VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
SVW
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
VfB Stuttgart welcomed Werder Bremen to a match that concluded in a hard-fought 1-1 draw. The home side, considered the stronger team, trailed 0-1 at halftime after Werder Bremen capitalized on an early opportunity. Stuttgart responded assertively in the second half, holding 68% possession compared to Bremen's 32%, and relentlessly pressed forward to level the score. Despite their dominance, they failed to secure a victory, with Bremen's defense standing firm. No red cards disrupted play, and no significant second-half adjustments were evident. This result marks a moderate structural deviation for Stuttgart, who underdelivered on their expected edge. The draw reflects a resilient performance from the visitors, denying the hosts all three points in a balanced encounter.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Moderate 9.5% structural deviation favored VfB Stuttgart.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
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xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
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Market alignment: Market alignment was confirmed as true.
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xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable from null data.
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Event impact: No events significantly impacted match dynamics.
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Red card distortion: No red cards caused zero distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
C. Dingert
Other match officials
S. Lupp
2nd Assistant
B. Kempkes
1st Assistant
W. Haslberger
4th Official
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
Team Power Ranking
i
30.28
18.07
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
VfB Stuttgart
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- VFB had peak pressure around 26'.
- SVW started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:04:10+00:00
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General Information
Next Match


VfB Stuttgart
vs
TSG Hoffenheim
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 1:30 PM
Venue: PreZero Arena


Werder Bremen
vs
FC Augsburg
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 1:30 PM
Venue: Wohninvest Weserstadion
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Events
CONCLUSION
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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