Westerlo vs Standard Liège Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Het Kuipje Tue, 19 May - 6:30 PM
Pro League
Westerlo KVC
1 Winner 2
Standard Liège STL
Full Time Tue, 19 May 6:30 PM
Round 9 Conference League Play-off Group
Doğucan Haspolat - 12'
Goal
|
Goal
Rafiki Saïd - 41'
Timothé Nkada - 18' (P)

CONTEXT

Standard Liège claimed a 1-2 victory over Westerlo after leading 1-2 at halftime. The away side capitalized on early chances while Westerlo controlled 61 percent of possession yet managed only one goal. Standard Liège, the stronger team on paper, defended resolutely and prevented any second-half comeback. No red cards were shown, preserving full squads for both sides throughout the ninety minutes. The outcome reflected the visitors' ability to maintain structure despite lower ball dominance. Westerlo created several openings but lacked the finishing touch required to alter the scoreline. This result confirmed Standard Liège's edge in a match defined by disciplined defending and efficient counter-attacks.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Standard Liège recorded a minimal structural deviation of 6.6 percent from pre-match projections.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match assessments throughout the contest.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with market projections for the stronger side.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were not calculable given the absence of underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: The away team established a lead by halftime that proved decisive in the 1-2 victory.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards ensured no distortion from disciplinary events affected team structures.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

E. Lambrechts

Belgium 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. De Weirdt

1st Assistant

Belgium

M. Hillaert

2nd Assistant

Belgium

K. Clerkx

4th Official

Belgium

League averages

Pro League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19.2
Yellow cards / match 3.2
Red cards / match 0.17
Penalties / match 0.31
Westerlo I. Charai
I. Charai
VS
Standard Liège V. Euvrard
V. Euvrard
1.54
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.54
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 72 W
Genk Rank: 76 L
OH Leuven Rank: 64 D
Antwerp Rank: 69 L
OH Leuven Rank: 66 W
Genk Rank: 77 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genk Rank: 77 D
OH Leuven Rank: 65 W
Antwerp Rank: 72 W
Genk Rank: 77 D
Antwerp Rank: 69 L
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 71 W
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 11 - 14
14

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Westerlo
0.24%
Draw
6.41%
Away Standard Liège
93.35%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.21
72.27
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Westerlo
Standard Liège
Power Score
70.21
72.27
League Position
9
8
Global Rank
207
154

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Westerlo — Opponent-weighted form score
Standard Liège — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Westerlo Standard Liège

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Westerlo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Standard Liège

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Westerlo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Standard Liège
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
45.33
34.23
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.23
45.33
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Westerlo +1.05 Efficiency Index
vs
Standard Liège -1.05 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Westerlo
Standard Liège
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Westerlo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Standard Liège
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Westerlo Standard Liège
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Westerlo Standard Liège
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Westerlo
Standard Liège
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Westerlo
vs
Standard Liège
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Westerlo Standard Liège
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Westerlo 0.33
Standard Liège 0.44
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Westerlo Standard Liège
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Westerlo 0.07
Standard Liège 0.01
Westerlo
Standard Liège
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KVC had peak pressure around 101'.
  • KVC started the game with stronger pressure.
KVC Pressure STL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KVC reached the top pressure at 101' (98.63).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Westerlo KVC Home
35 matches
Standard Liège STL Away
Match Record
10
Wins
14
11
Draws
11
14
Losses
10
Goals
45
Goals Scored
48
48
Goals Conceded
45
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
2.21
xG
0.60
0.60
xGA
2.21

Data last updated: 2026-05-20T00:06:14+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch
A. Jungdal
Denmark
99 A. Jungdal
B. Reynolds
United States
22 B. Reynolds
E. Bayram
Türkiye
40 E. Bayram
S. Kimura
Japan
5 S. Kimura
L. Mbamba-Muanda
Substitution
Belgium
23 L. Mbamba-Muanda
D. Haspolat
Netherlands
34 D. Haspolat
A. Piedfort
Substitution
Belgium
46 A. Piedfort
A. Sayyadmanesh
Iran
7 A. Sayyadmanesh
I. Sakamoto
Japan
13 I. Sakamoto
J. Alcócer
Costa Rica
77 J. Alcócer
I. Ferri Julià
Substitution
Spain
90 I. Ferri Julià
Pitch
L. Epolo Matthieu
Belgium
1 L. Epolo Matthieu
G. Mortensen
Denmark
3 G. Mortensen
I. Hautekiet
Belgium
25 I. Hautekiet
D. Bates
Scotland
4 D. Bates
D. Dierckx
Substitution
Belgium
29 D. Dierckx
M. Fossey
Substitution
United States
13 M. Fossey
R. Said Ahamada
Substitution
Comoros
17 R. Said Ahamada
M. Ilaimaharitra
Madagascar
23 M. Ilaimaharitra
I. Karamoko
France
20 I. Karamoko
A. Adnane
Belgium
11 A. Adnane
T. NKada
Substitution
France
59 T. NKada

General Information

Date & Time :
May 19, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 9 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium :
Het Kuipje
Capacity :
8182
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Erik Lambrechts
Jo De Weirdt
Mathias Hillaert
K. Clerkx

Statistics

Possession
KVC
58%
STL
42%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 4
12 Shots 3
73 Dangerous attacks 27
61 Possession 39
6 Corners 1
12 Free kicks 10
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

61 Ball Safe 61
4 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 1
16 Goal Attempts 8
39 Successful Dribbles Percentage 88
23 Throwins 19
4 Goal Kicks 16
18 Dribble Attempts 8
7 Successful Dribbles 7
0 Penalties 1

Attacking

110 Attacks 76
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

88 Successful Passes Percentage 74
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 27
41 Long Passes 48
17 Successful Long Passes 13
15 Key Passes 8
476 Successful Passes 260
543 Passes 353

Defensive

4 Saves 3
39 Duels Won 49
16 Interceptions 14
9 Tackles 19

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 9
6 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
11 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Erik Lambrechts

Starting XI ▼

99
Andreas Jungdal
Andreas Jungdal Goalkeeper
5
Seiji Kimura
Seiji Kimura Defender
22
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds Defender
23
Lucas Mbamba
Lucas Mbamba Defender
38
Shunsuke Saito
Shunsuke Saito
Attacker63'
40
Emin Bayram
Emin Bayram Defender
7
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh Midfielder
13
Isa Sakamoto
Isa Sakamoto Midfielder
34
Doğucan Haspolat
Doğucan Haspolat Midfielder
46
Arthur Piedfort
Arthur Piedfort Midfielder
12
Reda Laalaoui
Reda Laalaoui
Midfielder78'
77
Josimar Alcócer
Josimar Alcócer Midfielder
90
Nacho Ferri
Nacho Ferri Attacker
10
Afonso Patrão
Afonso Patrão
Attacker89'
Referee : Erik Lambrechts

Starting XI ▼

1
Matthieu Epolo
Matthieu Epolo Goalkeeper
3
Gustav Julius Mortensen
Gustav Julius Mortensen Defender
4
David Bates
David Bates Defender
13
Marlon Fossey
Marlon Fossey Defender
7
Tobias Mohr
Tobias Mohr
Midfielder62'
25
Ibe Hautekiet
Ibe Hautekiet Defender
29
Daan Dierckx
Daan Dierckx Defender
80
Teddy Teuma
Teddy Teuma
Midfielder79'
11
Adnane Abid
Adnane Abid Midfielder
17
Rafiki Saïd
Rafiki Saïd Midfielder
26
Bernard Nguene
Bernard Nguene
Attacker90'
20
Ibrahim Karamoko
Ibrahim Karamoko Midfielder
23
Marco Ilaimaharitra
Marco Ilaimaharitra Midfielder
59
Timothé Nkada
Timothé Nkada Attacker
8
Nayel Mehssatou
Nayel Mehssatou
Defender78'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Enis Destan
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+7'
90+1'
Event
Tobias Mohr
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90'
Event
Bernard Nguene → Rafiki Saïd
9th Substitution
Event
Afonso Patrão → Nacho Ferri
8th Substitution
89'
88'
Event
Nayel Mehssatou
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
79'
Event
Teddy Teuma → Daan Dierckx
7th Substitution
Event
Reda Laalaoui → Arthur Piedfort
5th Substitution
78'
Event
4th Substitution
78'
78'
Event
3rd Substitution
78'
Event
Nayel Mehssatou → Timothé Nkada
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Timothé Nkada
Goal disallowed
Event
Arthur Piedfort
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
63'
Event
Shunsuke Saito → Lucas Mbamba
2nd Substitution
63'
62'
Event
Tobias Mohr → Marlon Fossey
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Seiji Kimura
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
45+2'
41'
Event
Rafiki Saïd
Header / 2nd Goal
18'
Event
Timothé Nkada
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Doğucan Haspolat
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
12'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tobias Mohr receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Dogucan Haspolat's right-footed shot is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Emin Bayram takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Enis Destan receives a yellow card.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Bernard Nguene comes on for Rafiki Said.
90
Attempt Attempt
Reda Laalaoui attempts a header but misses the shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Reda Laalaoui's header is saved.
89
Update Update
Afonso Patrao is on, and Nacho Ferri is off.
86
Attempt Attempt
Enis Destan attempts a header but misses the shot.
84
Attempt Attempt
Nayel Mehssatou takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
79
Substitution Substitution
Teddy Teuma is substituted for Daan Dierckx.
78
Update Update
Dennis Eckert comes on for Adnane Abid.
78
Update Update
Nayel Mehssatou comes on for Timothe Nkada.
78
Substitution Substitution
Teddy Teuma is substituted for Daan Dierckx.
78
Update Update
Nayel Mehssatou comes on for Timothe Nkada.
74
Update Update
VAR decision results in a disallowed goal due to a foul by Timothe Nkada.
74
Attempt Attempt
Tobias Mohr takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
74
Attempt Attempt
Timothe Nkada scores with a right-footed shot.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Timothe Nkada scores, making it 1-3.
72
Attempt Attempt
Shunsuke Saito takes a right-footed shot but misses.
69
Attempt Attempt
Josimar Alcocer takes a right-footed shot but misses.
67
Attempt Attempt
Rafiki Said takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
67
Attempt Attempt
Bryan Reynolds takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Attempt Attempt
Isa Sakamoto takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Arthur Piedfort receives a yellow card.
63
Update Update
Shunsuke Saito comes on for Lucas Mbamba-Muanda.
62
Update Update
Tobias Mohr comes on for Marlon Fossey.
59
Attempt Attempt
Rafiki Said takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
53
Update Update
Seiji Kimura takes a header, but it misses the target.
52
Attempt Attempt
Isa Sakamoto takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
52
Attempt Attempt
Josimar Alcocer takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
50
Attempt Attempt
Dogucan Haspolat takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
47
Attempt Attempt
Emin Bayram takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Gustav Mortensen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Seiji Kimura receives a yellow card.
41
Update Update
Rafiki Said scores with a header.
41
Attempt Attempt
Adnane Abid's right-footed shot is saved.
38
Attempt Attempt
Josimar Alcocer takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
35
Attempt Attempt
Dogucan Haspolat takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Dogucan Haspolat takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
27
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Karamoko attempts a header but misses the shot.
27
Attempt Attempt
Dogucan Haspolat takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
25
Attempt Attempt
Seiji Kimura takes a right-footed shot but misses.
23
Attempt Attempt
Isa Sakamoto takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
20
Attempt Attempt
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh's left-footed shot is blocked.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Timothe Nkada scores, making it 1-1.
18
Attempt Attempt
Timothe Nkada scores with a right-footed shot.
15
Attempt Attempt
Timothe Nkada takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Rafiki Said's right-footed shot is blocked.
12
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Dogucan Haspolat! He scores with a right-footed shot.
9
Attempt Attempt
Adnane Abid takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Attempt Attempt
Nacho Ferri's header shot misses the target.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Erik Lambrechts.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, Standard Liège demonstrated clear superiority through organized defending and timely scoring. Holding a 1-2 lead from halftime onward allowed them to absorb Westerlo's 61 percent possession without conceding further. The visitors' clinical approach on the break secured the points against a home side that created chances but failed to convert. With no red cards issued, both teams maintained tactical discipline for the full duration. This performance reinforced Standard Liège's status as the stronger side and highlighted effective game management. Westerlo will need to improve finishing efficiency in future fixtures to turn possession into results.

Westerlo vs Standard Liège preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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