Vejle Boldklub vs Fredericia Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Vejle Stadion Sun, 10 May - 12:00 PM
Superliga
Vejle Boldklub Vejle Boldklub
2 Winner 0
Fredericia Fredericia
Full Time Sun, 10 May 12:00 PM
Round 9 Relegation Round
Mikkel Duelund - 90+5'
T. Bach - 19'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Vejle Boldklub claimed a 2-0 victory over Fredericia, taking a 1-0 lead at halftime and adding a second-half goal to secure the win. Despite controlling just 43% of possession against Fredericia's 57%, the home side demonstrated superior organization and finishing. Designated as the stronger team pre-match, Vejle Boldklub converted their chances effectively while restricting the visitors. The result exhibited a significant 71.5% structural deviation in favor of the winners. No red cards disrupted play, and no second-half tactical adjustments were recorded. Fredericia's higher possession did not translate into goals, underscoring Vejle Boldklub's defensive resilience and clinical edge in key moments.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Vejle Boldklub's 2-0 win showed a significant 71.5% structural deviation.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency for both teams remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented assessment of alignment with outcome.
  • Market alignment: Market did not align with Vejle Boldklub's victory.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No events like red cards or adjustments impacted the match.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Kristoffersen

Denmark 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Yurdakul

1st Assistant

Denmark

M. Markus

2nd Assistant

Denmark

J. Bøgelund

4th Official

Denmark

League averages

Superliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.53
Yellow cards / match 3.08
Red cards / match 0.12
Penalties / match 0.22
Vejle Boldklub C. Nørgaard
C. Nørgaard
VS
Fredericia M. Hansen
M. Hansen
0.53
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Randers FC Rank: 58 L
FC København Rank: 69 L
Silkeborg IF Rank: 58 L
FC København Rank: 68 L
Fredericia Rank: 51 D
Randers FC Rank: 59 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC København Rank: 70 D
Odense BK Rank: 57 L
Randers FC Rank: 59 D
Silkeborg IF Rank: 58 D
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 50 D
Odense BK Rank: 58 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Vejle Boldklub
28.54%
Draw
24.99%
Away Fredericia
46.47%

Movement

Changes since opening
Vejle Boldklub
-66.18%
Draw
+19.9%
Fredericia
+46.28%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
50.43
43.93
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vejle Boldklub
Fredericia
Power Score
50.43
43.93
League Position
12
10
Global Rank
783
759

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Vejle Boldklub — Opponent-weighted form score
Fredericia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vejle Boldklub Fredericia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Vejle Boldklub

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Fredericia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Vejle Boldklub ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fredericia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.93
27.02
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.02
40.93
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Vejle Boldklub +1.37 Efficiency Index
vs
Fredericia -1.37 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Vejle Boldklub
Fredericia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Vejle Boldklub ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fredericia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Vejle Boldklub Fredericia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Vejle Boldklub Fredericia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Vejle Boldklub
Fredericia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Vejle Boldklub
vs
Fredericia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Vejle Boldklub Fredericia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Vejle Boldklub 0.50
Fredericia 0.18
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Vejle Boldklub Fredericia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Vejle Boldklub 0.00
Fredericia 0.06
Vejle Boldklub
Fredericia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Vejle Boldklub had peak pressure around 24'.
  • Fredericia started the game with stronger pressure.
Vejle Boldklub Pressure Fredericia Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Vejle Boldklub reached the top pressure at 24' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vejle Boldklub Vejle Boldklub Home
3 matches
Fredericia Fredericia Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
0
Goals
5
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
5
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:03:11+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
T. Haahr Jakobsen
Denmark
24 T. Haahr Jakobsen
L. Flø Borregaard
Denmark
23 L. Flø Borregaard
L. Ladegaard Nielsen
Denmark
4 L. Ladegaard Nielsen
H. Gitz Christensen
Denmark
31 H. Gitz Christensen
C. Sørensen
Denmark
3 C. Sørensen
T. Gundelund
Substitution
Denmark
2 T. Gundelund
M. Vestergård
Denmark
6 M. Vestergård
C. Gammelgaard
Substitution
Denmark
7 C. Gammelgaard
A. Hjulsager
Substitution
Denmark
17 A. Hjulsager
T. Bach
Denmark
16 T. Bach
J. Duin
Substitution
Netherlands
9 J. Duin
Pitch
V. Thorsen
Denmark
90 V. Thorsen
J. Jessen
Denmark
8 J. Jessen
F. Thykær Rieper
Denmark
5 F. Thykær Rieper
A. Nygaard Andersen
Substitution
Denmark
3 A. Nygaard Andersen
D. Kristjánsson
Iceland
17 D. Kristjánsson
F. Winther
Substitution
Denmark
6 F. Winther
A. Andersen
Denmark
18 A. Andersen
E. Simonsen
Substitution
Denmark
10 E. Simonsen
J. Holm Lindekilde
Substitution
Denmark
21 J. Holm Lindekilde
S. Østergaard Grandjean Johannesen
Substitution
Denmark
16 S. Østergaard Grandjean Johannesen
F. Ubi Etim
Nigeria
25 F. Ubi Etim

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 9 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Vejle Stadion
Capacity :
10657
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Deniz Yurdakul
Martin Markus
Jonas Bøgelund
Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen

Statistics

Possession
Vejle Boldklub
45%
Fredericia
55%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 5
32 Dangerous attacks 68
43 Possession 57
2 Corners 7
11 Free kicks 11
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

14 Throwins 28
12 Goal Kicks 8
6 Dribble Attempts 16
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
2 Successful Dribbles 6
4 Substitutions 5
75 Ball Safe 77
9 Goal Attempts 6
2 Assists 0

Attacking

66 Attacks 127
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

75 Successful Passes Percentage 78
37 Successful Long Passes 23
329 Passes 425
248 Successful Passes 333
82 Long Passes 60
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38
10 Key Passes 10

Defensive

13 Interceptions 7
43 Duels Won 38
16 Tackles 8
4 Saves 4

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 5
9 Total Crosses 22

Discipline

11 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen

Starting XI ▼

24
Tobias Haahr
Tobias Haahr Goalkeeper
3
Christian Sørensen
Christian Sørensen Defender
4
Lasse Nielsen
Lasse Nielsen Defender
23
Lasse Flø
Lasse Flø Defender
31
Hjalte Gitz Christensen
Hjalte Gitz Christensen Defender
2
Thomas Gundelund
Thomas Gundelund Midfielder
36
Max Jensen
Max Jensen
Midfielder90+3'
6
Mike Vestergård
Mike Vestergård Midfielder
7
Christian Gammelgaard
Christian Gammelgaard Midfielder
30
Mads Enggård
Mads Enggård
Midfielder83'
16
T. Bach
T. Bach Midfielder
17
Andrew Hjulsager
Andrew Hjulsager Midfielder
32
Bismark Edjeodji
Bismark Edjeodji
Midfielder60'
9
Jelle Duin
Jelle Duin Attacker
10
Mikkel Duelund
Mikkel Duelund
Midfielder60'
Referee : Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen

Starting XI ▼

90
Valdemar Birksø Thorsen
Valdemar Birksø Thorsen Goalkeeper
3
Adam Nygaard Andersen
Adam Nygaard Andersen Defender
4
Jeppe Kudsk
Jeppe Kudsk
Defender13'
5
Frederik Thykær Rieper
Frederik Thykær Rieper Defender
8
Jakob Jessen
Jakob Jessen Defender
17
Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson
Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson Defender
6
Felix Winther
Felix Winther Midfielder
12
Svenn Crone
Svenn Crone
Defender46'
10
Emilio Simonsen
Emilio Simonsen Midfielder
97
Oscar Buch
Oscar Buch
Attacker63'
16
Sofus Johannesen
Sofus Johannesen Midfielder
15
Malthe Ladefoged
Malthe Ladefoged
Defender81'
18
Andreas Pyndt
Andreas Pyndt Midfielder
21
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde Midfielder
7
Gustav Ølsted Marcussen
Gustav Ølsted Marcussen
Midfielder63'
25
Etim
Etim Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Mikkel Duelund
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
90+5'
Event
Max Jensen → Thomas Gundelund
9th Substitution
90+3'
90+1'
Event
Andreas Pyndt
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Etim
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Lasse Nielsen
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Mads Enggård → Christian Gammelgaard
8th Substitution
83'
Event
Bismark Edjeodji
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
83'
81'
Event
Malthe Ladefoged → Sofus Johannesen
7th Substitution
63'
Event
Oscar Buch → Emilio Simonsen
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Gustav Ølsted Marcussen → Jonatan Holm Lindekilde
6th Substitution
Event
Bismark Edjeodji → Andrew Hjulsager
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Mikkel Duelund → Jelle Duin
3rd Substitution
60'
59'
Event
Emilio Simonsen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Svenn Crone → Felix Winther
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Christian Sørensen
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
43'
Event
T. Bach
Header / 1st Goal
19'
13'
Event
Jeppe Kudsk → Adam Nygaard Andersen
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Max Jensen is replaced by Thomas Gundelund Nielsen.
90
Attempt Attempt
Mikkel Duelund scores with a right-footed shot.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Friday Ubi Etim.
83
Update Update
Enggard Mads is on, and Christian Gammelgaard is off.
81
Update Update
Malthe Ladefoged comes on for Sofus Johannesen.
81
Attempt Attempt
Mikkel Duelund takes a right-footed shot but misses.
76
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Buch takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
72
Attempt Attempt
Gustav Marcussen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
71
Attempt Attempt
Friday Ubi Etim takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
70
Attempt Attempt
Friday Ubi Etim's left-footed shot is saved.
67
Attempt Attempt
Bismark Edjeodji takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
67
Attempt Attempt
Christian Sorensen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
65
Attempt Attempt
Bismark Edjeodji takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
65
Attempt Attempt
Tobias Bach takes a left-footed shot but misses.
64
Attempt Attempt
Mikkel Duelund's right-footed shot is blocked.
63
Attempt Attempt
Mikkel Duelund takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
63
Update Update
Gustav Marcussen is on, and Jonatan Lindekilde is off.
63
Update Update
On comes Oscar Buch, off goes Emilio Simonsen.
63
Attempt Attempt
Christian Gammelgaard takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
62
Attempt Attempt
Svenn Crone takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Update Update
Mikkel Duelund is on, and Jelle Duin is off.
60
Update Update
Bismark Edjeodji is on, and Andrew Hjulsager is off.
59
Attempt Attempt
Mike Vestergaard takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
56
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
55
Attempt Attempt
Sofus Johannesen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
46
Update Update
Svenn Crone is on, and Felix Vrede Winther is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Hjalte Christensen takes a header shot but misses.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Christian Sorensen receives a yellow card.
39
Attempt Attempt
Andrew Hjulsager takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
36
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Rieper takes a shot with his head but misses.
35
Attempt Attempt
Friday Ubi Etim takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
25
Attempt Attempt
Sofus Johannesen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
21
Attempt Attempt
Christian Gammelgaard's left-footed shot is saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Jelle Duin attempts a header but misses the shot.
19
Update Update
Tobias Bach scores with a header.
17
Attempt Attempt
Felix Vrede Winther takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
Update Update
Kudsk Jeppe replaces Adam Andersen.
7
Attempt Attempt
Pyndt Andreas takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.

CONCLUSION

Vejle Boldklub's 2-0 triumph affirmed their status as the stronger team, navigating lower possession through disciplined defending and precise scoring. The halftime 1-0 lead set the tone, with the second goal ensuring control. Significant structural deviation of 71.5% marked an outcome beyond typical patterns, unaligned with pre-match market views. Absent xG data limits chance quality insights, but raw metrics reveal Vejle Boldklub's edge in efficiency. Fredericia's possession advantage yielded nothing, highlighting the winners' tactical execution. No red cards or disruptions allowed natural progression, solidifying a deserved result.

Vejle Boldklub vs Fredericia preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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