Venezia vs Empoli Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo Sat, 25 Apr - 3:15 PM

Serie B

Venezia VEN

Empoli EMP

Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 3:15 PM

Round 36 Regular Season

Issa Doumbia - 87'

Andrea Adorante - 50'

CONTEXT

Venezia delivered a dominant performance to defeat Empoli 2-0 in a match that showcased their superiority from start to finish. Holding 78% possession, the home side controlled the tempo relentlessly, though the first half ended goalless with both teams scoreless at halftime. Empoli struggled to create meaningful chances, managing just 22% of the ball and offering little threat. The breakthrough came in the second half as Venezia capitalized on their pressure, netting twice to secure a clean-sheet victory. As the stronger team on paper, Venezia's win aligned with expectations, displaying clinical finishing after a patient build-up. Empoli's defensive resilience faded late, unable to counter the hosts' sustained assault. This result underscores Venezia's home strength and tactical discipline, while highlighting Empoli's challenges away from home. No red cards disrupted play, allowing the game to flow naturally toward its predictable conclusion.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: The 2-0 result showed minimal structural deviation of 2.1% in favor of Venezia.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency levels stayed in line with pre-match assessments for both teams.
xG alignment: xG alignment assessment unavailable due to missing data.
Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without available metrics.
Event impact: No key events or adjustments influenced the final scoreline.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in zero distortion to the match outcome.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

M. Perri

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Scatragli

1st Assistant

S. Pistarelli

2nd Assistant

Giuseppe Mucera

4th Official

G. Stroppa

F. Caserta

2.3

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.04

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

3 - 6 - 2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Venezia

97.89%

Draw

1.92%

Empoli

0.2%

Team Power Ranking

37.31

18.12

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Venezia

Empoli

Power Score

37.31

18.12

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Venezia — Opponent-weighted form score

Empoli — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Venezia Empoli

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Venezia

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Empoli

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Venezia ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Empoli

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

25.90

46.59

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

46.59

25.90

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Venezia -1.97 Efficiency Index

Empoli +1.97 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Venezia

Empoli

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Venezia ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Empoli

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Venezia Empoli

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Venezia Empoli

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Venezia

Empoli

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Venezia

Empoli

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Venezia Empoli

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Venezia Empoli

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Venezia

Empoli

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

VEN had peak pressure around 55'.
VEN started the game with stronger pressure.

VEN Pressure EMP Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: VEN reached the top pressure at 55' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Venezia VEN Home

11 matches

Empoli EMP Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-1

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:05:52+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

1 F. Stankovic

3 J. Schingtienne

30 M. Svoboda

4 B. Franjić

18 A. Hainaut

71 E. Pérez Muñoz

6 G. Busio

8 I. Doumbia

5 R. Haps

10 J. Zamora

9 A. Adorante

21 A. Fulignati

20 M. Lovato

4 S. Romagnoli

34 G. Guarino

24 T. Ebuehi

14 G. Yepes Laut

8 L. Magnino

26 A. Candela

10 R. Ilie

15 J. Ceesay

11 S. Shpendi

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 25, 2026, 03:15 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Capacity :

11150

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Marco Scatragli

Simone Pistarelli

Giuseppe Mucera

Mario Perri

Statistics

Possession

VEN

72%

EMP

28%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0

3 Big Chances Created 1

6 Shots 3

44 Dangerous attacks 25

78 Possession 22

9 Corners 6

15 Free kicks 10

0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Hit Woodwork 0

2 Assists 0

62 Ball Safe 49

12 Goal Attempts 5

5 Substitutions 5

38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 20

13 Dribble Attempts 10

10 Throwins 19

5 Successful Dribbles 2

5 Goal Kicks 9

Attacking

73 Attacks 47

2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

557 Passes 142

46 Long Passes 41

50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 17

89 Successful Passes Percentage 58

13 Key Passes 5

494 Successful Passes 82

23 Successful Long Passes 7

Defensive

2 Interceptions 2

3 Saves 4

13 Tackles 13

52 Duels Won 34

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 5

19 Total Crosses 16

Discipline

1 Offsides 0

10 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Mario Perri

Manager ▼

G. Stroppa Coach

Starting XI ▼

Filip Stanković Goalkeeper

7.05

Joël Schingtienne Defender

6.76

Seid Korac

Defender90'

6.8

Bartol Franjic Defender

6.74

Michael Svoboda Defender

7.13

Ridgeciano Haps Midfielder

6.88

Mattia Compagnon

Midfielder79'

6.64

Gianluca Busio Midfielder

7.35

Issa Doumbia Midfielder

6.98

Antoine Hainaut Midfielder

7.11

Kike Pérez Midfielder

7.23

Matteo Dagasso

Midfielder90'

6.83

Andrea Adorante Attacker

6.99

Antonio Casas

Attacker84'

6.66

John Yeboah Attacker

7.32

Richie Sagrado

Defender79'

6.68

Substitutes ▼

Mattia Compagnon

Midfielder79'

6.64

Richie Sagrado

Defender79'

6.68

Antonio Casas

Attacker84'

6.66

Matteo Dagasso

Midfielder90'

6.83

Seid Korac

Defender90'

6.8

Bench ▼

Alessandro Plizzari Goalkeeper

Michael Venturi Defender

6.72

Ahmed Franck Sidibé Defender

6.94

Nunzio Lella Midfielder

6.55

Alfred Duncan Midfielder

6.84

Emil Bohinen Midfielder

6.75

Lion Lauberbach Attacker

6.64

Referee : Mario Perri