Westerlo vs Genk Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium

Het Kuipje Sat, 18 Apr - 4:15 PM

Pro League

Westerlo KVC

Genk GNK

Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 4:15 PM

Round 3 Conference League Play-off Group

Afonso Patrão - 76'

Aaron Bibout - 71'

Zakaria El Ouahdi - 68'

CONTEXT

Westerlo hosted Genk in a closely contested match that ended 1-2 in favor of the visitors. The first half concluded goalless, with Westerlo holding a slight possession advantage at 52% to Genk's 48%. Despite being rated as the stronger team, Westerlo could only muster a single goal, while Genk netted twice in the second half to secure the victory. No red cards were shown, maintaining a full complement of players throughout. The result showed a minimal structural deviation of 3.9%, attributed to Genk, indicating the outcome stayed close to pre-match structural expectations. Efficiency remained in line with norms, and the market aligned with the final score. Absent xG data limits deeper chance quality analysis, but the even halftime score suggests a tactical second-half shift propelled Genk's win.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Structural deviation measured minimal at 3.9% favoring Genk.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: Market fully aligned with Genk's victory.
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
Event impact: No notable second-half adjustments or events impacted the outcome.
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

B. Verbeke

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Hillaert

1st Assistant

S. Bourdeaud'hui

4th Official

M. Tiesters

2nd Assistant

I. Charai

N. Hayen

1.45

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.45

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

5 - 8 - 17

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Westerlo

0.19%

Draw

3.73%

Genk

96.07%

Movement

Changes since opening

Westerlo

-0.05%

Draw

-2.68%

Genk

+2.72%

Team Power Ranking

27.23

25.29

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Westerlo

Genk

Power Score

27.23

25.29

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Westerlo — Opponent-weighted form score

Genk — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Westerlo Genk

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Westerlo

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Genk

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Westerlo ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Genk

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

27.12

24.69

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

24.69

27.12

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Westerlo +0.23 Efficiency Index

Genk -0.23 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Westerlo

Genk

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Westerlo ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Genk

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Westerlo Genk

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Westerlo Genk

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Westerlo

Genk

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Westerlo

Genk

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Westerlo Genk

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Westerlo Genk

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Westerlo

Genk

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

KVC had peak pressure around 94'.
KVC started the game with stronger pressure.

KVC Pressure GNK Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: KVC reached the top pressure at 94' (71.70).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 30 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Westerlo KVC Home

30 matches

Genk GNK Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-23

Goal Difference

+23

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:06:04+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

99 A. Jungdal

22 B. Reynolds

40 E. Bayram

33 R. Neustädter

5 S. Kimura

34 D. Haspolat

46 A. Piedfort

7 A. Sayyadmanesh

38 S. Saito

77 J. Alcócer

90 I. Ferri Julià

28 L. Kiaba Mounganga

19 Y. Medina Ortiz

6 M. Smets

3 M. Sadick Aliu

77 Z. El Ouahdi

21 I. Bangoura

10 J. Ito

8 B. Heynen

38 D. Heymans

20 K. Karetsas

29 R. Mirisola

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 18, 2026, 04:15 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 3 · Conference League Play-off Group

Stadium :

Het Kuipje

Capacity :

8182

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Bert Verbeke

Mathias Hillaert

Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Martijn Tiesters

Statistics

Possession

KVC

51%

GNK

49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2

1 Big Chances Created 4

3 Shots 5

42 Dangerous attacks 37

52 Possession 48

3 Corners 7

12 Free kicks 11

1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 3

1 Injuries 1

1 Assists 2

58 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60

7 Goal Kicks 6

5 Goal Attempts 9

90 Ball Safe 102

11 Successful Dribbles 6

19 Dribble Attempts 10

0 Hit Woodwork 1

21 Throwins 17

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 3

86 Attacks 76

Possession

56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 56

373 Successful Passes 344

11 Key Passes 9

45 Long Passes 57

440 Passes 401

85 Successful Passes Percentage 86

25 Successful Long Passes 32

Defensive

44 Duels Won 43

3 Saves 2

9 Interceptions 16

12 Tackles 20

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 3

17 Total Crosses 20

Discipline

1 Offsides 10

11 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Bert Verbeke

Manager ▼

I. Charai Coach

Starting XI ▼

Andreas Jungdal Goalkeeper

6.85

Seiji Kimura Defender

6.84

Bryan Reynolds Defender

6.73

Roman Neustädter Defender

6.8

Afonso Patrão

Attacker75'

6.43

Emin Bayram Defender

7.15

Allahyar Sayyadmanesh Midfielder

6.98

Doğucan Haspolat Midfielder

7.29

Sergiy Sydorchuk

Midfielder75'

6.52

Shunsuke Saito Midfielder

6.75

Dylan Ourega

Defender56'

6.6

Arthur Piedfort Midfielder

7.06

Josimar Alcócer Midfielder

6.65

Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni

Attacker88'

6.63

Nacho Ferri Attacker

7.05

Substitutes ▼

Dylan Ourega

Defender56'

6.6

Afonso Patrão

Attacker75'

6.43

Sergiy Sydorchuk

Midfielder75'

6.52

Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni

Attacker88'

6.63

Bench ▼

Koen Van Langendonck Goalkeeper

Amando Lapage Defender

7.11

Lucas Mbamba Defender

6.53

Thomas Van den Keybus Midfielder

6.63

Fernand Goure Attacker

6.45

Referee : Bert Verbeke