Virtus Entella vs Calcio Padova Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy

Stadio Comunale Chiavari Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM

Serie B

Virtus Entella ENT

Calcio Padova PAD

Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 1:00 PM

Round 36 Regular Season

Luigi Cuppone - 76'

CONTEXT

Virtus Entella claimed a gritty 1-0 win against Calcio Padova in a Serie C encounter defined by defensive solidity and second-half resolve. The match was deadlocked at 0-0 at halftime, with Entella dictating play through 58% possession compared to Padova's 42%. Despite the visitors' stubborn resistance, Entella broke the deadlock after the break, showcasing clinical finishing amid sustained pressure. Identified as the stronger side beforehand, Entella's triumph featured minimal structural deviation of just 4.4%, reflecting their expected dominance without dramatic swings. Efficiency metrics held steady in line with norms, while the lack of red cards ensured a clean, undistorted contest. Possession translated into territorial advantage, though clear chances remained scarce. Padova's compact shape frustrated early threats, forcing Entella to grind out the result through patience and precision. This victory bolsters Entella's promotion push, highlighting their ability to convert control into points in low-scoring affairs.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Structural deviation measured minimal at 4.4% in favor of Virtus Entella.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing expected goals data.
Market alignment: Market alignment held true throughout the match.
xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without data.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the game's flow.
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced zero distortion in the result.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

L. Massimi

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Galipò

4th Official

G. Mokhtar

1st Assistant

F. Votta

2nd Assistant

A. Chiappella

R. Breda

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.07

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

0 - 0 - 2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Virtus Entella

95.61%

Draw

4.2%

Calcio Padova

0.19%

Team Power Ranking

19.97

19.16

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Virtus Entella

Calcio Padova

Power Score

19.97

19.16

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Virtus Entella — Opponent-weighted form score

Calcio Padova — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Virtus Entella Calcio Padova

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Virtus Entella

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Calcio Padova

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Virtus Entella ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Calcio Padova

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

28.36

23.69

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

23.69

28.36

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Virtus Entella +0.44 Efficiency Index

Calcio Padova -0.44 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Virtus Entella

Calcio Padova

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Virtus Entella ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Calcio Padova

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Virtus Entella Calcio Padova

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Virtus Entella Calcio Padova

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Virtus Entella

Calcio Padova

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Virtus Entella

Calcio Padova

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Virtus Entella Calcio Padova

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Virtus Entella Calcio Padova

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Virtus Entella

Calcio Padova

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

ENT had peak pressure around 76'.
ENT started the game with stronger pressure.

ENT Pressure PAD Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: ENT reached the top pressure at 76' (78.49).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Virtus Entella ENT Home

2 matches

Calcio Padova PAD Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-2

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:02:32+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2

22 F. Del Frate

23 L. Parodi

6 A. Tiritiello

3 M. Alborghetti

7 D. Bariti

8 N. Karic

32 L. Benedetti

24 A. Franzoni

26 S. Di Mario

10 L. Cuppone

11 B. Guiu Vilanova

22 A. Sorrentino

58 C. Pastina

55 L. Villa

4 F. Belli

30 G. Favale

7 K. Varas Marcillo

6 L. Crisetig

8 P. Fusi

17 A. Capelli

77 F. Di Mariano

20 M. Bortolussi

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 25, 2026, 01:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadio Comunale Chiavari

Capacity :

5500

Pitch Surface :

Artificial turf

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Simone Galipò

Luca Massimi

Gamal Mokhtar

Federico Votta

Statistics

Possession

ENT

58%

PAD

42%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0

3 Big Chances Created 1

11 Shots 6

49 Dangerous attacks 39

58 Possession 42

5 Corners 3

14 Free kicks 18

1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

23 Throwins 23

6 Goal Kicks 7

60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 25

15 Dribble Attempts 8

9 Successful Dribbles 2

49 Ball Safe 56

8 Goal Attempts 2

1 Assists 0

5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

84 Attacks 73

3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

9 Key Passes 5

428 Passes 303

60 Successful Long Passes Percentage 28

67 Long Passes 76

40 Successful Long Passes 21

338 Successful Passes 213

79 Successful Passes Percentage 70

Defensive

1 Saves 5

3 Interceptions 9

11 Tackles 12

58 Duels Won 44

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 17

5 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

2 Offsides 3

18 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Luca Massimi

Manager ▼

A. Chiappella Coach

Starting XI ▼

Federico Del Frate Goalkeeper

6.79

Mattia Alborghetti Defender

6.7

Andrea Tiritiello Defender

7.14

Luca Parodi Defender

6.67

Davide Bariti Midfielder

6.7

Riccardo Turicchia

Defender82'

6.6

Nermin Karić Midfielder

6.87

Marco Nichetti

Midfielder88'

6.59

Andrea Franzoni Midfielder

6.91

Stefano Di Mario Midfielder

6.88

Leonardo Benedetti Midfielder

6.57

Niccolò Squizzato

Midfielder62'

6.79

Luigi Cuppone Attacker

6.8

Alessandro Debenedetti

Attacker82'

6.7

Bernat Guiu Attacker

7.02

Mattia Tirelli

Attacker63'

6.57

Substitutes ▼

Niccolò Squizzato

Midfielder62'

6.79

Mattia Tirelli

Attacker63'

6.57

Alessandro Debenedetti

Attacker82'

6.7

Riccardo Turicchia

Defender82'

6.6

Marco Nichetti

Midfielder88'

6.59

Bench ▼

Simone Colombi Goalkeeper

6.75

Ovidijus Siaulys Goalkeeper

6.11

Alessandro Pilati Defender

6.52

Tommaso Del Lungo Defender

6.59

Antonio Boccadamo Defender

6.46

Marco Dalla Vecchia Midfielder

6.58

Davide Pio Stabile Attacker

6.49

Referee : Luca Massimi