Viborg FF vs Sønderjyske Fodbold Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Energi Viborg Arena Fri, 8 May - 5:00 PM
Superliga
Viborg FF Viborg FF
0 Winner 1
Sønderjyske Fodbold SON
Full Time Fri, 8 May 5:00 PM
Round 9 Championship Round
|
Goal
S. Emini - 49'

CONTEXT

Viborg FF welcomed Sønderjyske Fodbold to their home ground, aiming for a straightforward victory as the stronger team. However, the match concluded 0-1 in favor of the visitors, with the only goal arriving after a goalless first half (0-0 at halftime). Viborg dominated possession at 68% compared to Sønderjyske's 32%, creating numerous chances but failing to convert any into goals. Sønderjyske, despite being on the back foot for much of the game, showed remarkable efficiency in attack, securing a precious away win. No red cards disrupted play, and there were no notable second-half tactical adjustments. This result underscores how superior chance conversion can overcome possession superiority. The minimal structural deviation of 6.6% aligned with pre-match assessments, keeping the outcome within expected parameters.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal structural deviation of 6.6% favored Sønderjyske Fodbold.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match evaluations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable for alignment comparison.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations not assessable due to absent data.
  • Event impact: No events or adjustments altered the second-half flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards present, resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Uslu

Denmark 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Petersen

2nd Assistant

Denmark

L. Graagaard

4th Official

Denmark

D. Cortzen

1st Assistant

Denmark

League averages

Superliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.33
Yellow cards / match 3.11
Red cards / match 0.13
Penalties / match 0.22
Viborg FF Nickolai Lund
Nickolai Lund
VS
Sønderjyske Fodbold T. Nørgaard
T. Nørgaard
1.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Midtjylland Rank: 80 D
Nordsjælland Rank: 67 W
Brøndby IF Rank: 66 L
Nordsjælland Rank: 66 L
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 62 W
AGF Rank: 71 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
AGF Rank: 71 L
Brøndby IF Rank: 66 W
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 L
Brøndby IF Rank: 64 L
Viborg FF Rank: 64 L
FC Midtjylland Rank: 80 D
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 9 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Viborg FF
0.19%
Draw
6.41%
Away Sønderjyske Fodbold
93.39%

Movement

Changes since opening
Viborg FF
0%
Draw
-0.92%
Sønderjyske Fodbold
+0.91%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.26
62.2
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Viborg FF
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Power Score
64.26
62.2
League Position
5
5
Global Rank
354
425

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Viborg FF — Opponent-weighted form score
Sønderjyske Fodbold — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Viborg FF Sønderjyske Fodbold

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Viborg FF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sønderjyske Fodbold

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Viborg FF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sønderjyske Fodbold
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.72
18.13
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.13
32.72
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Viborg FF +1.44 Efficiency Index
vs
Sønderjyske Fodbold -1.44 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Viborg FF
Sønderjyske Fodbold
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Viborg FF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sønderjyske Fodbold
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Viborg FF Sønderjyske Fodbold
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Viborg FF Sønderjyske Fodbold
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Viborg FF
Sønderjyske Fodbold
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Viborg FF
vs
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Viborg FF Sønderjyske Fodbold
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Viborg FF 0.21
Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.31
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Viborg FF Sønderjyske Fodbold
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Viborg FF 0.06
Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.00
Viborg FF
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Viborg FF had peak pressure around 82'.
  • SON started the game with stronger pressure.
Viborg FF Pressure SON Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Viborg FF reached the top pressure at 82' (89.90).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Viborg FF Viborg FF Home
22 matches
Sønderjyske Fodbold SON Away
Match Record
9
Wins
4
9
Draws
9
4
Losses
9
Goals
38
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
38
+13
Goal Difference
-13

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T00:02:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
L. Pedersen
Denmark
1 L. Pedersen
H. Bidstrup
Substitution
Denmark
26 H. Bidstrup
L. Kirkegaard
Denmark
32 L. Kirkegaard
D. Anyembe
Kenya
24 D. Anyembe
S. Kuzmic
Slovenia
30 S. Kuzmic
T. Jørgensen
Denmark
10 T. Jørgensen
J. Grønning
Substitution
Denmark
13 J. Grønning
A. Bech
Substitution
Denmark
8 A. Bech
S. Jalal Karchoud
Denmark
29 S. Jalal Karchoud
D. Hanza Meha
Equatorial Guinea
19 D. Hanza Meha
C. Ngos Nouck Horneman
Substitution
Denmark
11 C. Ngos Nouck Horneman
Pitch
N. Flø
Denmark
1 N. Flø
D. Grétarsson
Substitution
Iceland
4 D. Grétarsson
M. Soulas
France
12 M. Soulas
M. Jensen
Denmark
5 M. Jensen
S. Sylvest Wæver
Substitution
Denmark
3 S. Sylvest Wæver
R. Vinderslev
Denmark
6 R. Vinderslev
O. Hyseni
Substitution
Denmark
24 O. Hyseni
A. Oggesen
Denmark
22 A. Oggesen
S. Haidara
31 S. Haidara
S. Emini
Substitution
Macedonia
7 S. Emini
M. Hoppe
Substitution
United States
9 M. Hoppe

General Information

Date & Time :
May 08, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 9 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Energi Viborg Arena
Capacity :
9566
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Alex Petersen
Lasse Læbel Graagaard
Daniel Cortzen
Aydin Uslu

Statistics

Possession
Viborg FF
65%
SON
35%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
18 Shots 5
85 Dangerous attacks 16
68 Possession 32
8 Corners 0
14 Free kicks 6
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
24 Throwins 13
93 Ball Safe 77
18 Dribble Attempts 15
2 Goal Kicks 19
8 Successful Dribbles 5
10 Goal Attempts 4
0 Hit Woodwork 1
4 Substitutions 5
0 Assists 1
1 Injuries 1

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 1
174 Attacks 56
0 Counter Attacks 2

Possession

86 Successful Passes Percentage 75
542 Successful Passes 225
629 Passes 301
14 Key Passes 4
56 Long Passes 63
26 Successful Long Passes 27
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

18 Tackles 23
56 Duels Won 42
3 Interceptions 8
2 Saves 4

Build-up

35 Total Crosses 3
7 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

1 Offsides 4
6 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Aydin Uslu

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Lund
Lucas Lund Goalkeeper
24
Daniel Anyembe
Daniel Anyembe Defender
26
Hjalte Bidstrup
Hjalte Bidstrup Defender
23
Oliver Bundgaard
Oliver Bundgaard
Defender62'
30
Srdjan Kuzmic
Srdjan Kuzmic Defender
32
Lukas Kirkegaard
Lukas Kirkegaard Defender
8
Asker Beck
Asker Beck Midfielder
36
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen
Attacker77'
10
Thomas Jørgensen
Thomas Jørgensen Midfielder
13
Jeppe Grønning
Jeppe Grønning Midfielder
4
Mees Hoedemakers
Mees Hoedemakers
Midfielder77'
11
Charly Nouck
Charly Nouck Attacker
21
Bilal Brahimi
Bilal Brahimi
Midfielder62'
19
Dorian Hanza
Dorian Hanza Attacker
29
Sami Jalal
Sami Jalal Attacker
Referee : Aydin Uslu

Starting XI ▼

1
N. Flø
N. Flø Goalkeeper
3
S. Wæver
S. Wæver Defender
19
Pachanga Cassoma Kristensen
Pachanga Cassoma Kristensen
Defender79'
4
Daníel Leó Grétarsson
Daníel Leó Grétarsson Defender
23
E. Duru
E. Duru
Defender58'
5
M. Jensen
M. Jensen Defender
12
M. Soulas
M. Soulas Defender
6
R. Vinderslev
R. Vinderslev Midfielder
7
S. Emini
S. Emini Midfielder
20
T. Klysner
T. Klysner
Attacker71'
22
A. Oggesen
A. Oggesen Midfielder
24
O. Hyseni
O. Hyseni Midfielder
11
A. Lyng
A. Lyng
Attacker70'
31
M. Haidara
M. Haidara Midfielder
9
M. Hoppe
M. Hoppe Attacker
15
Lirim Qamili
Lirim Qamili
Attacker71'

Events

2ND-HALF
79'
Event
Pachanga Cassoma Kristensen → S. Wæver
9th Substitution
Event
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen → Asker Beck
8th Substitution
77'
Event
Mees Hoedemakers → Jeppe Grønning
7th Substitution
77'
76'
Event
A. Lyng
Time wasting / 1st Yellowcard
71'
Event
T. Klysner → S. Emini
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Lirim Qamili → M. Hoppe
6th Substitution
70'
Event
A. Lyng → O. Hyseni
4th Substitution
Event
Bilal Brahimi → Charly Nouck
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Oliver Bundgaard → Hjalte Bidstrup
3rd Substitution
62'
58'
Event
E. Duru → Daníel Leó Grétarsson
1st Substitution
49'
Event
S. Emini
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Dorian Hanza takes a shot with his head but misses.
80
Attempt Attempt
Sami Jalal Karchoud takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
80
Attempt Attempt
Sami Jalal Karchoud takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
79
Update Update
Kristensen comes on for Waever.
79
Attempt Attempt
Dorian Hanza attempts a header but misses the shot.
77
Update Update
Mees Hoedemakers replaces Jeppe Gronning.
77
Substitution Substitution
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen is substituted off for Asker Beck.
75
Attempt Attempt
Sami Jalal Karchoud takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
74
Attempt Attempt
Bilal Brahimi's header is saved.
73
Attempt Attempt
Srdjan Kuzmic's right-footed shot is blocked.
72
Attempt Attempt
Dorian Hanza takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Update Update
Alexander Lyng is on, and Olti Hyseni is off.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Tobias Klysner comes on for Sefer Emini.
71
Update Update
Lirim Qamili replaces Matthew Hoppe.
67
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Jorgensen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
62
Attempt Attempt
Asker Beck takes a right-footed shot but misses.
62
Update Update
Bilal Brahimi comes on for Charly Horneman.
62
Update Update
Oliver Bundgaard is on, and Hjalte Bidstrup is off.
58
Update Update
Ebube Gideon Duru comes on for Daniel Leo Gretarsson.
56
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Jorgensen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Srdjan Kuzmic's right-footed shot is blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Sefer Emini scores with a right-footed shot.
43
Attempt Attempt
Matthew Hoppe's left-footed shot is saved.
41
Attempt Attempt
Sefer Emini takes a shot with his right foot, but it hits the post.
36
Attempt Attempt
Olti Hyseni takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Asker Beck's right-footed shot is saved.
28
Attempt Attempt
Hjalte Bidstrup takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
24
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Jorgensen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
22
Attempt Attempt
Charly Horneman's right-footed shot is blocked.
21
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Jorgensen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
18
Attempt Attempt
Matthew Hoppe takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Asker Beck takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Sønderjyske Fodbold pulled off a 1-0 upset against stronger Viborg FF, leveraging efficiency despite 32% possession. Viborg's 68% control yielded no goals, exposing their wastefulness in the final third. The goalless halftime gave way to Sønderjyske's decisive strike, capitalizing on limited opportunities. With no red cards or major events, the minimal 6.6% deviation and market alignment indicate a fair reflection of on-pitch realities. This victory provides Sønderjyske momentum, while Viborg must address conversion issues. Such results remind that football rewards precision over dominance.

Viborg FF vs Sønderjyske Fodbold preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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