VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Bundesliga
FC Bayern München FCBSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
In a hard-fought Bundesliga encounter at the Volkswagen Arena, FC Bayern München edged out VfL Wolfsburg 0-1. The match was goalless at halftime, with both sides scoreless after 45 minutes. Bayern dominated possession with 68% to Wolfsburg's 32%, creating numerous chances but struggling to convert until the second half. Wolfsburg defended resiliently, frustrating the visitors for much of the game. No red cards were issued, and there were no notable second-half tactical adjustments from either side. As the pre-designated stronger team, Bayern's victory came through sheer quality, securing three vital points. The result highlights Bayern's efficiency despite Wolfsburg's stubborn resistance, maintaining their position at the top of the league standings. This narrow win underscores the competitiveness of the Bundesliga, where dominance in stats does not always translate immediately to the scoreboard.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Bayern's 0-1 win featured a significant 36.6% structural deviation in their favor.
- Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with expectations.
- xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
- Market alignment: Result aligned with pre-match market expectations.
- xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
- Event impact: No key events or adjustments impacted the match flow.
- Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the game.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
T. Stieler
Other match officials
J. Weickenmeier
1st Assistant
C. Gittelmann
2nd Assistant
F. Lechner
4th Official
League averages
Bundesliga Based on last 100 matches


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
VfL Wolfsburg
FC Bayern MünchenMovement
Changes since opening
VfL Wolfsburg
FC Bayern MünchenTeam Power Ranking
i
74.79
100
VfL Wolfsburg
FC Bayern MünchenForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
VfL Wolfsburg
FC Bayern München

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
VfL Wolfsburg ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
VfL Wolfsburg ⚠ Proxy
VfL Wolfsburg FC Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg FC Bayern München
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg FC Bayern München


VfL Wolfsburg FC Bayern München


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- FCB had peak pressure around 22'.
- WOB started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:04:14+00:00
STARTING XI
VfL Wolfsburg
FC Bayern München























































General Information
Next Match

VfL Wolfsburg
vs

St. Pauli
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sat, 16 May - 1:30 PM
Venue: Millerntor-Stadion

FC Bayern München
vs

FC Köln
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sat, 16 May - 1:30 PM
Venue: Allianz Arena
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
VfL WolfsburgManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼




FC Bayern MünchenManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼




Events
CONCLUSION
VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary