Västerås SK vs Häcken Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Iver Arena (Västerås) Wed, 22 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Västerås SK Västerås SK
3 – 3
Häcken HAC
Full Time Wed, 22 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 4 Regular Season
Mikkel Ladefoged - 58', 45+1', 4'
Goal
|
Goal
Filip Helander - 83'
Adrian Svanbäck - 64'
Jeremy Agbonifo - 12'

CONTEXT

In a pulsating Allsvenskan clash, Västerås SK and Häcken played out a dramatic 3-3 draw at Solid Park Arena. The hosts took a commanding 2-1 lead into halftime, making the most of their limited 41% possession against Häcken's dominant 59%. Despite being the stronger team on paper, Häcken rallied impressively in the second half, equalizing through determined attacking play and defensive resilience. No red cards disrupted the flow, ensuring a full 90 minutes of end-to-end action. Västerås SK's early efficiency kept them in contention, while Häcken's sustained pressure forced the share of spoils. This outcome reflects a moderate structural deviation of 8.9%, aligned with market views and in line with efficiency norms, highlighting both teams' competitive edge in a balanced contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate structural deviation of 8.9% favoring Häcken.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to absent data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without available metrics.
  • Event impact: No notable second-half adjustments or events impacted proceedings.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant zero distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

R. Sundell

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Gustavsson

1st Assistant

R. Nyberg

2nd Assistant

S. Al Hakim

4th Official

Västerås SK A. Rubin
A. Rubin
VS
Häcken J. Gustafsson
J. Gustafsson
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sirius Rank: L
Elfsborg Rank: D
Kalmar Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
GAIS Rank: W
IFK Göteborg Rank: W
Brommapojkarna Rank: D
Mjällby Rank: L
Malmö FF Rank: D
AIK Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Västerås SK
4.47%
Draw
91.07%
Away Häcken
4.47%

Movement

Changes since opening
Västerås SK
-0.46%
Draw
+0.94%
Häcken
-0.46%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
15.22
17.2
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Västerås SK
Häcken
Power Score
15.22
17.2
League Position
8
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Västerås SK — Opponent-weighted form score
Häcken — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Västerås SK Häcken

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Västerås SK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Häcken

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Västerås SK ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Häcken
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.71
29.32
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.32
41.71
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Västerås SK +1.23 Efficiency Index
vs
Häcken -1.23 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Västerås SK
Häcken
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Västerås SK ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Häcken
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Västerås SK Häcken
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Västerås SK Häcken
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Västerås SK
Häcken
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Västerås SK
vs
Häcken
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Västerås SK Häcken
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Västerås SK 0.36
Häcken 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Västerås SK Häcken
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Västerås SK 0.07
Häcken 0.07
Västerås SK
Häcken
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAC had peak pressure around 96'.
  • Västerås SK started the game with stronger pressure.
Västerås SK Pressure HAC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAC reached the top pressure at 96' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Västerås SK Västerås SK Home
2 matches
Häcken HAC Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
1
-5
Goal Difference
+5

Data last updated: 2026-04-23T00:02:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
E. Jäger
Sweden
34 E. Jäger
H. Magnusson
Sweden
2 H. Magnusson
F. Nsabiyumva
Burundi
18 F. Nsabiyumva
V. Wernersson
Substitution
Sweden
21 V. Wernersson
S. Gefvert
Sweden
11 S. Gefvert
J. Ring
Sweden
10 J. Ring
I. Lushaku
Substitution
Kosovo
14 I. Lushaku
M. Baggesen
Denmark
3 M. Baggesen
K. Gunnarsson
Substitution
Sweden
5 K. Gunnarsson
M. Riis Ladefoged
Substitution
Denmark
9 M. Riis Ladefoged
A. Boudah
Substitution
Sweden
7 A. Boudah
Pitch
D. Andersson
Sweden
35 D. Andersson
A. Lundqvist
Substitution
Sweden
21 A. Lundqvist
F. Helander
Sweden
22 F. Helander
J. Hammar
Sweden
3 J. Hammar
F. Öhman
Substitution
12 F. Öhman
S. Andersen
Substitution
Denmark
8 S. Andersen
M. Rygaard Jensen
Denmark
10 M. Rygaard Jensen
S. Ngabo
Substitution
Denmark
7 S. Ngabo
A. Svanbäck
Sweden
20 A. Svanbäck
J. Agbonifo
Substitution
Sweden
14 J. Agbonifo
G. Lindgren
Sweden
9 G. Lindgren

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 22, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Iver Arena (Västerås)
Capacity :
7044
Pitch Surface :
N/A
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Richard Sundell
Daniel Gustavsson
Robert Nyberg
Sajad Al Hakim

Statistics

Possession
Västerås SK
43%
HAC
57%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 3
3 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 3
42 Dangerous attacks 46
41 Possession 59
5 Corners 9
7 Free kicks 15
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

10 Goal Attempts 7
57 Ball Safe 90
2 Injuries 1
5 Substitutions 5
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 48
4 Successful Dribbles 11
5 Goal Kicks 7
8 Dribble Attempts 23
15 Throwins 28
3 Assists 3

Attacking

97 Attacks 112

Possession

28 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43
362 Passes 510
274 Successful Passes 422
16 Successful Long Passes 20
10 Key Passes 12
76 Successful Passes Percentage 83
57 Long Passes 47

Defensive

1 Saves 4
47 Duels Won 56
17 Tackles 14
9 Interceptions 10

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 26
8 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

15 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Richard Sundell

Starting XI ▼

34
Elis Jäger
Elis Jäger Goalkeeper
6.46
2
Herman Magnusson
Herman Magnusson Defender
6.68
18
Frédéric Nsabiyumva
Frédéric Nsabiyumva Defender
7.01
21
Victor Wernersson
Victor Wernersson Defender
6.72
4
Philip Bonde
Philip Bonde
Defender46'
6.41
3
Marcus Baggesen
Marcus Baggesen Midfielder
7.09
10
Jonathan Ring
Jonathan Ring Midfielder
6.92
11
Simon Gefvert
Simon Gefvert Midfielder
6.53
14
I. Lushaku
I. Lushaku Midfielder
6.67
19
Jens Magnusson
Jens Magnusson
Midfielder87'
5
Karl Gunnarsson
Karl Gunnarsson Attacker
6.53
15
Jonathan Karlsson
Jonathan Karlsson
Defender89'
6.38
7
Abdelrahman Boudah
Abdelrahman Boudah Attacker
6.64
17
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa
Midfielder65'
6.75
9
Mikkel Ladefoged
Mikkel Ladefoged Attacker
3
7.42
8
Mamadou Diagne
Mamadou Diagne
Midfielder65'
7.22
Referee : Richard Sundell

Starting XI ▼

35
David Andersson
David Andersson Goalkeeper
6.72
3
Johan Hammar
Johan Hammar Defender
6.98
12
Filip Öhman
Filip Öhman Defender
6.68
5
Brice Wembangomo
Brice Wembangomo
Defender81'
6.94
21
Adam Lundkvist
Adam Lundkvist Defender
6.77
23
Olle Samuelsson
Olle Samuelsson
Defender38'
6.17
22
Filip Helander
Filip Helander Defender
6.77
7
Sanders Ngabo
Sanders Ngabo Midfielder
6.65
11
Julius Lindberg
Julius Lindberg
Defender63'
7.08
8
Silas Andersen
Silas Andersen Midfielder
7.25
6
Abdoulaye Doumbia
Abdoulaye Doumbia
Midfielder63'
7.32
10
Mikkel Rygaard
Mikkel Rygaard Midfielder
7.06
14
Jeremy Agbonifo
Jeremy Agbonifo Midfielder
6.37
24
Amor Layouni
Amor Layouni
Attacker63'
7.26
20
Adrian Svanbäck
Adrian Svanbäck Midfielder
6.71
9
G. Lindgren
G. Lindgren Attacker
6.96

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jonathan Karlsson → Karl Gunnarsson
10th Substitution
89'
Event
Jens Magnusson → I. Lushaku
9th Substitution
87'
83'
Event
Filip Helander
Header / 6th Goal
81'
Event
Brice Wembangomo → Filip Öhman
8th Substitution
Event
Karl Gunnarsson
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
74'
Event
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa → Abdelrahman Boudah
7th Substitution
65'
Event
Mamadou Diagne → Mikkel Ladefoged
6th Substitution
65'
64'
Event
Adrian Svanbäck
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
64'
Event
Silas Andersen
5th Yellowcard
63'
Event
Julius Lindberg → Sanders Ngabo
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Abdoulaye Doumbia → Silas Andersen
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Amor Layouni → Jeremy Agbonifo
4th Substitution
Event
Mikkel Ladefoged
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
58'
Event
Herman Magnusson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
53'
Event
Philip Bonde → Victor Wernersson
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Mikkel Ladefoged
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
45+1'
38'
Event
Olle Samuelsson → Adam Lundkvist
1st Substitution
12'
Event
Jeremy Agbonifo
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
9'
Event
Mikkel Rygaard
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
9'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Mikkel Ladefoged
Header / 1st Goal
4'

CONCLUSION

The 3-3 draw encapsulates a fiercely contested battle where Västerås SK's first-half dominance met Häcken's second-half resurgence, underscoring the fine margins in top-flight football. With possession skewed towards the visitors yet goals evenly split, both sides demonstrated clinical finishing and defensive lapses in equal measure. This result denies Häcken a victory despite their strength, boosting Västerås SK's survival hopes while exposing minor inefficiencies. Overall, the parity aligns with broader expectations, setting up intriguing future fixtures for both in the league table.

Västerås SK vs Häcken preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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