Big Chances Created 1

14 Shots 7

86 Dangerous attacks 49

56 Possession 44

10 Corners 1

19 Free kicks 14

3 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

55 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38

23 Throwins 22

11 Dribble Attempts 13

6 Successful Dribbles 5

75 Ball Safe 83

7 Goal Kicks 13

12 Goal Attempts 5

3 Substitutions 5

0 Injuries 2

1 Assists 0

1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

108 Attacks 80

5 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

23 Successful Long Passes 24

41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37

14 Key Passes 7

314 Successful Passes 224

398 Passes 321

79 Successful Passes Percentage 70

56 Long Passes 65

Defensive

15 Tackles 18

15 Interceptions 7

2 Saves 7

Build-up

10 Accurate Crosses 3

35 Total Crosses 16

Discipline

2 Offsides 2

14 Fouls 17

Lineup

Referee : Daniel Stefanski

Manager ▼

A. Vukovic Coach

Starting XI ▼

Bartlomiej Dragowski Goalkeeper

Carlos Isaac Defender

Andi Zeqiri

Attacker82'

Samuel Kozlovský Defender

Przemysław Wiśniewski Defender

Steve Kapuadi Defender

Juljan Shehu Midfielder

Emil Kornvig Midfielder

Lindon Selahi Midfielder

Ángel Baena

Midfielder63'

Mariusz Fornalczyk Attacker

Mateusz Zyro

Defender90+2'

Fran Álvarez Attacker

Sebastian Bergier Attacker

Substitutes ▼

Ángel Baena

Midfielder63'

Andi Zeqiri

Attacker82'

Mateusz Zyro

Defender90+2'

Bench ▼

Veljko Ilic Goalkeeper

Maciej Kikolski Goalkeeper

Stelios Andreou Defender

Ricardo Visus Defender

Bartlomiej Pawlowski Midfielder

Lukas Lerager Midfielder

Referee : Daniel Stefanski