Venezia vs Juve Stabia Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo Mon, 6 Apr - 1:00 PM

Serie B

Venezia VEN

Juve Stabia JUV

Full Time Mon, 6 Apr 1:00 PM

Round 33 Regular Season

Andrea Adorante - 74', 45+3'

Andrea Giorgini - 39' (Own Goal)

Lorenzo Carissoni - 45'

CONTEXT

The match between Venezia and Juve Stabia has finished, with Venezia securing a comfortable 3-1 victory. The home side established an early advantage, leading 2-1 at halftime before adding a final goal in the second half to seal the result. This outcome was entirely aligned with the pre-match market, which heavily favored the stronger Venezia side at a 66% win probability, leaving Juve Stabia with just a 12.1% chance and a 21.9% likelihood of a draw. Despite the predictable winner, Venezia still displayed a significant performance deviation to assert their dominance over the visitors. Venezia dictated the tempo throughout the contest, commanding an overwhelming 69% of the possession compared to Juve Stabia's 31%. While expected goals (xG) data was not available to further evaluate statistical alignment, the match's overall efficiency shift remained firmly in line with baseline expectations. Additionally, the fixture was played cleanly with zero red cards issued to either side, ensuring that the tactical balance and the expected flow of the game were never disrupted by disciplinary issues.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Venezia showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

M. Perri

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Poli

4th Official

A. Cavallina

1st Assistant

M. Regattieri

2nd Assistant

G. Stroppa

I. Abate

2.24

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.4

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 1 - 1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Venezia

65.98%

Draw

21.92%

Juve Stabia

12.1%

Team Power Ranking

62.63

55.37

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Venezia

Juve Stabia

Power Score

62.63

55.37

League Position

Global Rank

194

609

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Venezia — Opponent-weighted form score

Juve Stabia — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Venezia Juve Stabia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Venezia

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Juve Stabia

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Venezia ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Juve Stabia

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

31.16

42.42

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

42.42

31.16

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Venezia -1.07 Efficiency Index

Juve Stabia +1.07 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Venezia

Juve Stabia

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Venezia ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Juve Stabia

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Venezia Juve Stabia

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Venezia Juve Stabia

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Venezia

Juve Stabia

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Venezia

Juve Stabia

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Venezia Juve Stabia

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Venezia Juve Stabia

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Venezia

Juve Stabia

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Venezia VEN Home

3 matches

Juve Stabia JUV Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-1

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:02:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2

Match Formation 5-4-1

1 F. Stankovic

3 J. Schingtienne

30 M. Svoboda

33 M. Sverko

18 A. Hainaut

71 E. Pérez Muñoz

6 G. Busio

8 I. Doumbia

20 S. Sagrado

10 J. Zamora

9 A. Adorante

1 A. Confente

77 A. Cacciamani

6 M. Bellich

33 A. Giorgini

46 S. Diakite

2 M. Ricciardi

24 L. Carissoni

29 O. Correia

98 N. Mosti

7 R. Burnete

90 A. Okoro

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 06, 2026, 01:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 33 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Capacity :

11150

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Alberto Poli

Mario Perri

Alex Cavallina

Mattia Regattieri

Statistics

Possession

VEN

62%

JUV

38%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1

6 Big Chances Created 2

13 Shots 10

50 Dangerous attacks 23

69 Possession 31

5 Corners 4

13 Free kicks 22

3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

10 Dribble Attempts 9

30 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44

9 Throwins 22

9 Goal Kicks 10

3 Successful Dribbles 4

61 Ball Safe 63

12 Goal Attempts 10

5 Substitutions 5

1 Penalties 0

0 Injuries 2

1 Assists 0

Attacking

83 Attacks 61

4 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

86 Successful Passes Percentage 68

413 Successful Passes 146

481 Passes 215

41 Long Passes 46

12 Key Passes 9

12 Successful Long Passes 14

29 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30

Defensive

42 Duels Won 55

6 Interceptions 4

11 Tackles 14

3 Saves 8

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 12

5 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

22 Fouls 14

0 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Mario Perri

Manager ▼

G. Stroppa Coach

Starting XI ▼

Filip Stanković Goalkeeper

Joël Schingtienne Defender

Michael Svoboda Defender

Marin Šverko Defender

Gianluca Busio Midfielder

Issa Doumbia Midfielder

Matteo Dagasso

Midfielder76'

Antoine Hainaut Midfielder

Richie Sagrado Midfielder

Bjarki Bjarkason

Midfielder88'

Kike Pérez Midfielder

Emil Bohinen

Midfielder88'

Andrea Adorante Attacker

Antonio Casas

Attacker76'

John Yeboah Attacker

Mattia Compagnon

Midfielder90+1'

Substitutes ▼

Matteo Dagasso

Midfielder76'

Antonio Casas

Attacker76'

Emil Bohinen

Midfielder88'

Bjarki Bjarkason

Midfielder88'

Mattia Compagnon

Midfielder90+1'

Bench ▼

Alessandro Plizzari Goalkeeper

Seid Korac Defender

Bartol Franjic Defender

Ridgeciano Haps Defender

Michael Venturi Defender

Nunzio Lella Midfielder

Lion Lauberbach Attacker

Referee : Mario Perri