Viking vs Rosenborg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
SR-Bank Arena Fri, 1 May - 4:00 PM
Eliteserien
Viking Viking
3 Winner 0
Rosenborg Rosenborg
Full Time Fri, 1 May 4:00 PM
Round 7 Regular Season
Zlatko Tripic - 67'
Kristoffer Askildsen - 15'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Viking claimed a decisive 3-0 home win against Rosenborg, showcasing clinical finishing and solid defense. The hosts surged ahead with two goals before halftime, establishing a 2-0 lead that set the tone for the match. Despite Rosenborg enjoying a slight edge in possession at 52% to Viking's 48%, the visitors struggled to create meaningful chances. Viking's second-half goal extended their advantage, completing a professional performance. No red cards marred the contest, allowing uninterrupted flow. Identified as the stronger side pre-match, Viking delivered on expectations with efficient play. The outcome demonstrated minimal structural deviation and stayed in line with efficiency norms, underscoring their superiority without reliance on xG data due to unavailability. This result reinforces Viking's strong form in domestic competition.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Viking's 3-0 win featured minimal structural deviation of 2.4%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match norms.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Result fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or major events altered dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant zero distortion to match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Amland

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

I. Jahr

1st Assistant

C. Jørgensen

2nd Assistant

O. Kellerhals

4th Official

Viking M. Jensen
M. Jensen
VS
Rosenborg A. Johansson
A. Johansson
2.7
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.1
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
Brann Rank: 66 W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 84 W
Vålerenga Rank: 59 W
Molde Rank: 65 W
HamKam Rank: 59 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brann Rank: 66 D
Sandefjord Rank: 61 D
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 61 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
Vålerenga Rank: 59 L
Molde Rank: 65 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 10 - 24
24

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Viking
97.6%
Draw
1.91%
Away Rosenborg
0.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
78.33
61.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Viking
Rosenborg
Power Score
78.33
61.33
League Position
2
14
Global Rank
70
434

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Viking — Opponent-weighted form score
Rosenborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Viking Rosenborg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Viking

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rosenborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Viking ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rosenborg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.77
22.21
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.21
41.77
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Viking +1.99 Efficiency Index
vs
Rosenborg -1.99 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Viking
Rosenborg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Viking ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rosenborg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Viking Rosenborg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Viking Rosenborg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Viking
Rosenborg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Viking
vs
Rosenborg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Viking Rosenborg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Viking 0.28
Rosenborg 0.32
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Viking Rosenborg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Viking 0.00
Rosenborg 0.05
Viking
Rosenborg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Viking had peak pressure around 56'.
  • Viking started the game with stronger pressure.
Viking Pressure Rosenborg Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Viking reached the top pressure at 56' (85.52).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Viking Viking Home
40 matches
Rosenborg Rosenborg Away
Match Record
6
Wins
24
10
Draws
10
24
Losses
6
Goals
40
Goals Scored
83
83
Goals Conceded
40
-43
Goal Difference
+43

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T00:03:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
Ľ. Belko
Slovakia
30 Ľ. Belko
H. Heggheim
Substitution
Norway
5 H. Heggheim
G. Stensness
Australia
6 G. Stensness
H. Falchener
Norway
25 H. Falchener
K. Haugen
Norway
28 K. Haugen
N. Kemp Fuglestad
Substitution
23 N. Kemp Fuglestad
K. Askildsen
Substitution
Norway
7 K. Askildsen
T. Séne Moi
Substitution
29 T. Séne Moi
Z. Tripić
Substitution
Norway
10 Z. Tripić
P. Christiansen
Denmark
20 P. Christiansen
S. Kvia-Egeskog
Norway
26 S. Kvia-Egeskog
Pitch
L. Wahlstedt
Sweden
1 L. Wahlstedt
T. Solheim Dahl
Substitution
Norway
3 T. Solheim Dahl
T. Nemčík
Slovakia
21 T. Nemčík
H. Røsten
Norway
2 H. Røsten
A. Fonn Witry
Substitution
Norway
16 A. Fonn Witry
N. Donovan Sahsah
Substitution
Denmark
11 N. Donovan Sahsah
J. Bakke
Substitution
Norway
25 J. Bakke
O. Selnæs
Norway
10 O. Selnæs
S. Nordli
Substitution
Norway
7 S. Nordli
D. Islamovic
Montenegro
9 D. Islamovic
M. Bomholt
Denmark
17 M. Bomholt

General Information

Date & Time :
May 01, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 7 · Regular Season
Stadium :
SR-Bank Arena
Capacity :
15900
Attendance :
15900
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sivert Amland
Ivar Michael Jahr
Christer Solheim Jørgensen
Ola Kellerhals

Statistics

Possession
Viking
50%
Rosenborg
50%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
2 Shots 4
61 Dangerous attacks 31
48 Possession 52
7 Corners 3
15 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
15 Throwins 18
4 Goal Kicks 10
11 Dribble Attempts 18
3 Assists 0
3 Hit Woodwork 0
4 Successful Dribbles 9
5 Substitutions 5
66 Ball Safe 88
1 Injuries 1
12 Goal Attempts 3

Attacking

91 Attacks 65
2 Counter Attacks 1
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

58 Long Passes 68
28 Successful Long Passes 19
80 Successful Passes Percentage 79
320 Successful Passes 355
14 Key Passes 5
400 Passes 452
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 28

Defensive

3 Saves 2
12 Tackles 11
45 Duels Won 41
8 Interceptions 10

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 8
11 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

4 Offsides 2
13 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Sivert Amland

Starting XI ▼

30
Lubomir Belko
Lubomir Belko Goalkeeper
6.36
5
Henrik Heggheim
Henrik Heggheim Defender
7.35
2
Herman Haugen
Herman Haugen
Defender76'
6.56
6
Gianni Stensness
Gianni Stensness Defender
7.29
25
Henrik Falchener
Henrik Falchener Defender
7.2
28
Kristoffer Haugen
Kristoffer Haugen Defender
6.98
7
Kristoffer Askildsen
Kristoffer Askildsen Midfielder
6.93
21
Anders Bærtelsen
Anders Bærtelsen
Defender83'
6.88
10
Zlatko Tripic
Zlatko Tripic Midfielder
8.11
24
Vetle Auklend
Vetle Auklend
Defender82'
6.55
23
Niklas Fuglestad
Niklas Fuglestad Midfielder
6.91
17
Edvin Austbø
Edvin Austbø
Attacker61'
6.61
29
Tobias Moi
Tobias Moi Midfielder
6.58
15
Ola Visted
Ola Visted
Midfielder77'
6.43
20
Peter Christiansen
Peter Christiansen Attacker
7.18
26
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Simen Kvia-Egeskog Attacker
7.1
Referee : Sivert Amland

Starting XI ▼

1
Leopold Wahlstedt
Leopold Wahlstedt Goalkeeper
6.97
2
Håkon Røsten
Håkon Røsten Defender
6.92
3
Tobias Solheim Dahl
Tobias Solheim Dahl Defender
6.63
19
Adrian Pereira
Adrian Pereira
Defender55'
6.44
16
Aslak Witry
Aslak Witry Defender
6.72
15
Jonas Mortensen
Jonas Mortensen
Defender88'
7.27
21
Tomas Nemcik
Tomas Nemcik Defender
7.03
7
Simen Bolkan Nordli
Simen Bolkan Nordli Midfielder
6.74
6
Santeri Väänänen
Santeri Väänänen
Midfielder63'
6.6
10
Ole Selnæs
Ole Selnæs Midfielder
7.15
11
Noah Sahsah
Noah Sahsah Midfielder
6.65
18
Amin Chiakha
Amin Chiakha
Attacker55'
6.53
25
Johan Johanessen Bakke
Johan Johanessen Bakke Midfielder
6.43
35
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Attacker55'
6.55
9
Dino Islamovic
Dino Islamovic Attacker
6.45
17
Mads Bomholt
Mads Bomholt Attacker
6.91

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Kristoffer Haugen
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+5'
88'
Event
Jonas Mortensen → Aslak Witry
10th Substitution
Event
Anders Bærtelsen → Kristoffer Askildsen
9th Substitution
83'
Event
Vetle Auklend → Zlatko Tripic
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Ola Visted → Tobias Moi
7th Substitution
77'
Event
Herman Haugen → Henrik Heggheim
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Zlatko Tripic
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
67'
63'
Event
Santeri Väänänen → Simen Bolkan Nordli
5th Substitution
Event
Edvin Austbø → Niklas Fuglestad
4th Substitution
61'
61'
Event
Håkon Røsten
Persistent fouling / 4th Yellowcard
55'
Event
Emil Konradsen Ceide → Johan Johanessen Bakke
1st Substitution
55'
Event
Amin Chiakha → Noah Sahsah
2nd Substitution
55'
Event
Adrian Pereira → Tobias Solheim Dahl
3rd Substitution
54'
Event
Tobias Solheim Dahl
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
54'
Event
6th Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Aslak Witry
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Kristoffer Askildsen
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
15'
Event
Gianni Stensness
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
14'
Event
Henrik Falchener
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
2'

CONCLUSION

Viking's 3-0 triumph over Rosenborg highlights their tactical discipline and attacking prowess, particularly after a commanding 2-0 halftime lead. Overcoming minor possession disadvantage, they capitalized effectively on opportunities while keeping a clean sheet. This victory, consistent with their status as the stronger team, shows balanced efficiency and minimal deviations. Without xG metrics or disruptive events like red cards, the performance stands as a clear endorsement of Viking's current momentum. Rosenborg's inability to respond underscores defensive vulnerabilities. Overall, the match outcome solidifies Viking's position in the standings, promising continued competitiveness ahead.

Viking vs Rosenborg preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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