Westerlo vs Antwerp Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium

Het Kuipje Sat, 25 Apr - 6:45 PM

Pro League

Westerlo KVC

Antwerp ANT

Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 6:45 PM

Round 5 Conference League Play-off Group

Shunsuke Saito - 87'

Isa Sakamoto - 58'

Gyrano Kerk - 60'

Christopher Scott - 44'

Vincent Janssen - 28', 25'

Emin Bayram 10'

CONTEXT

Antwerp delivered a commanding 4-2 win over Westerlo in the Belgian Pro League, overturning pre-match expectations where the hosts were slightly favored. The visitors surged to a 3-0 halftime lead, controlling 65% possession and exploiting Westerlo's defensive lapses. Reduced to 10 men after a red card in the second half, Westerlo fought back with two goals but could not overcome Antwerp's clinical finishing. As the designated stronger team, Antwerp's performance featured a significant 69% structural deviation, underscoring their superiority despite the hosts' home advantage. Possession dominance and efficient chance conversion propelled Antwerp to victory, while the red card distorted the game's dynamics, preventing a potential upset. This result bolsters Antwerp's campaign.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Antwerp achieved a significant 69% structural deviation from pre-match expectations.
Efficiency shift: Efficiencies for both teams remained in line with assessments.
xG alignment: xG data unavailable, so alignment cannot be determined.
Market alignment: Final outcome did not align with pre-match market probabilities.
xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable due to lack of data.
Event impact: Red card event altered match momentum in second half.
Red card distortion: Westerlo's red card distorted second-half adjustments.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

No referee statistics available.

I. Charai

J. Oosting

1.48

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.3

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

2 - 2 - 4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Westerlo

42.02%

Draw

26.99%

Antwerp

31%

Movement

Changes since opening

Westerlo

+40.6%

Draw

+22.84%

Antwerp

-63.43%

Team Power Ranking

25.36

26.53

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Westerlo

Antwerp

Power Score

25.36

26.53

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Westerlo — Opponent-weighted form score

Antwerp — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Westerlo Antwerp

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Westerlo

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Antwerp

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Westerlo ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Antwerp

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Westerlo Antwerp

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Westerlo Antwerp

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Westerlo

Antwerp

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Westerlo

Antwerp

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Westerlo Antwerp

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Westerlo Antwerp

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Westerlo

Antwerp

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

ANT had peak pressure around 30'.
ANT started the game with stronger pressure.

KVC Pressure ANT Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: ANT reached the top pressure at 30' (91.82).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Westerlo KVC Home

8 matches

Antwerp ANT Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-4

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T18:30:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 3-4-1-2

99 A. Jungdal

22 B. Reynolds

40 E. Bayram

33 R. Neustädter

5 S. Kimura

34 D. Haspolat

46 A. Piedfort

7 A. Sayyadmanesh

13 I. Sakamoto

77 J. Alcócer

10 A. Cruz Patrão

41 T. Nozawa

5 D. Foulon

4 Y. Tsunashima

33 Z. Van Den Bosch

56 E. Tuypens

78 Xander Dierckx

8 D. Praet

14 A. Valencia

30 C. Scott

7 G. Kerk

18 V. Janssen

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 25, 2026, 06:45 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 5 · Conference League Play-off Group

Stadium :

Het Kuipje

Capacity :

8182

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Vito Divincenzo

Tom Stevens

Nicolas Laforge

Laurent Conotte

Statistics

Possession

KVC

38%

ANT

62%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 4

1 Big Chances Created 8

6 Shots 6

44 Dangerous attacks 50

35 Possession 65

2 Corners 7

13 Free kicks 11

4 Yellow Cards 3

1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

35 Successful Dribbles Percentage 32

31 Dribble Attempts 22

6 Goal Attempts 18

15 Throwins 15

82 Ball Safe 90

11 Successful Dribbles 7

7 Goal Kicks 8

0 Assists 4

5 Substitutions 5

1 Hit Woodwork 2

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 4

77 Attacks 121

Possession

259 Passes 476

49 Long Passes 45

12 Successful Long Passes 30

5 Key Passes 15

182 Successful Passes 419

24 Successful Long Passes Percentage 67

70 Successful Passes Percentage 88

Defensive

26 Tackles 26

8 Saves 2

7 Interceptions 7

59 Duels Won 54

Build-up

7 Total Crosses 19

3 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

11 Fouls 13

2 Offsides 8

Lineup

Referee : Nicolas Laforge

Manager ▼

I. Charai Coach

Starting XI ▼

Andreas Jungdal Goalkeeper

6.86

Seiji Kimura Defender

6.81

Bryan Reynolds Defender

6.75

Roman Neustädter Defender

6.85

Emin Bayram Defender

7.15

Allahyar Sayyadmanesh Midfielder

6.96

Shunsuke Saito

Attacker69'

6.7

Isa Sakamoto Midfielder

6.78

Thomas Van den Keybus

Midfielder69'

6.62

Doğucan Haspolat Midfielder

7.27

Sergiy Sydorchuk

Midfielder80'

6.52

Arthur Piedfort Midfielder

7.04

Josimar Alcócer Midfielder

6.68

Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni

Attacker79'

6.64

Afonso Patrão Attacker

6.61

Lucas Mbamba

Defender32'

6.55

Substitutes ▼

Lucas Mbamba

Defender32'

6.55

Thomas Van den Keybus

Midfielder69'

6.62

Shunsuke Saito

Attacker69'

6.7

Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni

Attacker79'

6.64

Sergiy Sydorchuk

Midfielder80'

6.52

Bench ▼

Koen Van Langendonck Goalkeeper

Amando Lapage Defender

7.11

Clinton Nsiala Defender

6.18

Fernand Goure Attacker

6.48

Referee : Nicolas Laforge