West Ham United vs Arsenal Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Premier League, England
Premier League
Arsenal
ARS
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
West Ham United hosted Arsenal in the Premier League, suffering a narrow 0-1 defeat. The halftime score stood at 0-0, reflecting a cautious first half where Arsenal held 64% possession to West Ham's 36%, yet no goals materialized. The second half saw Arsenal break through with a single strike, capitalizing on their dominance to secure the win. As the pre-identified stronger team, Arsenal delivered without red card interruptions, maintaining discipline throughout. West Ham's defensive resilience kept the scoreline tight, but their lower possession limited attacking threats. The result featured a significant structural deviation of 39.4% favoring Arsenal, while efficiency remained in line with expectations. No second-half adjustments were required, and with xG data unavailable, chance creation quality remains unquantified. This outcome reinforces Arsenal's ability to convert control into victories efficiently.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Match showed significant structural deviation of 39.4% favoring Arsenal.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
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xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
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Market alignment: Outcome aligned fully with pre-match market expectations.
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xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable with null data provided.
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Event impact: No events or second-half adjustments influenced proceedings.
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Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any scoreline distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
C. Kavanagh
Other match officials
D. Cook
1st Assistant
J. Bell
4th Official
I. Hussin
2nd Assistant
League averages
Premier League Based on last 100 matches
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
West Ham United
Arsenal
Movement
Changes since opening
West Ham United
Arsenal
Team Power Ranking
i
83.37
98.41
West Ham United
Arsenal
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
West Ham United
Arsenal
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
West Ham United
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- WHU had peak pressure around 100'.
- ARS started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 48 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:05:04+00:00
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General Information
Next Match


West Ham United
vs
Newcastle United
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Sun, 17 May - 4:30 PM
Venue: St. James' Park


Arsenal
vs
Burnley
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Mon, 18 May - 7:00 PM
Venue: Emirates Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Manager ▼


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Events
CONCLUSION
West Ham United vs Arsenal preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Author
Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.



Match Commentary